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NBA Champ & Runner-up Game One, Next Year Results
by: Mr East
As the leaves here outside my New England home find their way to the ground, it can only mean one thing. The NBA season is upon us once again. Seems like just yesterday the Boston Celtics, and their powerhouse trio of Stars, Garnett, Allen, and Pierce, were the crowned jewel of the NBA for the 2007-08 season. I thought it would be an interesting topic to see how the Champion, as well as the runner-up, LA lakers in this case, performed on opening night the subsequent year. I have 16 years of NBA data, and decided to share with everyone what I found.
One of the most interesting things I came across was the fact that the NBA Champion Celtics will be the 8th straight Champion to open at home the following year, and the Lakers will be the 5th straight runner-up to open at home as well. So I guess that would be a good place to start, and here are the results.
The Champion has opened at home 11 times over the last 16 years and has played to a 6-5 ATS mark, while the runner-up has played at home 9 times to a 6-3 ATS mark. The totals have shown the Champs playing 9-2 to the UNDER, while the runner-up has played 4-4-1.
The overall results have shown the Champs play under in 13 of the last 16 following season openers, while the runner-up has played 8 overs 7 unders with 1 push.
The Champs have played 7-6 as a favorite, and 3-1 as a dog, while the runner-up has played 7-4 as a favorite, and 2-4 as a dog, all ATS figures.
So about the only thing that can get your attention is the Champs from the prior year have shown a propensity to play under in game one to the tune of 81.3% of the time over the last 16 years. This is certainly not enough data to make this a stand alone choice, but may show signs of a place to look deeper. Just like the fact that they have played 8 in a row to start the season at home, doesn't mean an automatic wager, if one existed, that would say bet this year's Champion to open at home next season. See, that is where short numbers ATS make bettor's feel comfortable that don't necessarily carry the value they appear to have, but when it is a betting angle, based on short numbers many often use it as reasoning.
Good luck this coming season, and I am a basketball junkie, and if you rach out for help, please investigate my track record here, game analysis, and consider me to do just that!
Have a great season!
EAST
Mr East Past Articles
Sleepless in Denver?
A lot is made of teams playing with no rest in the NBA. The question is does it matter? Here is my latest research and findings on NBA teams playing with ... read more
March Madness: Good, Bad and the Ugly
The NCAA Tournament is right around the corner. I thought i'd take a look at who has the bet winning percentage of all time in NCAA Tournament games. ... read more
Weekly Look at CFB Title Chasers
BCS Title Chasers - We are down to five unbeaten teams in NCAAF, and 12 teams with a single loss. The Oregon Ducks are the new #1 team in the latest BCS ... read more
Lay of the Line NFL Week 7
Another winning footabl week is now in the books, as both NCAAF and NFL football were winners for the week. We now turn to NCAAF week 8, and NFL week ... read more
Good and Bad Septembers, Does it Matter?
The Major League baseball Playoffs get started on Wednesday, so I thought I'd get you tuned in, to avoid the "trap" thinking that sends many ... read more
Mr East Past Picks
WNBA Basketball
New York Liberty @ Connecticut Sun Sunday May 20, 2012 5:00 pm
This is based on a moneyline situation that has close to 100 games in it, and has won 85% of the time, which puts the EV in this game very high, play Connecticut on the moneyline. ... read more
MLB Baseball
Oakland Athletics @ San Francisco Giants Sunday May 20, 2012 4:05 pm
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and ... read more
MLB Baseball
Oakland Athletics @ San Francisco Giants Sunday May 20, 2012 4:05 pm
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and ... read more
NBA Basketball
Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers Sunday May 20, 2012 3:30 pm
This game fits a 62-29-1 ATS situation that has a subset that is 18-4 ATS and another that is 9-0-1 ATS, and the play on team is Miami. ... read more
MLB Baseball
Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies Sunday May 20, 2012 3:10 pm
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and ... read more
MLB Baseball
Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs Sunday May 20, 2012 2:20 pm
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and ... read more
MLB Baseball
Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers Sunday May 20, 2012 2:10 pm
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and ... read more
MLB Baseball
Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals Sunday May 20, 2012 1:35 pm
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and ... read more
MLB Baseball
Boston Red Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies Sunday May 20, 2012 1:35 pm
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and ... read more
MLB Baseball
Boston Red Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies Sunday May 20, 2012 1:35 pm
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and ... read more
