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Mr East Articles

Article Topics: View All Articles By Mr East | NFL | College Football | NBA | College Basketball | MLB | WNBA | AFL | NHL

Mr. East's Weekly Look at NCAA-F Title Chasers
The Turkeys will soon be on the table, and that only means one thing. The college football season is winding down, and teams are jockeying for position, and the BCS Championship game still has some teams with chips on the table. There are still 5 teams with unblemished marks, and another 6 with just a single loss. Let's take a look at the week ahead, ... read more
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Where the Value is in NCAA Basketball
Has parity snuck down to the College Basketball level now? Do we have the gap between top to bottom in all conferences that shows, the difference is not what it once was, and if what happened last year is indicitive of things to come this season, then I'm going to give you something to look out for and pay attention to. We have seen the big NFL underdogs ... read more
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Mr. East's Weekly Look at NCAAF Title Chasers
It has been another interesting week to say the least in college football. Penn St. bit the dust in Iowa City, and the BCS unbeatens are down to Texas Tech and Alabama, who need OT to survive the LSU TIGERS. We are now down to 5 unbeatens with 3 Cinderellas trying to crash the party in Ball St., Utah (a miracle finish), and Boise St. Here is a look ... read more
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The Decline of Home-Field Advantage in the NFL
If you go back in the NFL with the inception of Monday Night Football, the rage with the novelty was the home underdog, which seemed to present blind value each time an opportunity presented itself. It has long been established that the homefield advantage was worth 3 points to the home team. How do those numbers work out today, and what is leading ... read more
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MREAST'S WEEKLY LOOK AT NCAAF TITLE CHASERS
What a game between Texas and Texas Tech. It was a nearly impossible spot for Texas, having played 3 undefeated teams in a row, and heading to Lubbock to meet their 4th. They left with the loss, being the 2nd undeated team to drop from the ranks, as Tulsa went down to Arkansas as well. That leaves just 7 teams amongst the ranks of the unbeaten, with ... read more
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NBA Champ & Runner-up Game One, Next Year Results
As the leaves here outside my New England home find their way to the ground, it can only mean one thing. The NBA season is upon us once again. Seems like just yesterday the Boston Celtics, and their powerhouse trio of Stars, Garnett, Allen, and Pierce, were the crowned jewel of the NBA for the 2007-08 season. I thought it would be an interesting topic ... read more
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Mr. East's Weekly Look at NCAA-F Title Chasers
This week saw the action at the top settle down, as the only causalty was Oklahoma St. in a head-to-head battle of unbeatens vs Texas Tech. We are now down to 8 unbeaten teams, and the Cinderella report includes Ball St.,Tulsa,Boise St., and Utah, still amongst the ranks of the unbeaten. I will begin with this week, not only to take a look at the week ... read more
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NCAA Basketball - Thoughts on Futures
The 2008-09 NCAA Basketball season is on the horizon, as the hoopla surrounding Midnight Madness, slam dunk contests, and then the ultimate preparation begins, for who will be holding the scissors cutting down the nets after the final horn blows. I'd like to share a few of my thoughts, and offer some futures opportunities, that appear to have some ... read more
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NFL Teams Ranked in the Bottom 3 on Defense
I took a long hard look at tonight's Denver at New England game. One of the things I wanted to research, is how teams ranked in the bottom 3 of the league (Denver), fared when playing on the road? I took a look at these teams from an overall ATS mark, as well as totals, and also in lined games where the pointspread was close, as it is here (currently ... read more
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MREAST'S WEEKLY LOOK AT TITLE CHASERS
There was only one casualty this week from the ranks of the unbeaten, as BYU went down hard to the tenacious defense of TCU. As we head to week 9, there are now 9 undefeated teams left. The BIG-12 continues to be most impressive as of the 5 BCS Conference schools with undefeated teams, 3 reside in the BIG-12. The Cinderella teams remain in force, with ... read more
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NCAAF HOMECOMING PLAY OR FADE?
There is always a lot of talk about how Homecoming is a big game on teams schedule, and how motivated they will be to win on what is perhaps the most exciting day on the home schedule, for fans, and players, as well as family, and alums. Truthfully, it is a nightmare for the coaches, as they try to clear the path of distractions in the players minds ... read more
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POST-SCRIPT TO NFL WEEK 6
I sometimes get mail from clients regarding how I can make a pick on a certain team, and they include lots of statistical reasons why it is a bad choice. It is often the very reason many stumble when it comes to picking winners in the NFL. I guess this week serves as a case in point. The Cleveland Browns, fresh in the memory banks serves as 1 indicator. ... read more
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Mr. East's Weekly Look at NCAAF Title Chasers
It was a tough week for the unbeatens, as 5 went down, and that means we now have just 10 left standing. Perhaps the most outstanding feature of the 10 that remain, is the fact that 5 Cinderella hopefuls remain unbeaten from non-BCS Conferences. The 5 remaining BCS Confernce teams left, show 3 from the Big-12, 1 from the Big-10, and 1 from the SEC. ... read more
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Weekly Look at NCAAF Title Chasers
The last 2 weeks has now seen 11 teams vanish from the ranks of the unbeaten. Georgia, USC, Florida, and Ohio St, thought to be the top 4 coming into this season have now dropped from the ranks of the unbeaten. Their were 3 more causalties this week, as S. Florida, Uconn, and Kentucky suffered their first defeats. There are now only 15 teams left ... read more
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Weekly Look at NCAAF Championship Chasers
We have now completed five weeks of play in NCAA Football, and the perfect teams are down from 26 a week ago to 18 this week. The National Championship game which was supposed to go through Florida, USC, Georgia, or Ohio St., now looks like it will be determined elsewhere, as all 4 have suffered a loss. There are now just 13 BCS schools left unblemished, ... read more
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Mr. East's Weekly Look Inside NCAAF Title Chasers
Well the season is now 4 weeks old, and the undefeated teams went from 33 a week ago, down to 26 this week. The Non-BCS Conference teams are still carrying 6 Cinderella hopefuls, while the BCS Conferences have 20 teams holding onto the goose-egg in the loss column.This week has just 2 guaranteed departures from the list of 26, as the YCU vs Oklahoma ... read more
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What You Should Know Aboout MLB Playoffs
I have had a great deal of success in major league baseball, as I'm about to cap off my 7th straight winning season, and look forward to the post-season, where the success has been equal. It would be a bit disconcerting not faring well in baseball, since I played professionally, and certainly have a vast knowledge of what transpires, emotional, mentally, ... read more
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WHY THE NBA PLAYOFFS ARE UNFAIR
The NBA made a decision 22 years ago to change the format of its 7 game series playoff rounds from 2-2-1-1-1, to 2-3-2. It has made the playoff games totally unfair. The decision was made purely for the economics of travel. By creating a 2-3-2 format it ensured that the travel was limited to 2 trips during the course of the series if it was extended ... read more
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WORLD SERIES OR FORMALITY?
     Unless you have been in a coma, there is no doubt your aware of the edge the American League has had on the National League. Is this the year that the NL finally gets redemption? If you look at interleague play, the All-Star game, and prior years, one would be hard pressed to reach that conclusion. The AL once again stormed through interleague ... read more
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PLAY OR FADE AFTER THE MONDAY NIGHT BLOWOUT?
Anyone that has followed me, realizes I am big on situational handicapping, as well as fundamental handicapping. I am always on the alert to situations pertaining to a game that are meaningful, show an elongated history of performing well, and areas where an otherwise efficient market goes inefficient. So let's get into a little conversation about ... read more
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NFL: The Goose that Lays the Golden Eggs
I mentioned in many of my articles, that if you want to win in the efficient market of sports wagering, you have to continuosly search out inefficiencies within the marketplace. It is something I pride myself on, it is tedious work of countless hours, but the return is substantial. Here is one more gem that is in my arsenol, and although it yields ... read more
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NFL: When The Worst becomes The Best!
The NFL has many surprises, and I'm going to reveal a big one in this article. The mindset of the sports gambler is one of favorites, teams that score a bunch of points, and overs, when a good offense is on display, or better yet, when 2 offenses take the field. There is a certain comfort zone putting money on a team that performed at a high level ... read more
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What makes a professional handicapper good?
There are many who read this that always wonder what makes a professional handicapper different from anyone else trying to pick games in what is considered an efficient sports market. There are many reasons, but only one good one. I'll begin by identifying the marketplace for sports wagering as one that is very highly efficient. This is what I mean ... read more
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DID YOU EVER WONDER ABOUT A GOOD OR BAD PRESEASON?
Many have coined the NFL Preseason, as a bunch of meaningless games, that generate little interest, and is just a stage for borderline players to make a case to secure an NFL roster spot. While that may be the truth, the overall performance of teams, may very well merit some consideration of these results, because there are some longterm trends, that ... read more
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NFL TOTALS RESEARCH AND SYSTEM
While it is very infrequent you can sift through 20 years of data and come up with something that shows a very consistent high frequency of winning, and is based on logic, not coincidence. I'd like to share my thoughts on one such discovery, and it has proven it's validity over time. I guess the best place to start is with the mindset of both the oddsmakers, ... read more
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WHAT YOU SHOULD KNOW ABOUT BACKFITTING DATA
For those of you that have never heard the term backfitting, let me give you a descriptive idea as to what is meant by backfitting. Backfitting data takes place when added conditions are placed upon a data set to improve overall performance. As an example, let's say a data set consists of one premise: The Green Bay Packers are 74-63 ATS at home since ... read more
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COACHES AND THE NFL-X WHAT YOU SHOULD KNOW
The NFL-X is a place where many bettors shy away from, but there are also opportunities here, just like there is in any sport. When a line is posted it is meant to consider a lot of things, and one of those things is the fact that these games are exhibition games, and what you see for lines in these games, are often in the 2,3, and 4 range, very seldom ... read more
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NFL PRESEASON SYSTEM
Many shy away from the NFL-X for the simple reason that since the games don't count they are too unpredictable. I have to admit, I'm not one that subscribes to that philosophy, if there is a pointspread issued, then certain things will always show value along the way. I've decided to share some very hard and fast systems and thoeries, that have been ... read more
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RUNLINE SYSTEMS
One of the most overlooked areas of wagering in baseball, is playing a team to win or lose on the runline as opposed to the moneyline. It is mostly because gamblers are pretty headstrong in their understanding and beliefs, and it becomes hard for them to measure just how much value there is in a runline wager vs a more conventional moneyline wager. ... read more
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CASHING IN ON THE NFL-X
Many think their is no value playing meaningless games in the NFL Preseason, or wonder how can you base anything on teams that are experimenting with new systems, evaluating players, etc. There is some truth to the facts, but no truth to the fact there is no value in playing these games, If you look toward the right situations, the right opportunity ... read more
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