NCAAF SATURDAY VICTORY CIGAR ON TOBACCO ROAD (Sat 12PM)
MREASt has a big 5***** BOMB in ACC play and he will continue his 60% rampage on the books with this winner. Get MREAST'S full Saturday card chock full of premium winners in all sports.
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MREAST NCAAF SATURDAY BOOKIE BUSTER (Sat 12PM)
MREAST has completed 12 weeks of the NCAAF season at 60%. He has a big winner here, and is making a big run to his Bowl games that will clcik at an even higher rate!
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NFL PRESEASON SYSTEM
by: Mr East
Many shy away from the NFL-X for the simple reason that since the games don't count they are too unpredictable. I have to admit, I'm not one that subscribes to that philosophy, if there is a pointspread issued, then certain things will always show value along the way. I've decided to share some very hard and fast systems and thoeries, that have been tried and true for many years, and if you decide to play along, you can cash as well. Let's start with home dogs. Home dogs always seem to present interest, and value, and thee certainly is clear evidence that they wear an ultra glean during the NFL-X. Home dogs have been 75-48 ATS over the past 12 seasons, or 61%, certainly a percentage most anyone would grab, and be happy with. I've gone a bit further however. The AFC has been the better conference the past decade or so, and with it has come a 32-16 ATS mark in the NFL-X. The NFC has also done it's part in cashing winners at 43-32. There s another component to home dogs,and that s the totals in those games. They have gone under at a 72-50 mark, good for 59% as well. So history says, home dogs are 61% and unders are 59%, looks like a blind man could make a ton of money here,but let's not be blind, let's open our eyes to even greater value! There are 3 sets of games, that need to be extracted from these totals, with very logical reasoning (not backfitted unrelated meaning), big difference. The only game that starters play the bulk of the game in NFL-X is week 3. so does that make a difference to the advantage of the home dog? The obviously lesser team? You bet it does! Home dogs in week 3 are just 18-17 ATS, a virtual coin flip! The 2nd group of games are the Hall of Fame home dogs. They aren't really playing at home, but each year, the AFC, and NFC alternate hosting the game in Canton, and these become part of the home dog statstics, so we eliminate them as well. The 3rd group of games are those played by the Giants vs the Jets. Since both play every year, and both play in the same staidium, is there really a home dog? No, but they appear in the statistics as such. So you have to agree, these are logcal, meaningful groups of games, that are being extracted for the right reasons. So where does that leave us? Extracting those games, the AFC is 25-7 ATS as a home dog the last 12 years or 78.1%!!!! Th NFC is 32-24 or 57%, combined 57-31 or 65%!!!!! The AFC has played 20-11 UNDER after the extracions, and the NFC 33-21 UNDER, for a combined 53-32, or 62% UNDERS!!!! So there is where the NFL-X value lies. So now in looking at these trends, and reducing them to the most recent history (this decade 7 years), something about as valuable, as valuable gets emerges. I am not an advocate of parlays. Let me repeat I AM NOT AN ADVOCATE OF PARLAYS!!!!! BUT...BUT....BUT, when you have 2 elements within the same game connecting at 65% and 62% don't you think there might be some value to a parlay? Well there is some huge value! The past 7 years if you parlayed the home dogs and under (excluding of course week 3, HOF game, and NY vs NY), your parlays would be 28-26 or 52% winners!!!! Have you ever seen a parlay system with over 50 games in the database, that wins over 50% of the time? Most don't hit that on straight ATS bets, here is a parlay system that has won 52% of the time wih 54 games in the database. Most systems erode over time, this one has gotten better. The last 7 years home dogs, less th extractions are 37-13 ATS 74%!!!! UNDERS same rules, 36-15-3 70.6%. Combined 73-28 72.3%!!! Not going to find to many 100+ game systems with over 100 games played at over 72%!!! The expected winning percentage of a parlay with one side being a 74% chance winner and the other being a 71% chance winner is calculated as follows:.74 x .71 = .5254 The expected outcome is winning 52.54% of all parlays. The actual outcome has been 28-26 or 52%!!! Exactly as a math model would forecast!!!!ARE YOU READY FOR SOME FOOTBALL?My baseball picks and NFL-X picks have been off the charts in recent weeks, get on board with my early bird special in NFL at just 399.00 (reg. 599.00) and NCAA Football also available for a short time for just 399.00 as well. Last year my strong plays in the NFL went 38-25 or hit 60.3%!! (4 and 5 unit plays), and all total plays hit 60%!!
