NCAAF SATURDAY VICTORY CIGAR ON TOBACCO ROAD (Sat 12PM)
MREASt has a big 5***** BOMB in ACC play and he will continue his 60% rampage on the books with this winner. Get MREAST'S full Saturday card chock full of premium winners in all sports.
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MREAST NCAAF SATURDAY BOOKIE BUSTER (Sat 12PM)
MREAST has completed 12 weeks of the NCAAF season at 60%. He has a big winner here, and is making a big run to his Bowl games that will clcik at an even higher rate!
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MREAST NBA PLAY OF THE DAY! (Thu 8PM)
MREAST scored the easy cash on his NBA Total of the Year, with the Cleve/Detroit UNDER. Overall MREAST is connecting on 68% in the NBA at 15-7. He has another easy winner in tonight's action.
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NFL: The Goose that Lays the Golden Eggs
by: Mr East
I mentioned in many of my articles, that if you want to win in the efficient market of sports wagering, you have to continuosly search out inefficiencies within the marketplace. It is something I pride myself on, it is tedious work of countless hours, but the return is substantial. Here is one more gem that is in my arsenol, and although it yields a minimum amount of plays per season, when you have many to call on, it adds profitability over the longhaul. So how do you find inefficiencies, in an efficient market? The answer lies in several areas, but to keynote a couple, as it pertains to this article let's limit our focus to those paramount for this inefficiency. Let's begin with the premise, and that is this. What is about the worst thing that can happen to a profeesional athlete, in terms of defeat in an NFL game? Arguably, it is getting shutout at home, on your turf, in front of a sellout crowd. That is about as humiliating as it gets for a pro athlete, a head coach, an offensive coordinator, owner, and right down to the fans and media. It is pure hell! Your now the football fanatic, that loves to lay a few sheckles on Sunday, and as you peruse the betting lines, the fresh memory of team "X" that was shutout at home engrained in your mind, makes you avoid that team like the plague, afterall, how comfortable is it to put your hard earned cash on a team that couldn't even muster a point at home? So you look at their opponent, and it feels good to know that your playing against a team that can't do anything! Well, my fellow sports gambler, that thought process will send you to the poorhouse, lickity-split! Now your the oddsmakers, knowing the public isn't going to swallow anything on team "X" unless it is nice and juicy! So knowing his clients, he is going to load a few extra points against our inept team "X". Thank you MR. oddsmaker, because you have now turned an efficient market, into an inefficient one, and I'm going to take advantage of a market that has now swung the advantage over to my side. So let's investigate how teams that were shutout in the NFL at home in their last game. Since the 1991-92 season, inclusive through the close of the 2007-08 season, which is 17 years, this has happened 45 times. Our team "X", the one that was shutout in their previous game at home is 32-13 ATS!!! That is 71.1% ATS if you play on them in their next game!!!! here is a bit more proof if you need it. Of the 32 wins, 17 of them, more than half, have been games they lost outright, but the pointspread came into play to make them a winner against the line. That represents 53% of the time, the pointspread was decisive! The NFL average of when the pointspread comes into play, is about 22% of the time. Can you now see the influence of perception? Can you see how the oddsmakers are forced to make an efficient market, inefficient, based on a particular scenerio? The pointspread was padded to the point that on more than double the occasion, it turned a loser into a winner!!!! This is what I mean by spotting inefficiencies in the marketplace. It is something I do on a daily basis, and it is why I can beat an otherwise efficient market!!! Maybe this gives you a better understanding of one element of what I do, and hopefully some incites to help you understand where the money is. Just remember when a team is shutout at home, they are truly the goose that laid the golden egg!!!! PLAY THEM NEXT GAME!!!! it is gold!!!!
