IC's Friday WNBA and MLB Preview

by: IndianCowboy

Friday, June 20th:

16-4 Last 20 PODs (80%) (4 in a row) and 56-27 (66%), Doing 1 POD Per Day. (3 Months Nearly at 66%)
WNBA Friday Research

Atlanta vs. Washington

Surprised to see Washington as a 11 point favorite? Don't be, they come off back to back wins including a road win outright at Houston and Atlanta continues to struggle to cover ballgames as they get drilled by San Antonio at home. Have to be frank, I can't bet on the Dream on the road, despite the fact they did cover at Houston as 10.5 dogs but Houston has proved to be terrible double-digit covers and Washington has been looking strong of late especially on the road, I wouldn't be surprised if Washington drills this team today, after all, 55% of the public is backing the dream after their road cover at Houston last time around, I'm staying away from this game but Washington might just kill this team today.

Minny vs. Detroit

This is a big revenge game for Detroit who got drilled by Minny earlier this year at home by 14, Minny has lost 3 of their last 4, that road loss was one of Detroit's just 3 losses, Minny has lost their last 2 road ballgames by a combined total of 2 points, 1 point in each game, I would never want to tick off the Shock at home where they are 4-0, I would not be surprised to see a Shock cover here despite Minny being a good team.

Sparks vs. San Antonio

Curious why you only get the Sparks here as a 1 point favorite? There is good reason my friend as San Antonio is 5-0 at home, and the public is buying into San Antonio as 55% the public favors them, but the Sparks are no joke, they are 5-1 on the road themselves, I am likely staying away as there are better games than this one to choose from as it's a tough call either way, but I lean on L.A., but once again, I'm staying away from this bombshell and will take my chances elsewhere.

Connecticut vs. Sacramento

Connecticut gets drilled at Phoenix and that is significant for this game as keep in mind as mentioned yesterday, Phoenix is a team that can win on any given day and Phoenix is a team that can lose on any given day, they can win against anyone as well as look like fools against anyone as well (especially on the raod). I would love to lean on Conn but Conn beat this team by 23 earlier this year and Sacramento is playing much better with their new coach and they are likely going to get up big time for this game. Sac comes off a home loss to L.A. and although I lean on the over, the total has reached around 150, so I'm likely to stay away completely from this game given that Conn is on a bounce-back and Sacramento has a great deal of revenge in this game.

Indiana vs. Seattle

I understand that Seattle is 7-6, but keep in mind that Seattle is 6-1 as well. I was reading an article yesterday that was talking a great deal about Seattle's under trend of late, and it was true: Seattle is 8-1-1 to the under as Sue Bird (who can play ball with me anyday by the way) has slowed down the pace of the game given the crop of players that this team has this year. Seattle is still trying to mesh with Swoops (coming over from Houston), Cash (coming over from Detroit), Bird (who has remained there), Jackson the stronghold of this team (who can also play ball with me as she is a gorgeous Australian) and they've added Wright on the wing. Seattle has lost their last 3, including to Conn at home, Indiana comes off a nice home win over New York, Seattle did beat Detroit at home so don't sell this team short, I think Seattle is at a good price here given that they have dropped 3 in a row in the competitive west.

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MLB Research Friday (19-11, 63%, Last 31 Days)

Angels vs. Phillies

Only 1 afternoon game today, the rest are all evening ballgames. Keep in mind that Sanatana is on the bounce-back today as he gave up 6 runs in his last start and this is key as he had pitched 3 straight quality starts before getting roughed up by the Braves. Eaton has pitched 5 straight quality starts, but it is still a bit surprsing that he is favored by this much today even at a price of -126, this is a guy that continues to get hit hard as he has given up 17 hits alone in his last 2 starts, lean on the Angels as the quality dog here with Santana on the bounce-back.

