IC's Wednesday Research and Short Article!

by: IndianCowboy

Last Weekend:

2-0-1 College Football Saturday and 4-1-1 Overall Weekend, 5* Selections,2-0 last Weekend & 14-3 Lifetime now.

Minny vs. Phoenix

The odds for this game have opened up at -3 for Phoenix and the first thing that strikes you is the fact is that over 80% favor Phoenix for this game. Keep in mind that Lynx got absolutely drilled on the road last night at the Sparks. Remember, when a team gets beat by that bad of a margin, they show heart the next time they play. Heck, look at the Liberty who went on the road to beat a very good Houston team Outright in Overtime. That alone tells you that a road team can have bite and show some heart, heck, why else would Vegas set a line, for the only wnba game of the night, to have Phoenix, an incredibly public team favored by just -3, after Minny comes off a thrashing, with over 80% favoring the Mercury, while Minny comes off getting beat by 24. In fact, it has been quite some time since the Lynx have lost back to back ballgames ATS. You have to go farther than 10 games back for certain as the order typical goes like such for the past 10 games in covers: L, W, L, W, W, L, W, L, W, L. Guess what's next? Remember, this is the same team that won at Indiana and San Antonio in Overtime (Conference Leader), Phoenix has lost back to back home games including a 22 point loss at home to San Antonio recently, this team is still without Tangela Smith who averages more than 10 points and nearly 7 rebounds a ballgame and this team also continues to have Penny Taylor out due to a personal situation. All I'm saying is that when 80% of the public jumps on a team, it is reason to be wary, and Minny comes off an ugly loss which is more reason why Minny is likely to show up here and Of course, an active dog, typically means an over, but 176 is an awful lot of points.

Wednesday, September 3rd

Short Article: Reducing Variability.

The bottom line is this is Football season and the advantage of doing research in advance and doing detailed research in football is incredibly fruitful. After all, with so many games going on, similar to college basketball, it is easier to spot situations to wager and get much better earlier as compared to later. But, selectivity is key. Hence, by passing on baseball research and focusing on football research, it allows me to do the Games well in advance, it allows me to do the Research in even more detail not only allows clients to get better lines earlier in the week for NFL and College Football Games in which lines move 1.5 to 2.5 many a times, but it also allows folks that read my blog to get the Research and be more educated in making their bets. Furthermore, I have always trusted betting in the sports of Football and Basketball far more - this includes the NFL, College Football, College Basketball, NBA, the WNBA and this Summer, Canadian Football. In fact, I trust these sports far more than Baseball which I feel has significantly more variability, about 3% more variability in fact than Football or Basketball. In essence, I would far more trust a wager on the Gridiron and on the Hardcourt, than on the Baseball field, given Bullpens and even the Best Pitchers can get shelled, plus, the potential of giving up run-lines to find any value in a ballgame is not a concept that I like which I make clear on a regular basis and not to mention, once again, a starting pitcher usually goes roughly 6 innings these days and all hell can break lose near the end of a ballgame - you know what I mean if you have ever bet Baseball. Having said that, it is far better imo to bet Football and Basketball, if you're team loses in Football or fails to cover the Spread, it is Usually because you have Capped the Game wrong, which is far better than you getting shafted by a respective baseball team's bullpen. I feel in particular for Cubs, Whitesox and fans of the Braves Bullpen. Thus, Football and Basketball in my mind have less variability than Baseball (roughly 3% to my calculation) - which for me is significant. This is not to say there is not variability in Basketball or Football, after all, any team can lay down on any given day, but I believe there is simply less variability in these sports as compared to Baseball which has far more factors of uncertainty. Having said that, I will get out the Research quicker while focusing just on Football and WNBA, have more research on each ballgame and get out my Football Card for Betting by Thursday of Each Week. In fact, Most if not All of my Plays will be Released by Thursday of Each Week from here on out with the Occasional added plays if certain lines such as for Wnba games which won't be released until later in the week.

Free Phone Service Every Day. Today's Hours: 5pm - 7pm. You can also pick my brain on any ballgame today. Call 877-BET-WINS (877-238-9467), Press #1 and Ask to speak to IC.

IndianCowboy Past Articles

Saturday MLB Research
Kansas City vs. St. LouisSt. Louis wins 5-0 over the Royals as they defeated Davies and Wellermeyer pitches a sound game and bounces back well. Hochevar ... read more

Wednesday's MLB Research
Texas vs. DetroitGive Willis and the Tigers credit. They win 4-0 yesterday although McCarthy didn't pitch that bad either. Texas had won 7 of 8 coming ... read more

IC's Thursday MLB Research
MLBTexas vs. OaklandTexas comes off winning 3-2 yesterday as they are now a solid 15-12 for the year; in fact, they lead the AL West with the 15-12 record ... read more

Monday's MLB Research
Back to Back MLB Winning Weeks. Texas vs. BaltimoreThese two teams are no strangers to each other. Harrison has given up 11 runs in his last 9 innings. ... read more

Sunday MLB Research
13-6 Last 19 MLB Selections (68%) & Back to Back MLB Winning Weeks. Minnesota vs. Cleveland(Perkins vs. Laffey)Minnesota comes off a win yesterday ... read more

All IndianCowboy Past Picks