IC's Friday WNBA and MLB Preview

by: IndianCowboy

Friday, June 20th:

16-4 Last 20 PODs (80%) (4 in a row) and 56-27 (66%), Doing 1 POD Per Day. (3 Months Nearly at 66%)
WNBA Friday Research

Atlanta vs. Washington

Surprised to see Washington as a 11 point favorite? Don't be, they come off back to back wins including a road win outright at Houston and Atlanta continues to struggle to cover ballgames as they get drilled by San Antonio at home. Have to be frank, I can't bet on the Dream on the road, despite the fact they did cover at Houston as 10.5 dogs but Houston has proved to be terrible double-digit covers and Washington has been looking strong of late especially on the road, I wouldn't be surprised if Washington drills this team today, after all, 55% of the public is backing the dream after their road cover at Houston last time around, I'm staying away from this game but Washington might just kill this team today.

Minny vs. Detroit

This is a big revenge game for Detroit who got drilled by Minny earlier this year at home by 14, Minny has lost 3 of their last 4, that road loss was one of Detroit's just 3 losses, Minny has lost their last 2 road ballgames by a combined total of 2 points, 1 point in each game, I would never want to tick off the Shock at home where they are 4-0, I would not be surprised to see a Shock cover here despite Minny being a good team.

Sparks vs. San Antonio

Curious why you only get the Sparks here as a 1 point favorite? There is good reason my friend as San Antonio is 5-0 at home, and the public is buying into San Antonio as 55% the public favors them, but the Sparks are no joke, they are 5-1 on the road themselves, I am likely staying away as there are better games than this one to choose from as it's a tough call either way, but I lean on L.A., but once again, I'm staying away from this bombshell and will take my chances elsewhere.

Connecticut vs. Sacramento

Connecticut gets drilled at Phoenix and that is significant for this game as keep in mind as mentioned yesterday, Phoenix is a team that can win on any given day and Phoenix is a team that can lose on any given day, they can win against anyone as well as look like fools against anyone as well (especially on the raod). I would love to lean on Conn but Conn beat this team by 23 earlier this year and Sacramento is playing much better with their new coach and they are likely going to get up big time for this game. Sac comes off a home loss to L.A. and although I lean on the over, the total has reached around 150, so I'm likely to stay away completely from this game given that Conn is on a bounce-back and Sacramento has a great deal of revenge in this game.

Indiana vs. Seattle

I understand that Seattle is 7-6, but keep in mind that Seattle is 6-1 as well. I was reading an article yesterday that was talking a great deal about Seattle's under trend of late, and it was true: Seattle is 8-1-1 to the under as Sue Bird (who can play ball with me anyday by the way) has slowed down the pace of the game given the crop of players that this team has this year. Seattle is still trying to mesh with Swoops (coming over from Houston), Cash (coming over from Detroit), Bird (who has remained there), Jackson the stronghold of this team (who can also play ball with me as she is a gorgeous Australian) and they've added Wright on the wing. Seattle has lost their last 3, including to Conn at home, Indiana comes off a nice home win over New York, Seattle did beat Detroit at home so don't sell this team short, I think Seattle is at a good price here given that they have dropped 3 in a row in the competitive west.

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MLB Research Friday (19-11, 63%, Last 31 Days)

Angels vs. Phillies

Only 1 afternoon game today, the rest are all evening ballgames. Keep in mind that Sanatana is on the bounce-back today as he gave up 6 runs in his last start and this is key as he had pitched 3 straight quality starts before getting roughed up by the Braves. Eaton has pitched 5 straight quality starts, but it is still a bit surprsing that he is favored by this much today even at a price of -126, this is a guy that continues to get hit hard as he has given up 17 hits alone in his last 2 starts, lean on the Angels as the quality dog here with Santana on the bounce-back.

Toronto vs. Pittsburgh

Another Pittsburgh pitcher gets drilled yesterday as the Twins just rip pitt pitching, Halladay and Duke go today, keep in mind that despite having an ERA of just over 3, Halladay is just 8-6 because the Jays still can't score runs worth a lick, Halladya had won 4 straight before losing a decision to the cubs despite pitching well, Duke picked up a ND at Pittsburgh in his last start at Baltimore, but prior to that had pitched 3 straight quality starts - I actually think Pitt is a great dog as well today - seems lot of quality in some dogs today.