Toronto vs. Pittsburgh

Another Pittsburgh pitcher gets drilled yesterday as the Twins just rip pitt pitching, Halladay and Duke go today, keep in mind that despite having an ERA of just over 3, Halladay is just 8-6 because the Jays still can't score runs worth a lick, Halladya had won 4 straight before losing a decision to the cubs despite pitching well, Duke picked up a ND at Pittsburgh in his last start at Baltimore, but prior to that had pitched 3 straight quality starts - I actually think Pitt is a great dog as well today - seems lot of quality in some dogs today.

Seattle vs. Atlanta

The Braves have shaped up decent on their road trip as they are actually showing up in some ballgames, yesterday their late run proved to not be enough (although I'm thankful as I was on the Rangers), Seattle is a dismal 25-47 currently despite having acquired Bedard - Bedard has pitched back to back quality starts, but Seattle has scored just 10 runs in his last 5 starts, Jorge pitched great in his last start against the Angels, tough to go against Bedard however despite Seattle being horrilbe, the Braves continue to be hot at home, lean on the Braves, but likely staying away.

Cleveland vs. Dodgers

What a great price on Cliff Lee today as he was 10-1 with a 2.55 ERA as he is having a spectacular bounce-back season for Cleveland after being booed out of his own stadium and taken out of the starting rotation last year, too bad Cleveland can't match Lee's same intensity as the Dodgers still manage to be favored for this ballgame as they start Clayton Kershaw from Dallas who has pitched relatively well for the Dodgers, but tough to ignore Lee here, lean on the Indians as well as the under as Kershaw is likely to show up once again while the Indians can't hit worth a lick this sesaon overall.
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Thursday's Analysis: 1-0

Texas Rangers -111 (POD)

I hate going against the Braves but this is a great spot to do it. Look, the Braves send Morton on the mound today and he did well in his first start, but to be frank, he is simply an inconsisten pitcher from the times that I have watched him move up the ranks. In short, he was lucky in his first start but I expect him to be !BAD! today. Scott Feldman has gone under the radar as although he struggled on the road in his last start against the Mets he has been !GOOD1! at home. After all, find me a pitcher who at home has pitched 6 starts and given up just 11 runs during that span - can you? Feldman is on a bounce-back today, the Rangers too are on a bounce-back after losing yesterday, they are facing a newcomer who I'm sure they have seen the tape and will pick up on his tendencies the 2nd time through the lineup. I expect the Rangers to win about 6-3 today. The Rangers are as !GOOD2! as any play out there today as they are 5-0 when held to 2 or fewer runs in their previous game and the Braves are 2-8 following a win as they have trouble putting together back to back wins due to inconsistent pitching throughout the year.

Wednesday's Analysis: 1-0

(Liberty/Fever Over 138.5 (POD) Winner)

I actually leaned on the Liberty to possing win this game outright, but I decided to go with the over for several particular reasons. For one, Indiana is coming off a home loss, so I expect better play for them and each time they come off such a home loss where they score a poor showing in the total points such as 60 at home against San Antonio, they come back to score 70, now add that to the fact the Liberty have won 4 of 5 and have revenge from last year and are playing great basketball, I think what you can expect is a total around the mid 140's to high 140's and see this game go over the posted total. Do I think the Liberty will show up today, absolutely, heck they are 7-1 in their last 8 ballgames as underdogs, but Indiana is coming off a bad loss themselves at home so they too will show up, I will take a higher scoring Indiana team on the bounce-back today because of their previous loss and New York as an active dog for this over today. The over is 8-2-2 between these 2 teams in the last 12 contests in Indiana.

Previous Months Recap (Winning 8 of 11 Months w/PODs)

Going for 3 Winning Months in a Row:

May POD: 18-12 (60%), +12.85 Units and 13.97% ROI.
May Overall Results: +8.1 Units and 4.05% ROI.

April POD: 21-9 (70%) (Doing 1 POD per day).
April Overall Results: +20.08 Net Units, 8.33% Return of Investment.

IndianCowboy Past Articles

Betting Strategy Article: Roll with your best Ammo
Rolling with your Best Ammo: Victorious 10 of 12 days and 16 of 22 Days. Coming off 8-2 weekend and 6-1 weekend before that. 14-3 last 2 weekends. ... read more

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WNBA Playoff Research
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IC's Saturday Research
Saturday College FootballFlorida vs. TennesseeMan, what a game this is going to be. All accounts indicate that Florida should get fired up and blow this ... read more

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IndianCowboy Recent Past Picks

NFL Football

Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons Sunday October 12, 2008 1:00 pm
I can write a book on this play for you but know this.  Atlanta is a team that can flat out score, and when there is active dogs, games typically go over the posted total. Heck, this is a game the Falcons might win outright. Why would anyone disrespect a team that is 2-0 at ... read more

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College Football

Boise State Broncos @ So Mississippi Saturday October 11, 2008 8:00 pm
This is a game that Boise State could see itself in a lot of trouble.  Southern Miss comes off losing to Boise State 38-17 if you remember that game last year and because of the home and home deal that they have, they get to play Boise State at home this year. Boise easily covered ... read more

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College Football

Ball State Cardinals @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Saturday October 11, 2008 7:00 pm
I've written a book on each play thus far so I might get a little bit more succinct with these next few selections. The bottom line with this play is that there is some heavy line movement and money going towards Ball State here in this game.  I took a step back and checked ... read more

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College Football

Temple Owls @ Central Michigan Chippewas Saturday October 11, 2008 4:00 pm
 It always amazes me that Temple gets no respect.  This is the same team that returned 18 starters from last year.  Who cares if they are 2-4, what about the fact they are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 ballgames.  What about the fact they have revenge against Central ... read more

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College Football

Western Michigan Broncos @ Buffalo Bulls Saturday October 11, 2008 3:30 pm
This is a game that Western Michigan can win outright on the road. Heck, this team is 5-1 and Buffalo for the love of Chris is just 2-3 and they play a Western Michigan team that is only backed by less than 40% of the public and yet the line which opened up at -3 is moving the other ... read more

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College Football

Tennessee Volunteers @ Georgia Bulldogs Saturday October 11, 2008 3:30 pm
Look, I understand that Georgia comes off a loss, a bye-week and the fact they have revenge against Tennessee.  Hell, I wanted to take Georgia the following week when I attended the UGA vs. Bama game (remember, I'm a Tide fan).  Yet, I have come to believe that Tennessee ... read more

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College Football

Louisville Cardinals @ Memphis Tigers Friday October 10, 2008 8:00 pm
Want to know something interesting about this game, this line opened up at -5 and actually went all the way up to -6.5 where it stands now. The total opened up at 55 and has gone up to 56 so looks like the public is taking the favorite and the over. Just the opposite of what bettors ... read more

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College Football

UAB Blazers @ Houston Cougars Thursday October 9, 2008 8:00 pm
Really?  Is Houston that good that they should be favored by 18 points here?  Even though some websites have the incorrect opening line at 20, don't let them fool you as obviously sportsbooks advertise there.  The true opening line was -17 offshore and Houston took ... read more

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College Football

Clemson Tigers @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons Thursday October 9, 2008 7:30 pm
The line opened up at-2.5 for Wake Forest and has remained steady.  In fact, in some books it has moved up to -3 and in others it has moved down to -2 - it just depends on the book.  For example, at the Hilton the line has actually moved in favor of the road team in Clemson.  ... read more

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WNBA Basketball

SA Silver Stars @ Detroit Shock Monday October 6, 2008 7:35 pm
What makes this game interesting is that Detroit won this game on the road in Game 1 by a score of 77-69 as they were 5.5 dogs.  Of course, the game was close to the total, but it typically goes dog and over. The spread once again is -5.5 for this game and it truly come down ... read more

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