Nite Owl Sports Articles
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Date added: 08.28.08
Nite Owl Sports
Exposing Bogus NFL-X Systems - Part 2
In an article published in the Top Ten newsletter last week, I explored a few of the more common systems used for betting NFL-X, particularly in week 3 of the pre-season, and with the use of actual game results (in most cases from the past three years), exposed those popular systems as being bogus for the most part. In this sequel to that article, ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 08.22.08
Nite Owl Sports
Exposing Bogus NFL-X Systems
Anyone who has bet sports for any significant amount of time been exposed to numerous systems through the years, all claiming to be the key that unlocks the “mystery “ of being able to win consistently against the point spread and “the man.” With football being by far the most popular sport to bet, most of those systems involve ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 08.02.08
Nite Owl Sports
Getting Value Out of Heavy Faves in MLB
By this point of the season, anyone who bets MLB on a daily basis has probably already seen > 100 games where they look at the match-up of teams and starting pitchers, and decide they really like the favorite, until they see a money line price tag of 180>, often-200>. Anyone who has been betting on MLB very long knows that betting these pricey ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 06.21.08
Nite Owl Sports
Going Under the Radar in AFL and WNBA
Now that the NBA playoffs have ended, many amateur sports handicappers simply "pack it in" until football season, not wanting to get involved during the summer months in a time intensive sport like MLB which involves a "daily grind" of games and is, quite frankly, not a very entertaining spectator sport for many fans, due to its ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 06.15.08
Nite Owl Sports
Betting Ugly on Under in NBA Playoffs
While it varies from year to year how well (or poorly) the overs or the unders do in the NBA playoffs, the one thing that is more consistent is that most fans and sports bettors simply don’t like betting under, especially in hoops, where fast paced, high scoring games are generally preferred. And in the NBA finals, especially when one of the teams ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 06.10.08
Nite Owl Sports
Betting the Rest of Boston – LA Series
In Sunday’s newsletter we wrote an article about the advantages of using “in progress” adjusted series lines as a way to bet a heavy series favorite while still getting good line value. As stated in that article, in order to utilize this line value seeking strategy, you will need to have access to a sports "book" that allows ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 06.08.08
Nite Owl Sports
Getting Value with in Progress NBA Series Lines
We have bet NBA series sparingly, and until this final round we did not make a single series pick TY for our Top Ten clients, primarily because the odds for the faves we clearly expected to win each series have been ridiculous, and taking a dog at plus odds makes sense only if we expect the dog to win, which we did not to this point. In high profile ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 06.02.08
Nite Owl Sports
Finding Value in the Game within a Game
As we now are about to start the championship round of the NBA playoffs, it gets even harder to find value on either team, and moré difficult to go against their opponent, while for the most part, betting the full game over or the under is no easier, as shown in recently concluded Boston - Detroit series, with one game being a boring “brick ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 05.21.08
Nite Owl Sports
Betting NBA Late Rounds
As we now start the final two rounds of the NBA playoffs, it gets harder to find value on either team and moré difficult to go against their opponent, and for the most part, betting the over or the under is a “crap shoot.” In these rounds, there are lots of games priced in that hard to handicap point spread range which we call “no ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 05.17.08
Nite Owl Sports
Getting Value on big home faves in NHL Playoffs
When we look at this WE’s two NHL match-ups between Detroit and Dallas today, and Pitt and Philly on Sunday, we see the two likely Stanley Cup finalists, Pitt and Detroit, ready to drive the final nail in the coffins of each of their semi-final opponents and move on to this eagerly anticipated final round, where we actually should have some competitive ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 04.21.08
Nite Owl Sports
Win Easy on Arena Football
... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 03.26.08
Nite Owl Sports
How to Win in March Madness
Every March all of the Casinos and Hotels on The Vegas Strip and in "Glitter Gulch" in downtown Las Vegas go all out for March Madness, both in terms of decorations and special promotions. Everyone is excited of course, the local merchants, the hotel managers, and the fans (both local fans and those visiting town for a weekend of watching ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 03.05.08
Nite Owl Sports
The Art of Finishing
One of the many factors we consider at Nite Owl Sports in determining which games/teams qualify as official picks for our Top Ten clients is how well a team “finishes” games. For example, do they fold “down the stretch” under the pressure of a tight game, like the Sacto Kings did last night in their come from ahead non-covering ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 02.11.08
Nite Owl Sports
To Tease or not to Tease
First of all, let me make clear that I do not view sports betting as some recreational, gentlemanly form of “wagering.” Rather, I see it not only as a “business” but as a daily “street fight” with the sports books and their line makers, where we as sports handicappers and players should play “fair and square,” ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 02.08.08
Nite Owl Sports
It's All in the Units - Part 2
Thursday’s Top ten newsletter contained an article by Nite Owl Sports stressing the importance of astute management of units risked to units won as a valuable sports handicapping tool, which also pointed out that in the case of most newsletter readers, it’s equally important to figure in how much one is spending to buy their picks from ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 02.07.08
Nite Owl Sports
It’s All in the Units