Seattle vs. Atlanta

The Braves have shaped up decent on their road trip as they are actually showing up in some ballgames, yesterday their late run proved to not be enough (although I'm thankful as I was on the Rangers), Seattle is a dismal 25-47 currently despite having acquired Bedard - Bedard has pitched back to back quality starts, but Seattle has scored just 10 runs in his last 5 starts, Jorge pitched great in his last start against the Angels, tough to go against Bedard however despite Seattle being horrilbe, the Braves continue to be hot at home, lean on the Braves, but likely staying away.

Cleveland vs. Dodgers

What a great price on Cliff Lee today as he was 10-1 with a 2.55 ERA as he is having a spectacular bounce-back season for Cleveland after being booed out of his own stadium and taken out of the starting rotation last year, too bad Cleveland can't match Lee's same intensity as the Dodgers still manage to be favored for this ballgame as they start Clayton Kershaw from Dallas who has pitched relatively well for the Dodgers, but tough to ignore Lee here, lean on the Indians as well as the under as Kershaw is likely to show up once again while the Indians can't hit worth a lick this sesaon overall.
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Thursday's Analysis: 1-0

Texas Rangers -111 (POD)

I hate going against the Braves but this is a great spot to do it. Look, the Braves send Morton on the mound today and he did well in his first start, but to be frank, he is simply an inconsisten pitcher from the times that I have watched him move up the ranks. In short, he was lucky in his first start but I expect him to be !BAD! today. Scott Feldman has gone under the radar as although he struggled on the road in his last start against the Mets he has been !GOOD1! at home. After all, find me a pitcher who at home has pitched 6 starts and given up just 11 runs during that span - can you? Feldman is on a bounce-back today, the Rangers too are on a bounce-back after losing yesterday, they are facing a newcomer who I'm sure they have seen the tape and will pick up on his tendencies the 2nd time through the lineup. I expect the Rangers to win about 6-3 today. The Rangers are as !GOOD2! as any play out there today as they are 5-0 when held to 2 or fewer runs in their previous game and the Braves are 2-8 following a win as they have trouble putting together back to back wins due to inconsistent pitching throughout the year.

Wednesday's Analysis: 1-0

(Liberty/Fever Over 138.5 (POD) Winner)

I actually leaned on the Liberty to possing win this game outright, but I decided to go with the over for several particular reasons. For one, Indiana is coming off a home loss, so I expect better play for them and each time they come off such a home loss where they score a poor showing in the total points such as 60 at home against San Antonio, they come back to score 70, now add that to the fact the Liberty have won 4 of 5 and have revenge from last year and are playing great basketball, I think what you can expect is a total around the mid 140's to high 140's and see this game go over the posted total. Do I think the Liberty will show up today, absolutely, heck they are 7-1 in their last 8 ballgames as underdogs, but Indiana is coming off a bad loss themselves at home so they too will show up, I will take a higher scoring Indiana team on the bounce-back today because of their previous loss and New York as an active dog for this over today. The over is 8-2-2 between these 2 teams in the last 12 contests in Indiana.

Previous Months Recap (Winning 8 of 11 Months w/PODs)

Going for 3 Winning Months in a Row:

May POD: 18-12 (60%), +12.85 Units and 13.97% ROI.
May Overall Results: +8.1 Units and 4.05% ROI.

April POD: 21-9 (70%) (Doing 1 POD per day).
April Overall Results: +20.08 Net Units, 8.33% Return of Investment.

IndianCowboy Past Articles

Saturday MLB Research
Kansas City vs. St. LouisSt. Louis wins 5-0 over the Royals as they defeated Davies and Wellermeyer pitches a sound game and bounces back well. Hochevar ... read more

Wednesday's MLB Research
Texas vs. DetroitGive Willis and the Tigers credit. They win 4-0 yesterday although McCarthy didn't pitch that bad either. Texas had won 7 of 8 coming ... read more

IC's Thursday MLB Research
MLBTexas vs. OaklandTexas comes off winning 3-2 yesterday as they are now a solid 15-12 for the year; in fact, they lead the AL West with the 15-12 record ... read more

Monday's MLB Research
Back to Back MLB Winning Weeks. Texas vs. BaltimoreThese two teams are no strangers to each other. Harrison has given up 11 runs in his last 9 innings. ... read more

Sunday MLB Research
13-6 Last 19 MLB Selections (68%) & Back to Back MLB Winning Weeks. Minnesota vs. Cleveland(Perkins vs. Laffey)Minnesota comes off a win yesterday ... read more

All IndianCowboy Past Picks