Mr East Past Articles
Mr. East's Weekly Look at NCAA-F Title Chasers
The Turkeys will soon be on the table, and that only means one thing. The college football season is winding down, and teams are jockeying for position, ... read more
Where the Value is in NCAA Basketball
Has parity snuck down to the College Basketball level now? Do we have the gap between top to bottom in all conferences that shows, the difference is not ... read more
Mr. East's Weekly Look at NCAAF Title Chasers
It has been another interesting week to say the least in college football. Penn St. bit the dust in Iowa City, and the BCS unbeatens are down to Texas ... read more
The Decline of Home-Field Advantage in the NFL
If you go back in the NFL with the inception of Monday Night Football, the rage with the novelty was the home underdog, which seemed to present blind ... read more
MREAST'S WEEKLY LOOK AT NCAAF TITLE CHASERS
What a game between Texas and Texas Tech. It was a nearly impossible spot for Texas, having played 3 undefeated teams in a row, and heading to Lubbock ... read more
Mr East Recent Past Picks
NBA Basketball
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons Wednesday November 19, 2008 7:30 pm
This is a huge division rivalry game, that usually turns out being played very physical and ugly. The Pistons have spent most of the early part of the season on the road, as they have played only 3 home games thus far. The one home game worth noting was a similar game vs the Celtics ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
College Football
Ball State Cardinals @ Central Michigan Chippewas Wednesday November 19, 2008 7:00 pm
The Ball St. Cardinals are flirting with an unbeaten season, and I don't think it comes to an end here. C. Michigan is an average team with a very misleading record. The Chippewa's have won 6 straight, and come in 8-2 on the season. The fact is they have won 5 games by 3 points or ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
College Basketball
Ball State Cardinals @ Butler Bulldogs Wednesday November 19, 2008 7:00 pm
Butler finsihed their season 30-4 last season. Butler plays a very disiplined style of basketball, with a defensive half-court mindset. That system must be learned a new, as all 5 starters from that 30-4 team are now gone. The Bulldogs have some good recruits, and one returning top ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
NBA Basketball
Portland Trailblazers @ Golden State Warriors Tuesday November 18, 2008 10:30 pm
Not sure why, but the odds-makers keep posting the Golden St. Warriors in a range that they play over at home, against everyone. When the Warriors are home they simply dictate the tempo, and their 5 home dates this season have averaged 213.6ppg. This is nothing new, as the Warriors ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
College Basketball
Nevada Wolf Pack @ San Diego Toreros Tuesday November 18, 2008 10:00 pm
I like the idea of taking dogs, that in my opinion are the better team, and getting points. San Diego gained late noteriety with NCAA win vs Uconn, so they will be over-priced early. nevada lost a couple key players, but that's the case every season, this is a program that gets good ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
College Football
Northern Illinois Huskies @ Kent State Golden Flashes Tuesday November 18, 2008 7:00 pm
The kent offense is very one-dimensional, and it all falls in the hands of Julian Edelman. Edelman is not only the QB with a big arm, he is the top running back for the Golden Flashes, and went over the 1,000 yard mark on the season last week vs Temple. The one thing Edelman is guilty ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
College Basketball
Cornell Big Red @ St John's Red Storm Monday November 17, 2008 9:30 pm
The Preseason NIT Tips off in Beantown Tonight, and the red Storm from St. John's takes on the Big Red from Cornell. Cornell made a trip to the Big Dance last season by running the table in the Ivy League, and winning 22 games. What is missing from Cornell's 22 win team from a year ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
NBA Basketball
Phoenix Suns @ Utah Jazz Monday November 17, 2008 9:00 pm
The Utah Jazz seem to get no respect from the odds-makers, when they are playing at home. They have opened the season with a 4-0 mark at home, and finsihed last season with a 27-1 mark at home in their last 28 regular season games. That brings the mark to 31-1 in their last 32, with ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
NFL Football
Cleveland Browns @ Buffalo Bills Monday November 17, 2008 8:35 pm
I'll start this by saying I have examined extensively the weather forecast in Buffalo, and the weather will not be a factor in this game. many here the nmention of the word snow, and the total begins to dive. A game that opened at 42.5 is as of this writing 40.5, and falling. the ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
College Basketball
Miami Ohio Redhawks @ Pittsburgh Panthers Monday November 17, 2008 7:00 pm
The Peterson Events Center, and the Pitt Panthers play host to the Miami of Ohio Redhawks tonight, and most likely without the services of Gilbert Brown, nursing an injury. Pittsburgh is definately a Final 4 candidate, especially with a healthy lavance Fields in the lineup, but these ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East