PAC 10 TOURNAMENT PREVIEW

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PAC 10 TOURNAMENT PREVIEW

by: Marc Lawrence

PAC 10 TOURNAMENT PREVIEW

PROJECTED FINAL FOUR:
California, Arizona State, Washington and Arizona

THE WAY WE SEE IT:
In the eight-year history of this tournament, there have been six different winners. CALIFORNIA isn’t one of them. Could this be the Bears’ turn? Cal was one-and-done last year but led by guards Jerome Randle and Patrick Christopher, the only returnees from last year’s All Pac-10 first team, this year’s regular season champs are in good hands. Naysayers will remind us of Cal’s 6-8 SUATS mark away from campus. While it’s true the Berkeley Bears did most of their damage at home this season (15-1 SU and 11-4 ATS), we’ll point to their 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS mark as tourney favs – a role they’ll be in from the opening tip. ARIZONA STATE has won just two of nine tourney games but those wins came last season before an eventual title loss to USC. The Sun Devils have grabbed the cash in three of their last four tourney affairs but their 0-5 ATS record as dogs this season could spell trouble. They will also need to improve on their 4-12 ATS mark against a foe off a SU win this season if they hope to go deep. WASHINGTON last appeared in the title game in 2005 and their 4-7 SU and ATS record away or on a neutral court this season, including 0-4 ATS as dogs, suggests a longer wait. Yes, the $$$-burning Huskies have certainly played like dogs when taking points this season. ARIZONA grabs the 4th slot in this down-and-out event (USC would be here but it’s self-imposed ban from the tourney precludes the Trojans). Wildcats will likely need to arrive to the title game in order to keep their 25-year NCAA tourney streak alive. Pedigree and a 7-1 ATS mark this season as conference dogs of three or more points make them dangerous.

THE SLEEPER: UCLA
Like most teams in this loop, it was a lean year for the Bruins. With only one starter back from last year’s 26-win team, Ben Howland’s youngsters simply could not sustain success, going 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS in conference when playing off a win. A full season of experience, along with Howland’s glittering 34-15 SU mark in post-season play, makes for a solid double-dose of anticipation. Don’t forget this: UCLA was 5-0 ATS against conference foes off back-to-back wins this season.

KEY TOURNAMENT BEST BET: Play On: WASHINGTON over Arizona State
The Huskies went down in flames as the No. 1 seed in this tourney to the Sun Devils last year and are 14-4 SU and 11-7 ATS in this series. Rest assured they would like nothing better than to send the Devils home with their tail dragging this year.

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