Throughout my 30+ years as a sports handicapper, many people have asked what is my secret for achieving sports handicapping success, other than the obvious of picking more winners than losers. In previous articles published in the Top Ten Cappers newsletter and web site, I stressed the importance of finding “line value,” whether it’s ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 02.01.08
Nite Owl Sports
The second most important NE - NY game ever played
With all the Super bowl “hype” and anticipation, fueled not only by the magnitude of the game itself and the high scoring thriller played by these two teams in the final weekend of the regular season, but also by the “feeding frenzy” enjoyed by both the eastern media types and the Madison Avenue advertising execs over the renewal ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 01.23.08
Nite Owl Sports
Monitoring Player Availability & Injuries in the NBA
It’s amazing how quickly things can fall apart or come together for NBA teams, based on what weapons they do (or don’t) have at their disposal. In a league often criticized as being full of overpaid, self-indulgent “slackers” who really “bring it” only about every other game, the other side of the coin in the NBA ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 01.19.08
Nite Owl Sports
The Ice Bowls Cometh
The Effect of Unusually Cold Weather on the Outcomes of NFL playoff gamesWhile there have been some classic NFL conference championship games in the storied past of professional football, and a walk down “memory lane” discussing some of those games could easily make up an entire entertaining article by itself, that would have little to ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 01.13.08
Nite Owl Sports
Individual Team Totals for Best Value – Part 2
Earlier this week I wrote a newsletter article on the above subject, in which my message was that one often gets more value betting football totals using individual team totals bets for the number of points to be scored by one or both of the participants (often betting one under and the other over) than betting the full game total. I also gave some ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 01.08.08
Nite Owl Sports
Individual Team Totals for Best Value – Part 1
Anyone who has made many totals bets in the past week or so has probably had his share of frustration. With all due apologies to those who may have been “bitten in the ass” by one or more of these games, let me mention a few. In college football’s final bowl game Monday night, the BCS title game between LSU and Ohio State, there was ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 12.28.07
Nite Owl Sports
Navigating Dangerous Waters - Betting the NFL’s Final Week
As yet another NFL season full of surprises winds down to its final week, with all playoff spots filled except for the final wild card spot in each conference, it’s once again time to deal with that annual handicapper’s “mine field” otherwise known as the final week of the NFL regular season. Usually a knowledgeable NFL fan ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 11.26.07
Nite Owl Sports
Squeezing Blood out of a Rock
Using Individual Team Totals Bets to Get Value out of Difficult to Handicap NFL GamesOccasionally there are games that come up during the NFL season which present some real dilemmas for sports handicappers, such as tonight’s nationally televised MNF game between Pittsburgh and Miami. It does not take a mental giant to realize that Pitt is a much ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 11.17.07
Nite Owl Sports
When to use Second Half Bets
Thursday’s newsletter contained a free pick and write up by Nite Owl Sports advising readers to take the Over (67) in Thursday night’s Oregon-Arizona game, and gave many reasons why that was a good bet. What it didn’t take into account was the extent of Dennis Dixon’s knee injury and his vulnerability to aggravation of that ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 10.24.07
Nite Owl Sports
MLB World Series Preview
This World Series preview is the final sequel to Nite Owl’s MLB playoff preview (of the four divisional playoff series) and Nite Owl’s subsequent MLB Championship Series playoff preview, both having been published in earlier, recent editions of the Top Ten Cappers newsletter. In our divisional playoff preview, Nite Owl gave out complimentary ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 10.20.07
Nite Owl Sports
Preview of Game 6 of ALCS - Boston vs Cleveland
This key match-up at historic Fenway Park, with Boston as a (-130) money line favorite and the totals line set at 9 ½, should be both interesting and entertaining for fans of both teams, or just for baseball fans in general, but both the "side" and the total in this game are unplayable, in my opinion, for a number of reasons. Unlike ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 10.19.07
Nite Owl Sports
Finding Point Spread Value in College FB with Under the Radar Teams and Conferences
When I started betting on football nearly 30 years ago (the fall of 1978, to be exact), the number of “board” teams (i.e., those which could be bet on or against in Las Vegas or with one’s “neighborhood bookie”) was about half of what it is today, which was OK with the sports books and line services because there were ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 10.11.07
Nite Owl Sports
MLB Championship Series Playoff Preview
This article is a sequel to Nite Owl’s MLB playoff preview (of the four divisional playoff series) published in last week’s Top Ten Cappers newsletter. In that preview, Nite Owl gave out complimentary series picks of Arizona at (+110) to win their series over the Cubs (which they did, in just 3 games) and the Red Sox at (-170) to win their ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 10.03.07
Nite Owl Sports
2007 MLB Playoff Preview
For most baseball fans, this is the most exciting time of the year, especially for fans of the “elite eight” teams that have earned the right to continue playing and compete in the “fall classic” for the “big prize.” The playoffs also provide a some excellent wagering opportunities, especially for underdog players, ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
Date added: 09.28.07
Nite Owl Sports
Highs and lows in a day in the life of a pro sports handicapper
Public perception of professional sports handicappers (i.e., those who make a living or earn extra income by selling their picks and opinions on sporting events to the betting public) generally places them in one or more of the following general categories:(i) ex-jocks who are too old or physically “spent” to play any more, and can’t ... read more
Nite Owl Sports Bio and Picks
