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NFL Betting: Best and Worst Against the Spread
by: Doc's Sports
We are halfway through the NFL season, give or take. This is a good time, then, for us to take a look at the teams that are being particularly kind to bettors, and those that are soaking the money bet on them in gas and lighting a match. Here, then, is a look at the good, the bad, and the downright ugly.
The Best
Tennessee (7-0 ATS) - Despite the Vince Young issue, this team is tearing the league apart. It doesn't seem that the bettors have jumped entirely on the bandwagon, because this team is a covering machine. What is remarkable about these guys so far is that they aren't just covering spreads, they are decimating them - in five of the seven games they have covered the spread by at least 10 points.
N.Y. Giants (5-2 ATS) - There are two teams on this list so far, and both have exceeded the expectations of most people this season. No a coincidence that they have done well ATS. The two games they have failed to cover have both been against teams from Ohio. I'm not sure what that means, but for what it's worth they don't play any more Ohio squads this year.
Arizona (5-2 ATS) - With the exception of their last game against Carolina, this is a team that has been covering spreads by significant margins. The key to the success here has to be, in large part, that Kurt Warner has been far better than anyone could have imagined coming into the season.
Baltimore (5-2 ATS) - A big part of the reason Baltimore has done well is that they have played some bad teams, and some decent teams in a funk - Cincinnati, Cleveland, Miami, Oakland. The second half of their season is a bit tougher, so they could struggle to reward bettors as well.
Philadelphia (5-2 ATS) - The Eagles may not quite be living up to expectations, but they have done well by bettors. Looking at the schedule, the one thing that sticks out glaringly is that the Eagles are 0-2 against their division, and 1-1 ATS in those games. With four more divisional games on the way this could be a problem.
Cleveland (5-2 ATS) - I was surprised to see the recently resurgent Browns this high on the list. Part of what has helped the Browns is that they have yet to be the favorites this season. Being an underdog and losing close games is a good way to make bettors happy.
The Worst
Houston (2-5 ATS) - A lot of people seemed to think the Texans were a possible wild card team. The last few weeks they have looked like it, but at the start of the year they were brutal. They obviously have failed to meet bettors' expectations.
Jacksonville (2-5 ATS) - Speaking of teams that have failed to live up to expectations - the Jaguars were supposed to be winning their division, not self-destructing. They have only been underdogs twice, and those are the only two games they have covered.
Minnesota (2-5 ATS) - Notice a trend - here's a third team that is playing far worse than people thought. This was a trendy Super Bowl pick, but the Vikings have proven to be inept.
Detroit (2-5 ATS) - What is shocking is not that the Lions are just 2-5 ATS, but rather that they have somehow managed to cover two games. This is one lousy team. Interestingly, the two lines they have covered have been their two biggest spreads of the season.
San Francisco (2-6 ATS) - This team started the season 2-1 straight up and ATS, but then the wheels fell right off. I believed in this team at the start of the year, so that collapse is a bit personally painful. They haven't covered a game in five weeks, and unless something changes quickly it might be a while yet.
Cincinnati (2-6 ATS) - This is another truly lousy team that has only managed to cover their two biggest spreads. Things are getting worse for this team - in the last two weeks they have failed to cover by 19 and 20 points, even though they were nine point underdogs in both cases.
Denver (1-5-1 ATS) - Of interest, the worst team on the list of the worst teams is the only one with a winning record. It's no mystery why this team has been so rough on bettors. They started the season with an explosive tour de force against Oakland, and they scored more than 30 points in each of the first three games. Then their offense cooled down, their defense was ridiculously bad, and the public was blinded by the hopes that their offense would wake up.
by T.O. Whenham
Doc's Sports Past Articles
This Week in Betting, A to Z
by T.O. Whenham - 12/22/2008A - Atlanta. I have to be a man and admit that I was wrong about the Falcons. I didn't believe that Michael Turner was going ... read more
This Week in Betting, A to Z
A - Arena Football League. The AFL is taking a year off to get their business in order. The question is whether anyone will care, or even notice. The ... read more
This Week in Betting, A to Z
A - Auburn. Tommy Tuberville is out as coach of the Tigers, but the circumstances, if the reports are to be believed, are odd. Even though his job was ... read more
College Basketball Betting: Is Louisville Doomed?
