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IC's Research: Friday Football and Wnba Research
by: IndianCowboy
4-1-1 Last Weekend in Football and 2-0-1 on Saturday including Utah Outright and Florida as the POD Winner.
NCAAF
Navy vs. Ball State
Navy is well known for its triple option and just because the previous ball coach has left does not change anything for Ken Niumatalolo as this team has had a tradition of winning of late especially as they have dominated contests between Armed Forces ballgames. After all, Niumatalolo spent a decade underneath Johnson and similar to the military as their football team, they have hired the next individual that has waited in the wings. This team does return 4 starters and note that their backfield has plenty of experience running the triple option. Remember this was an 8 win team last year, they are solid and their defensive has gotten significantly better with 8 returning starters. Heck, Navy was around 100th in the nation in defense allowing nearly 440 yards per game, but once again, they had injuries and have worked on getting better scout teams. The Ball State Cardinals of 2008, return a solid group of starters as they return 11 on offense and 8 on defense. Any team that returns 19 of the 22 players that start, typically are sound when it comes to knowing what is expected of them and their respective offense and defense. Ball State actually beat Navy by a field goal last year on the road, there is no reason that such a tight ballgame cannot happen here once again. When looking at the offense, both these teams are led by veteran quarterbacks including Ball State which has a QB that was the MAC's best passer last year. Note, the total is above 60 for a reason as there was 65 points scored last year (34-31 Ball State in OT). Navy was 4-0 to the over last year as their offense was able to put up the points but just as quickly their defense gave up the points, and with only 4 returning starters on defense, who is to say that this is not going to happen again. Ball State returns the same defense as it does last year, of course, this team gave up 50+ points to Rutgers, but did have several ballgames where they played very well at home. So, in short, what you have is two good offenses with Ball State having a clear edge on defense.
WNBA
Chicago vs. Connecticut
Your quick look at WNBA Research is as follows. Note, that Connecticut is a big favorite over Chicago today, but the question begs does the Sky really need to be nearly 10 point dogs on the road. After all, this is the same team that beat Detroit at home, Washington on the road and New York on the road Outright. Sure, they lost to Seattle at home but Seattle is a solid team. Furthermore, Chicago is a great bounce-back team as their ATS results over the past 10 games looks as well L, W, W, W, L, L, W, W, W, W. Notice a trend? This team is 7-3 ATS of late and the only time they lost back to back ATS ballgames was at San Antonio and at Houston in back to back ballgames which is tough for any team. Chicago has never done worse than lose by 7 to the Sun, including a 2 point loss and winning outright once earlier this year.
Atlanta vs. New York
New York has beaten this team by 10 and 4 on the road and now Atlanta comes to their home front for this game. Atlanta has lost the last 7 ATS. I simply cannot wager on the Dream as they have been pitiful of late no matter how enticing the line might be and the spread is too big for any value and a backdoor is always likely with such a huge spread.
Indiana vs. Detroit
Detroit lost to this team by 9 last time around, so they do have some revenge here, but Detroit has been simply terrible of late. Indiana comes off a big outright win on the road and now looks to shake things up here on the road as well. Detroit of course is coming off an OT outright loss to Chicago (my wnba game of the year), having said that, I can see Indiana winning this game outright as well or Detroit coming through on a bounce-back.
Los Angeles vs. San Antonio
The Sparks simply pounded the Lynx at home on what was the only game on the wnba card earlier this week. Thus, when the attention was on them, they delivered. This is a big Conference battle for placing out West. The public is split on this game, as you know, the Sparks are a public team so it should come at no surprise they are dogged by just 3.5 here. Heck, San Antonio is 12-2 at home while the Sparks are not even .500 on the road (7-8). Each team has covered their respective ballgames at home as they have played 3 times, twice in L.A. and once in San Antonio. It seems it is time for San Antonio to even the score after losing 2 in a row to the Sparks at L.A. The Sparks have covered their last 5 contests and San Antonio's last game was actually August 30th where they lost to the Sparks, so this is the first game since that break they had. They vividly remember that loss and I can see them getting their revenge here.
Sacramento vs. Phoenix
Sacramento hits the road at Phoenix for this ballgame between 2 teams out west. The public favors the Mercury off their cover against the Lynx at home to a tune of 60%. The Monarchs have beaten Phoenix both times out this year and covered and they come off a big 15 point win at home against Houston but have struggled of late on the road. Frankly, Phoenix does have revenge, but they are banged up a bit and I just don't trust them.
IndianCowboy Past Articles
Saturday MLB Research
Kansas City vs. St. LouisSt. Louis wins 5-0 over the Royals as they defeated Davies and Wellermeyer pitches a sound game and bounces back well. Hochevar ... read more
Wednesday's MLB Research
Texas vs. DetroitGive Willis and the Tigers credit. They win 4-0 yesterday although McCarthy didn't pitch that bad either. Texas had won 7 of 8 coming ... read more
IC's Thursday MLB Research
MLBTexas vs. OaklandTexas comes off winning 3-2 yesterday as they are now a solid 15-12 for the year; in fact, they lead the AL West with the 15-12 record ... read more
Monday's MLB Research
Back to Back MLB Winning Weeks. Texas vs. BaltimoreThese two teams are no strangers to each other. Harrison has given up 11 runs in his last 9 innings. ... read more
Sunday MLB Research
13-6 Last 19 MLB Selections (68%) & Back to Back MLB Winning Weeks. Minnesota vs. Cleveland(Perkins vs. Laffey)Minnesota comes off a win yesterday ... read more
