Marc Lawrence Double Perfect ATS NBA Killer Play! (Mon 7:00PM)
If you've been enjoying Marc's fabulous run in the NBA playoffs (13-5-1 overall) - including his Double Perfect Play winner on the Heat over the Pacers yesterday - you'll love his Double Perfect Play winner on Monday night's playoff card. Get it now as Marc continues to win again night!
NBA ROUND TWO BETTING EDGES
by: Marc Lawrence
NBA ROUND TWO BETTING EDGES
By Marc Lawrence
With the top seeds having flexed their muscle in the opening round of the NBA playoffs, it’s one to Round Two where a series upset or two is always in the realm of possibility.
Here are four solid moneymaking angles from my powerful database that have withstood the test of time throughout 2nd round playoff action. All results are ATS and since 1991, unless noted otherwise. Enjoy.
Tripped out favorites
Teams that take it on the chin three times in a row do not fare well when laying points in Round Two.
That’s confirmed by the fact that teams laying points off three consecutive losses that are 3-13 ATS in these games.
Worse, if they dropped their last game straight up as a favorite these teams generally fall off the map and out of the playoffs, going 3-7 SU and 0-10 ATS.
Last year San Antonio and Utah were sent packing in this identical spot.
Thou shall not lay points to a No. 1 seed
One golden rule in this round applies to top seeds, namely: never lay points against No.1 seeds.
That’s because inferior teams are just 16-27-1 ATS when playing points into No. 1 seeds since 1996. Worse, if the No. 1 seed is off a SU and ATS loss, lower seeded favorites are just 3-10 ATS.
And if the lower seeded favorite beat the top seed and covered the spread by nine or more points, they dip to 1-10 ATS.
Role reversals
You may not be comfortable changing roles in a relationship, but NBA teams in this round of the playoffs certainly are.
Round Two dogs (or picks) off a straight-up loss as a favorite are a 58% ATS proposition, going 31-21 ATS.
When changing roles off back-to-back SU and ATS losses, these pick-of-the-litter plays bark to the tune of 12-5 ATS, including 11-1 ATS if they own a win percentage of les than .680 on the season.
Running on empty
Home favorites that scored well below their average (77 or less points) in their previous game tend to fuel up the next game in this round.
That’s evident by a sparkling 18-9-1 ATS mark by Round Two favorites that tallied 77 or fewer points in their last game.
Put these favorites up against .625 or greater opposition and they top off at 14-3 ATS, including 13-1 when laying four or more points.
There you have it. Four reliable betting theories you can hang your hat on throughout the 2nd round of this year’s NBA playoffs.
Use your head and play accordingly.
Marc Lawrence Past Articles
2011 BIG 12 Conference Football Preview
Much like the shrink-wrap used by food packagers these days, the BIG 12 shrank to 10 teams for the 2011 season with the defections of Colorado (PAC 10) ... read more
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Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers Sunday May 20, 2012 3:30 pm
Play On: Miami Heat (Game 529)Note: When the Heat takes on the Pacers in Game Four of their 2nd round playoff series in Indiana Sunday afternoon Miami will take the court in a killer winning situation. That's because teams in Game Four of a playoff series, off a two losses-exact ... read more
MLB Baseball
Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs Saturday May 19, 2012 7:15 pm
Play On: Chicago Cubs w/Dempster vs Danks (Game 926)Note: The Cubs and White Sox meet in Game Two of this Interleague cross-town rivalry Saturday evening when Ryan Dempster matches serves with John Danks at Wrigley Field. Dempster takes the mound in great KW form with 18 strikeouts ... read more
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Miami Marlins @ Cleveland Indians Saturday May 19, 2012 4:05 pm
Play On: Miami Marlins w/SanchezNote: When the Marlins meet the Indians this Saturday afternoon in Game Two of this Interleague showdown in Cleveland the Fish will send the steady serves of Anibal Sanchez to the mound knowing he's posted a 1.65 ERA away from South Beach this season. ... read more
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San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers Saturday May 19, 2012 3:30 pm
Play On: L.A. Clippers (Game 526)Note: The Clippers return home to host the super-surging Spurs in Game Three of their 2nd round playoff series Saturday afternoon knowing they have excelled as underdogs this season with Chris Paul in the lineup in games when playing off back-to-back ... read more
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Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Friday May 18, 2012 10:35 pm
Play On: L.A. Lakers (Game 524)Note: The Lakers return home to host the Thunder in Game Three of their 2nd round playoff series Friday evening finding them in a 0-2 hole thanks to a gut-wrenching 77-75 loss at Oklahoma City Wednesday night. That sets the table for tonight's ... read more
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Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers Thursday May 17, 2012 7:05 pm
Play On: Miami Heat (Game 517)Note: When Miami travels to Indiana to take on the Pacers in Game Three of their 2nd round playoff series Thursday evening the Heat will take the court in a terrific winning situation. That's because road team in Game Three of a playoff series, ... read more
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Los Angeles Lakers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Wednesday May 16, 2012 9:35 pm
Play On: L.A. Lakers (Game 515)Note: When the Lakers take on the Thunder in Game Two of their 2nd round playoff series in Oklahoma City Wednesday evening Los Angeles will take the court tin a powerful winning situation. That's because Game Two playoff road dogs off a loss of ... read more
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Los Angeles Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs Tuesday May 15, 2012 9:35 pm
Play On: San Antonio (Game (506)Note: When the Spurs host the Clippers in Game One of their 2nd round playoff series Tuesday night San Antonio will take the court knowing that Game One road teams playing with one day of rest off a Game Seven win the previous series are ... read more
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Los Angeles Lakers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Monday May 14, 2012 9:35 pm
Play On: Oklahoma City (Game (508)Note: When the Thunder host the Lakers in Game One of their 2nd round playoff series Monday night Oklahoma City will take the court knowing that Game One dogs off a Game Seven home win the previous series are 0-14 SU and 1-13 ATS if they failed to ... read more
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Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat Sunday May 13, 2012 3:35 pm
Play On: Miami Heat (Game 502)Note: When the Heat host the Pacers in the first game in this 2nd round playoff series Sunday afternoon Miami will take the court in powerful winning situation. That's because road teams in Game One of a series that won their previous playoff series ... read more
