Marc Lawrence Double Perfect ATS NBA Killer Play! (Mon 7:00PM)
If you've been enjoying Marc's fabulous run in the NBA playoffs (13-5-1 overall) - including his Double Perfect Play winner on the Heat over the Pacers yesterday - you'll love his Double Perfect Play winner on Monday night's playoff card. Get it now as Marc continues to win again night!
Rusty Home Dogs
by: Marc Lawrence
Generally speaking, the first rule most good handicappers look to apply is seeking out live dogs that have a realistic shot at winning the game. That’s because three things can happen when you bet on an underdog – and two of them are good.
There are, however, certain dogs that can bite the hand that feeds them if they are not conditioned to win. For the most part they are either bad teams with leaky defenses or fatigued to the point where their stats simply don’t matter.
Teams can surely become a bit too rusty due to an excessive amount of time off. This rule especially holds true to teams in College Basketball. We call them the Rust Brigade. That’s because…
COLLEGE HOOPS HOME DOGS WITH 7 OR MORE DAYS OF REST TURN TO RUST
Too much rest makes teams lethargic.
That’s confirmed by the fact that College Basketball teams playing at home as conference dogs with 7 or more days of rest during the regular season are 51-89-3 ATS since 1990.
That’s a dismal 36.4% ATS, making these teams prime ‘Play Against’ material. Worse…
RUSTY HOME DOGS OFF BACK-TO-BACK LOSSES DON’T CARE
Lethargic home dogs playing poorly continue to play badly.
Once again, the numbers do not lie. College Basketball teams playing off back-to-back losses at conference home as dogs with 7 or more days of rest during the regular season are 28-41 ATS since 1990.
Put them up against non-fatigued opponents (ones that have at least 3 days of rest) and they dip to 8-32 ATS in this role. Even worse…
RUSTY HOME DOGS OFF BACK-TO-BACK LOSSES GENERALLY DISAPPEAR AGAINST WINNING TEAMS
There is nothing worse than a team that knows it’s beat before they take the court.
That is born out by the fact that these rusty home dogs with a win percentage of less than .600, playing off back-to-back losses against well rested (three or more days of rest) winning conference opponents (those with a win percentage of more than .500), are just 3-24 ATS since 1990.
There you have it. A solid betting strategy to follow from now until the College Conference Tourneys begin later next month. Enjoy…
Marc Lawrence Past Articles
2011 BIG 12 Conference Football Preview
Much like the shrink-wrap used by food packagers these days, the BIG 12 shrank to 10 teams for the 2011 season with the defections of Colorado (PAC 10) ... read more
2011 Big 10 Conference Preview
It used to be that when you talked Big 10 Football you were talking Ohio State.After all, the Buckeyes won at least a share of the last six Big Ten Championships ... read more
2011 Big East Football Preview
As referenced in last year’s pre-season preview, this always-powerful basketball conference has come a long way toward establishing a football pedigree ... read more
2011 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE FOOTBALL PREVIEW
2011 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE FOOTBALL PREVIEWBy Marc LawrenceAfter leading the nation the previous four years with the most players selected in the ... read more
June Good Month Pitchers
JUNE GOOD MONTH PITCHERSBy Marc Lawrence If it’s June, school is out. And so too will be the NBA (we think). It’s also the time of the ... read more
All Marc Lawrence Past Articles
Marc Lawrence Past Picks
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