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Marc Lawrence College Hoops Super Pick Super Play! (Fri 7:00PM)
Marc's super hot hand on the College Hoops card (8-1-1 last 10 releases) continues Friday night with a Super Pick Play in a super winning situation. Put it on your ticket now and have a super winning night!
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Marc's red-hot hand on the hardwood (13-1-1 last 15 releases) continues in the NBA Friday night with a Killer Key Play. Best of all it's backed with a Triple Perfect winning situation inside the game. Get it now - you'll be glad you did!
NBA Championship Round Betting Edges
by: Marc Lawrence
With the Boston Celtics and the Los Angeles Lakers meeting in the 2010 NBA Finals, rather than rehash stories of Larry Bird and Magic Johnson, let’s instead look at four solid Championship Round betting theories outlined below from our powerful database. (Note: all results are ATS since 1991 unless noted otherwise.)
NO. 1 SEEDS DO NOT LIKE TO LOSE
You might beat them once. Twice in a row is another story.
That’s confirmed by the fact that No.1 seeds are 15-9 SU and 17-7 ATS in games off a SU and ATS loss if they own a win percentage of .700 or more since 1996.
Put these top-flight teams on the road off a SU loss and they improve to 13-5 ATS, including 12-2 the last 14 games.
HOME ON THE ROAD
Life may be cozy at home, but the money can be found on the road.
Our database finds visiting teams are moneymakers in the championship round, cashing 57% of the time, going 59-44-2 ATS. Better yet, put them in a game with the Over/Under total is 181 or higher and they improve to a 67% winning proposition, going 48-24-1 ATS
Put these same teams on the road in games with a total of 181 or more off a SU and ATS loss and they ratchet all the way up to 17-4 ATS.
RETURN TO EARTH
Defense rules in the championship round.
When teams manage to score an inordinate amount of points in any one game, they return to the earth faster than a spaceship from a mission.
That’s validated by the fact that teams who score 110 or more points in a championship round showdown are just 7-12 SU and 5-14 ATS in their next contest.
Dress these same teams up as favorites after igniting the scoreboard and they short-circuit out, going 2-12 ATS.
ZIG-ZAGGING
While the famed ‘Zig-Zag’ theory has unraveled the last 10 years in the playoffs, it still works in this round… if you work it right.
To do so you want to play on a dog off one loss exact in the championship round, as they are 20-15 ATS.
Take 5.5 or more points in this role and they increase to 12-5 ATS, including 10-2 ATS if they own a win percentage of .636 or more.
There you have it. Four time tested Championship Round theories. Play sharp as a marble and for keeps and, like the eventual champions, you too shall rule.
Marc Lawrence Past Articles
2011 BIG 12 Conference Football Preview
Much like the shrink-wrap used by food packagers these days, the BIG 12 shrank to 10 teams for the 2011 season with the defections of Colorado (PAC 10) ... read more
2011 Big 10 Conference Preview
It used to be that when you talked Big 10 Football you were talking Ohio State.After all, the Buckeyes won at least a share of the last six Big Ten Championships ... read more
2011 Big East Football Preview
As referenced in last year’s pre-season preview, this always-powerful basketball conference has come a long way toward establishing a football pedigree ... read more
2011 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE FOOTBALL PREVIEW
2011 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE FOOTBALL PREVIEWBy Marc LawrenceAfter leading the nation the previous four years with the most players selected in the ... read more
June Good Month Pitchers
JUNE GOOD MONTH PITCHERSBy Marc Lawrence If it’s June, school is out. And so too will be the NBA (we think). It’s also the time of the ... read more
All Marc Lawrence Past Articles
Marc Lawrence Past Picks
College Basketball
LSU Tigers @ Vanderbilt Commodores Wednesday February 8, 2012 9:00 pm
Play On: LSUNote: The improved Bengals (12-9), who have already won more games this year than they did all of last season (11-21), were sent packing from the SEC tourney by the Commodores in 2011. Not only does series history (11-7 ATS, including 7-4 ATS with revenge) suggest payback ... read more
NBA Basketball
Indiana Pacers @ Atlanta Hawks Wednesday February 8, 2012 7:35 pm
Play On: Atlanta Hawks (Game 512)Note: The Pacers may have caught the Hawks napping, 96-84, in the second of a two-game road trip in Indiana a month ago but our Playbook.com database expects Atlanta to be wide awake during the finale of this four-game homestand. Larry Drew’s ... read more
College Basketball
Akron Zips @ Western Michigan Broncos Wednesday February 8, 2012 7:00 pm
Play On: Western Michigan (Game 548)Note: When the Broncos play host the to Zips in a MAC showdown Wednesday evening Western Michigan will take the floor with revenge on its mind from being bumped out of the MAC tourney by Akron as a No. 2 seed in the semifinals to the No. 6 seed ... read more
NBA Basketball
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Golden State Warriors Tuesday February 7, 2012 10:35 pm
Play On: Golden State Warriors (Game 712)Note: We’ve been told that ‘thunder only happens when it’s raining.’ Well, apparently it’s been mostly clear skies in the Oakland area over the past six years as the Warriors have covered 17 of 25 meetings between ... read more
College Basketball
Iowa State Cyclones @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Tuesday February 7, 2012 7:00 pm
Play On: Oklahoma State (Game 714)Note: The revenge-minded Cowboys host the Cyclones in a Big 12 battle in Stillwater Tuesday evening knowing Iowa State has never won (0-14 SU, 4-10 ATS) in 14 career trips to Gallagher-Iba Arena. It also doesn’t help that Fred Hoiberg’s ... read more
NBA Basketball
Utah Jazz @ New York Knicks Monday February 6, 2012 7:35 pm
As much as we liked Utah on Saturday, we’re just not interested in ‘all that jazz’ tonight. We realize that the Garden hasn’t exactly been a ‘whoopee spot’ and, yes, the Knicks are cold of late while the Jazz are hot. However, series history – ... read more
College Basketball
Missouri Tigers @ Oklahoma Sooners Monday February 6, 2012 7:00 pm
Play On: Oklahoma (Game 524)Note: When the Sooners host the Tigers in a Big 12 battle in Norman Monday night Oklahoma will be looking to avenge an 38-point blowout loss suffered earlier this season in Missouri, the worst ever in OU head coach Lon Kruger's career. ... read more
NFL Football
New York Giants @ New England Patriots Sunday February 5, 2012 6:30 pm
Play On: New York Giants (Game 101)Note: It’s back to the drawing board for two teams who meet in Super Bowl XLVI at the ’House that Peyton Built’ in Indianapolis in a renewal of Super Bowl XLII when New York knocked off New England, 17-14, in dramatic fashion to ... read more
NBA Basketball
Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz Saturday February 4, 2012 9:05 pm
Play On: Utah Jazz (Game 522)Note: Heading into into last night’s same-season revenger in Denver, the road-poor Lakers have struggled away from the Staples Center this season (2-7 SU and ATS) and it doesn’t figure to get any better tonight in Utah’s dominant ... read more
College Basketball
Wright State Raiders @ Valparaiso Crusaders Saturday February 4, 2012 8:00 pm
Our database did a lot of recent mining in the Horizon League and it came up with more than a few nuggets, one of which is the fact that the Raiders are a much better dog at home in conference play (11-1 ATS L12) than they are on the road (7-14 ATS) – and away from the cozy ... read more