What the heck was that? Louisville was the No. 3-ranked team in the country, and a popular early choice to be a No. 1 seed in March. They have four established ... read more
NHL Betting: The Week's Biggest Stories
by T.O. Whenham - 11/24/2008There's a whole lot going on in the NHL that should be of interest to bettors, so let's not waste time:Hot, But Soon To Be ... read more
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Doc's Sports Recent Past Picks
College Basketball
Purdue Boilermakers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Tuesday January 6, 2009 9:00 pm
4 Unit Play. #741 Take Purdue over Penn State (9:00 pm Big 10 Network) We will take the better team in this contest with a low number, as Purdue will challenge for the Big 10 title before it is all said and done this season. Purdue, which holds a 20-9 advantage over PSU and has ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
College Football
Ball State Cardinals @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane Tuesday January 6, 2009 8:00 pm
3 Unit Play. #266 Take Under in Tulsa vs. TCU (8:00 pm ESPN) This is the second to last bowl game of the season and the last non-BCS Bowl game. It takes place in Mobile, AL and features the 12-1 Cardinals against the 10-3 Hurricanes. Ball State has got to be disappointed to be ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
NHL Hockey
Florida Panthers @ Toronto Maple Leafs Tuesday January 6, 2009 7:30 pm
5 Unit Play. #14 Take Toronto over Florida (7:35 pm NHL Center Ice) Eastern Conference Game of the Year. Perfect time to fade the Panthers with a low number, as they have lost five of their last six games and will complete a four game road trip tonight at the Air Canada Center. ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
NBA Basketball
Houston Rockets @ Philadelphia 76ers Tuesday January 6, 2009 7:00 pm
3-Unit Play #703 Take Houston/Philadelphia OVER (7 p.m. EST, Tuesday) The Sixers have been known as a defensive team but they sure haven’t been playing like it lately. This squad has given up an average of 103 PPG in their last five contests. They have surrendered 105 or ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
College Football
Ohio State Buckeyes @ Texas Longhorns Monday January 5, 2009 8:00 pm
5 Unit Play. #43 Take Ohio State Buckeyes over Texas Longhorns (Fiesta Bowl Monday 8:00 pm FOX) This is my upset special! Buckeyes were embarrassed last year, but no repeat is in sight. They have done extremely well in the Fiesta Bowl winning the game straight-up three of their ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
NBA Basketball
Sacramento Kings @ New Jersey Nets Monday January 5, 2009 7:30 pm
4-Unit Play #503 Take New Jersey/Sacramento UNDER (7:30 p.m. EST, Monday) New Jersey’s recent defensive numbers have been skewed by a slew of recent overtime games (three in their last five contests). Take out those OT results and calculate the numbers without the OT and ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
College Basketball
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds @ Niagara Purple Eagles Monday January 5, 2009 7:00 pm
4 Unit Play. #546 Take Niagara over Loyola Maryland (7:00 pm) We have been a little late to jump on the Purple Eagles bandwagon but we will not let them pass us by on Monday. Niagara leads the head-to-head series with Loyola, 28-14, and that includes a sweep of both meetings ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
NHL Hockey
Dallas Stars @ Vancouver Canucks Sunday January 4, 2009 10:00 pm
4 Unit Play. #14 Take Under 5 ½ in Dallas @ Vancouver (10:05 pm NHL Center Ice) ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
NBA Basketball
Portland Trailblazers @ Los Angeles Lakers Sunday January 4, 2009 9:30 pm
3-Unit Play #711 Take Portland Over LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST, Sunday) The Blazers have owned this series as of late and this is one of our favorite series to bet on. Despite the Lakers winning big in the season opener, Portland has covered in 21 of the last 26 meetings and they always ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
NFL Football
Philadelphia Eagles @ Minnesota Vikings Sunday January 4, 2009 4:30 pm
4 Unit Play. #42 Take Philadelphia Eagles over Minnesota Vikings (Sunday 4:30 pm Fox) The featured game on Sunday features a couple of one dimensional teams but we expect the Eagles to win this game straight-up and getting points in just a bonus. The Eagles are starting to put ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports