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Matt Fargo Sports NFL Football Past Picks
NFL Football
New York Giants @ New England Patriots Sunday February 5, 2012 6:30 pm
The Giants are coming off their second straight playoff game where they were outgained but still pulled off the win as turnovers once again played a big role. It was unfortunate the way the 49ers season ended but you still have to give credit to the Giants as the defensive intensity ... read more
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NFL Football
New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers Sunday January 22, 2012 6:30 pm
Many will argue that the Packers lost last week as opposed to the Giants winning and while that is true to some degree, it is more than that. Green Bay hurt itself with turnovers and dropped passes but the New York defense had a lot to do with that. The Giants allowed 388 total yards, ... read more
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NFL Football
Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots Sunday January 22, 2012 3:00 pm
We got the line we wanted and we will get this one out there early as we are over a key number. Baltimore did not look very good in winning over Houston as it was outgained although it did have chances to cover the number as a missed opportunity at the goalline proved to be the difference. ... read more
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NFL Football
New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers Sunday January 15, 2012 4:30 pm
We saw the Giants take out the Falcons rather easily in the first round on Sunday and they are playing their best football of the season. This is especially true on the defensive side of the ball. New York did not allow Atlanta's offense to score as the two points came on a safety ... read more
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NFL Football
Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens Sunday January 15, 2012 1:00 pm
We won with Houston last week against the Bengals and while it was a dominating performance on the scoreboard, it was not so much on the field as the Texans outgained Cincinnati by only 40 total yards. It was the fourth straight game for Houston where the yardage differentials were ... read more
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NFL Football
Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots Saturday January 14, 2012 8:00 pm
The one big fear of playing Denver here is the letdown factor. The Broncos won as huge underdogs last week and now have to travel east less than a week later so the situation is far from ideal but that is negated by the matchup. This is the second meeting between the Broncos and ... read more
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NFL Football
New Orleans Saints @ San Francisco 49ers Saturday January 14, 2012 4:30 pm
New Orleans has won and covered nine straight games since losing in St. Louis which came right after winning that lopsided home game against the Colts. The fact that the Saints are road favorites here is no surprise at all and I actually think they should be favored by more. Taking ... read more
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NFL Football
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos Sunday January 8, 2012 4:30 pm
I understand that the playoffs are different than the regular season as experience plays a big part in that. In this case Pittsburgh has it while Denver does not. But this point spread is out of control. Very rarely will you see a team favored on the road by this much in the playoffs ... read more
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NFL Football
Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants Sunday January 8, 2012 1:00 pm
Just when you thought the Giants season was unraveling once again, they came through with two big wins at the end of the season to capture the NFC East and make it into the playoffs. Even though it is only two games, they are playing at a high level and last week against the Cowboys, ... read more
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NFL Football
Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints Saturday January 7, 2012 8:00 pm
This is a contrarian value play to the max. Everyone is expecting a shootout between Detroit and New Orleans and why not since these are two of the most potent offenses in the NFL. The linesmakers are adjusting for the influx of over money as this total has now reached 59 and by ... read more
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NFL Football
Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston Texans Saturday January 7, 2012 4:30 pm
It is too bad that the Texans lost so many key players to injury this season as it could have been a really special one. Nonetheless, they are in the playoffs for the first time in franchise history and they will make the most of it, at least in the first round. The fact that this ... read more
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NFL Football
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants Sunday January 1, 2012 8:20 pm
We won with the Giants in the first meeting and while that may have been considered a fortunate win, it shows the problems going on with the Cowboys. New York was in a must win spot last week against the Jets and it came out as focused as it has been all season and I expect a repeat ... read more
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NFL Football
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Sunday January 1, 2012 4:15 pm
We head into the final week of the NFL season where different dynamics need to be taken into account. Matt has uncovered a PRIME SITUATION this week that he has had circled for a while! Join him for his NFL Game of the Year that is backed by a PERFECT 7-0 ATS (100%) Power Angle! ... read more
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NFL Football
Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots Sunday January 1, 2012 1:00 pm
The Patriots need to win to grab the overall top seed in the AFC and the situation could not be better for us this week. First, let's start with the scheduling of the games this week. Should the Steelers and Ravens both lose, the Patriots get the first round bye and home field advantage ... read more
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NFL Football
Tennesse Titans @ Houston Texans Sunday January 1, 2012 1:00 pm
This is a must win game for Tennessee as it is still mathematically alive for a playoff berth but it needs a lot to happen. The Titans would clinch the sixth seed with a win and a Bengals loss and either a Jets win or both a Broncos win and Raiders win (but not all three). Good luck ... read more
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NFL Football
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints Monday December 26, 2011 8:35 pm
This is a big game for both sides. Based on what the Packers did on Sunday night, the Saints could still be in line for the number one seed but just as important is the number two seed which gets a first round bye. On the other side, Atlanta is still fighting for a playoff berth ... read more
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NFL Football
Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys Saturday December 24, 2011 4:15 pm
We have seen this line drop from an opening of three points down as low as 1.5 points in some places. Laying anything below three points in a divisional game is huge especially when there is so much on the line as is the case here. Dallas woke up last Saturday after a run of lackluster ... read more
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NFL Football
San Diego Chargers @ Detroit Lions Saturday December 24, 2011 4:05 pm
Detroit certainly has some momentum on its side following a huge road win at Oakland last week where it scored twice in the final five minutes to pull out a much needed win. The Lions head home and can clinch a playoff berth with a victory but it certainly won't be easy as it faces ... read more
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NFL Football
Arizona Cardinals @ Cincinnati Bengals Saturday December 24, 2011 1:00 pm
Matt is primed for a HUGE NFL Week 16! Included is a Three-Game Underdog Pack that he intends on SWEEPING so grab these Three Reports and CASH BIG on X-Mas Eve! He WON this package each of the last two weeks (KC and SD Outright LW) and he carries the momentum from that as the dogs ... read more
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NFL Football
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots Saturday December 24, 2011 1:00 pm
The turnaround from the Dolphins has been impressive but not to the point of where this line is at this week. Miami won at Buffalo last week in interim head coach Todd Bowles' first game after Tony Sparano was fired last Monday. Those are the types of situations that players tend ... read more
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NFL Football
Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills Saturday December 24, 2011 1:00 pm
A once promising season has gone completely south for the Bills as they have dropped seven straight games after a 5-2 start. Interestingly, Bills futures tickets are resting on this game as their season win total of five has one last chance to get surpassed as next week, Buffalo ... read more
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NFL Football
Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs Saturday December 24, 2011 1:00 pm
We either pushed or won with the Raiders this past Sunday depending on the line as they had the game in hand but allowed two late scores to fall to 7-7 on the season. They still trail the Broncos by a game in the AFC West and it is obviously now or never time for Oakland. It comes ... read more
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NFL Football
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts Thursday December 22, 2011 8:25 pm
Indianapolis got the win it was after so while the pressure is now off, so isn't the desperation factor which can really charge up a team which we saw against Tennessee. It has obviously been a tough season for the Colts without Peyton Manning and at this point they are simply playing ... read more
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NFL Football
Pittsburgh Steelers @ San Francisco 49ers Monday December 19, 2011 8:35 pm
After a couple of duds on Monday night, we are getting one of the bet games of the weekend this week with the Steelers traveling to San Francisco. We won going against the 49ers last Sunday against Arizona but we will back them at home this week at a very good price. Coming off a ... read more
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NFL Football
Baltimore Ravens @ San Diego Chargers Sunday December 18, 2011 8:25 pm
The Chargers are making a December run which comes as no surprise as we have seen it for years after coming out slow the first few months. While it may be too little, too late, San Diego is not out of the playoff picture just yet. If the Chargers win out, which is very possible, ... read more
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NFL Football
Detroit Lions @ Oakland Raiders Sunday December 18, 2011 4:05 pm
As of Wednesday, the Lions are favored in this game by a point which means that Detroit is considered five points better than Oakland on an even playing field. I'm certainly not buying that. The Lions were the darlings of the NFL betting world earlier this season when they started ... read more
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NFL Football
Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears Sunday December 18, 2011 1:00 pm
The loss of quarterback Jay Cutler has obviously been a devastating one for the Bears as they have lost all three games since his injury. They have scored only 33 points in the three games after scoring at least 30 points in each of the Cutler's last three games. The loss of Matt ... read more
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NFL Football
Green Bay Packers @ Kansas City Chiefs Sunday December 18, 2011 1:00 pm
There is not a whole lot standing in the way of Green Bay for it to go undefeated this season. This is the final road game of the season and closing with two home games against divisional foes Detroit and Chicago sets it up well. While losing in Kansas City is unlikely, it certainly ... read more
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NFL Football
New Orleans Saints @ Minnesota Vikings Sunday December 18, 2011 1:00 pm
The Saints got away with one last week at Tennessee and as assumed, they come in as bigger road favorites this week at Minnesota. New Orleans is a perfect 6-0 at home but it is just 4-3 on the road. Granted, one of those losses came against Green Bay but the other two came against ... read more
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NFL Football
Tennesse Titans @ Indianapolis Colts Sunday December 18, 2011 1:00 pm
This is arguably the last chance that the Colts have to win at home as next week, they host their home finale against Houston which is right in the thick of the top seed in the AFC so the Texans will be out to win. Indianapolis has covered its last two games, both of which came on ... read more
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