Mr East Past Articles
Mr. East's Weekly Look at NCAA-F Title Chasers
The Turkeys will soon be on the table, and that only means one thing. The college football season is winding down, and teams are jockeying for position, ... read more
Where the Value is in NCAA Basketball
Has parity snuck down to the College Basketball level now? Do we have the gap between top to bottom in all conferences that shows, the difference is not ... read more
Mr. East's Weekly Look at NCAAF Title Chasers
It has been another interesting week to say the least in college football. Penn St. bit the dust in Iowa City, and the BCS unbeatens are down to Texas ... read more
The Decline of Home-Field Advantage in the NFL
If you go back in the NFL with the inception of Monday Night Football, the rage with the novelty was the home underdog, which seemed to present blind ... read more
MREAST'S WEEKLY LOOK AT NCAAF TITLE CHASERS
What a game between Texas and Texas Tech. It was a nearly impossible spot for Texas, having played 3 undefeated teams in a row, and heading to Lubbock ... read more
Mr East Recent Past Picks
College Football
Ball State Cardinals @ Central Michigan Chippewas Wednesday November 19, 2008 7:00 pm
The Ball St. Cardinals are flirting with an unbeaten season, and I don't think it comes to an end here. C. Michigan is an average team with a very misleading record. The Chippewa's have won 6 straight, and come in 8-2 on the season. The fact is they have won 5 games by 3 points or ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
NBA Basketball
Portland Trailblazers @ Golden State Warriors Tuesday November 18, 2008 10:30 pm
Not sure why, but the odds-makers keep posting the Golden St. Warriors in a range that they play over at home, against everyone. When the Warriors are home they simply dictate the tempo, and their 5 home dates this season have averaged 213.6ppg. This is nothing new, as the Warriors ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
College Basketball
Nevada Wolf Pack @ San Diego Toreros Tuesday November 18, 2008 10:00 pm
I like the idea of taking dogs, that in my opinion are the better team, and getting points. San Diego gained late noteriety with NCAA win vs Uconn, so they will be over-priced early. nevada lost a couple key players, but that's the case every season, this is a program that gets good ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
College Football
Northern Illinois Huskies @ Kent State Golden Flashes Tuesday November 18, 2008 7:00 pm
The kent offense is very one-dimensional, and it all falls in the hands of Julian Edelman. Edelman is not only the QB with a big arm, he is the top running back for the Golden Flashes, and went over the 1,000 yard mark on the season last week vs Temple. The one thing Edelman is guilty ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
College Basketball
Cornell Big Red @ St John's Red Storm Monday November 17, 2008 9:30 pm
The Preseason NIT Tips off in Beantown Tonight, and the red Storm from St. John's takes on the Big Red from Cornell. Cornell made a trip to the Big Dance last season by running the table in the Ivy League, and winning 22 games. What is missing from Cornell's 22 win team from a year ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
NBA Basketball
Phoenix Suns @ Utah Jazz Monday November 17, 2008 9:00 pm
The Utah Jazz seem to get no respect from the odds-makers, when they are playing at home. They have opened the season with a 4-0 mark at home, and finsihed last season with a 27-1 mark at home in their last 28 regular season games. That brings the mark to 31-1 in their last 32, with ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
NFL Football
Cleveland Browns @ Buffalo Bills Monday November 17, 2008 8:35 pm
I'll start this by saying I have examined extensively the weather forecast in Buffalo, and the weather will not be a factor in this game. many here the nmention of the word snow, and the total begins to dive. A game that opened at 42.5 is as of this writing 40.5, and falling. the ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
College Basketball
Miami Ohio Redhawks @ Pittsburgh Panthers Monday November 17, 2008 7:00 pm
The Peterson Events Center, and the Pitt Panthers play host to the Miami of Ohio Redhawks tonight, and most likely without the services of Gilbert Brown, nursing an injury. Pittsburgh is definately a Final 4 candidate, especially with a healthy lavance Fields in the lineup, but these ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
College Basketball
Missouri State Bears @ Central Michigan Chippewas Monday November 17, 2008 7:00 pm
Missouri St. has lost a lot from last year, but what has transpired early, has been mind-boggling. Missouri St's top two returning players are on the shelf tonight with injuries, as well as 3 other expected contributors on a very young, inexperienced team, that was expected to finish ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East
NFL Football
Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins Sunday November 16, 2008 8:15 pm
Dallas will get Tony Romo back, but how effective will he be, and what kind of game plan will they use against the Redskins? I would think they will ease him back in, and not take chances downfield. The redskins are going to be without Portis, and that will likely lead to a controlled ... read more
Mr East Bio and Picks | Articles By Mr East