IC's WNBA and MLB Saturday Preview

by: IndianCowboy

Oakland A's in a rout yesterday 9-2 (pod) 11 of 13 MLB Winners ( 6 dogs) and 32-17 in MLB last 53 days.


Saturday MLB Research (Only AL as I only do AL ballgames to focus on research)

New York vs. Toronto

Something interesting about Rasner is that he rarely gets shelled in back to back ballgames, he had a 10.8 ERA in his last start at home against Boston, he is 1-5 with a 6.39 ERA on the road however, heh as yet to face Toronto this season, Yanks come off a brutal loss to the Bluejays where they only picked up 2 hits on Halladay, Litsch had a 6.75 ERA in his last start against the Yanks on the road this year on june 4th, he had back to back quality starts until he got roughed up the angels in his last start on the road for a 10.13 ERA, he is 4-1 with a 3.19 era at home, I lean on the bluejays, despite Rasner on the bounce-back but he does not pitch well on the road however.

Minny vs. Detroit

Have to keep the rest of the write-ups here relatively short, Baker has pitched around a 4 ERA against Detroit of late, I don't trust Robertson have to back to back quality starts, Minny has consistently had success hitting him, lean on the Twins here with the more consistent pitcher.

Tampa Bay vs. Cleveland

At some point the Devil Rays have to win a game in this series, it is likely here as Garza is on a bounce-back from the Royals start and the Indians poor offense is likely to catch up with them here. Ginter has not pitched since 2005 so likely has some nerves coming in here.

Baltimore vs. Boston

Liz has been horrible as he is on a bounce-back, at the same token, Wakefield is as well, but Liz has given up 14 hits in less than 10 innings and of course Wake remembers the game that his team eventually went on to lose that he pitched against the O's and Guthrie earlier this season, lean on the Boston rl here.

White Sox vs. Texas

Danks has pitched 6 of 7 qualty starts, Millwood is on a bounce-back here despite winning his last start, lean on the under here despite the big number placed on both of these pitchers as I believe they likely step up each of their respective game for this ballgame here.

Seattle vs. Kansas City

Washburn is 6-1 to the under of late and lost to Greinke earlier this year as Wash usually has a bounce-back after a 4+ ERA start and Greinke did win his last start on the road and has given up just 3 runs in about 20 innings at home of late, lean on the under here.

Angels vs. Oakland

Santana did win in his last start but he had a horrible ERA, he is on a bounce-back in some terms, he has drilled Oakland both times he has faced them, Eveland is on a bounce-back here, great pitcher at home, but he has struggled against the Angels, likely just staying away from this ballgame, but lean on the Angels also coming from yesterday's beat down loss which was my pod.

Saturday WNBA Research

Chicago vs. Indiana

Immediately lean on Indiana here as Chicago has been flat out sorry fo late, but over 60% of the public does too which is reason to be wary, Indiana beat this team at home by 7 earlier this year as Chicago covered the 8.5 spread which they face again here, Chicago comes off a 10 point loss at home to San Antonio but that was actually a mercy release considering the Silver Stars were up by far more, heck, I was on Chicago for that ballgame and got burned, Indiana comes off a 2 point loss to Washington which I did call outright for the Mystics and now return home irritated and angry. Chicago has lost back to back covers while Indiana is 7-2 overall at home, Chicago does have revenge in this ballgame and did win outright as a dog at Minny, Chicago has not lost 3 straight covers in quite some time and Indiana doesn't necessarily blow out teams as they won but didn't cover against Sacramento or Chicago earlier this season. Chicago do note has gone under 7 of their last 10 but I think this is a ballgame that Chicago is likely to be competitive, lean on Chicago but I'm sure there are other games to take a shot on the dog, rather than this road dog that did lose to Atlanta on the road for the Dream's first win.

Detroit vs. New York

Detroit comes off a nice win over the Mystics at home as they cover the spread after the forefit from the Connecticut game as they won that game without a sweat, bit surprising that the public is actually buying into the Liberty here as over 55% are on New York, they remember the big win over Phoenix I guess, Detroit is 5-6 on the road this season and New York is 6-2 at home, Detroit also played yesterday as New York had the night off, Detroit won by 12 back in May so this is a revenge game for New York who is waiting for this game, Detroit is finally relatively healthy for this game, remember they lost to San Antonio in overtime on the road, lost to Chicago by nearly 20 on the road and lost to Conn by 17 on the road, New York comes off their road trip as they return finally home covering their last 3 of 4 in some close road contests, hell, this team went 2-3 on the road trip and the 3 losses come from a total of 22 points (2 ballgames by 4 points a piece), New York is a strong team at home, lean on the Liberty here to get it done at home, not sure if I want to play with fire with Detroit on the road though, but the Liberty have the edge here imo.

Houston vs. Minny

This mini-rivalry is interesting. Minny won first on the road outright, then Houston figured out how to win with their new crop of players, and won outright by 7 on the road despite being a 7.5 dog at that time. Now, Minny looks to get revenge, but they are not playing decent basketball now, in part b/c they are HORRENDOUS in the 4th quarter in their last several ballgames, this young team just does not know how to finish. What's amusing is that 60%+ is riding Minny on the short spread at home here, Houston comes off a 5 point loss to the Mercury on the road an overtime loss to the Sparks on the road, Minny does come off an outright loss at home to the Dream which is a bit embarassing - but is it? The Dream nearly beat the Silver Stars last night and were actually leading in the 4th quarter not to mention beating Minny on the road and beating Chicago at home. Lean on Houston here to possibly win this game outright.

Phoenix vs. Sacramento

A pair of 9 win teams here, just when it seemed Phoenix was getting this together, they have lost 4 straight covers, Sacramento after losing 3 striaght did drill the Sparks at home but the Sparks weren't playing well anyway going into that game, Mercury are without Penny Taylor, frankly, I trust neither of these teams.

Sparks vs. Seattle

Sparks come off getting spanked by the Monarchs on the road, which was a revenge game for the Monarchs, the public is essentially split on this matchup when looking at the percentages on the consensus, the Sparks won by 14 at home earlier this season against Seattle when Seattle wasn't playing well, the Sparks are 5-3 on the road but have lost 4 of their last 6. Seattle on the ther hand has won their last 5 straight and covered their last 5 straight as well. 

POD #1 in the Nation:
63-39-3 (61%), Doing 1 POD Per Day. (Last 105 Days)

Baseball
32-17 (65%), Last 53 Days.

11 of 13 baseball winners (6 Dogs)

Yesterday's Analysis: 2-1

Oakland A's -115 (POD) (Winner) (Oakland 9-2)

Research:
I actually called on the under on this game yesterday as I went 1-1 in mlb and I called it miserably given that 21 runs were scored in a game that was totaled for 9.5. Garland is 5-1 with a 3.06 ERA on the road and has pitched 4 straight quality starts, and after losing to Oakland at home he came back with 2 straight quality starts, Gallagahar has made 5 straight home road starts and I'm sure he is thrilled to finally pitch at home today where he is 3-0 with a 3.52 ERA. The Angels have yet to face him this year. Despite 60% favoring the Angels in this game, I think Oakland wins this year as Garland has given up plenty of hits to the A's this year.

write-up:
I simply feel that the A's will get to Garland at home today as Garland has given up his fair share of hits to the A's and I believe that will translate into runs and this is likely a 5-3 type of ballgame as Gallaghar is thrilled to start at home where he is undefeated after 5 straight road starts. Garland is 1-4 against the AL West of late and the A's are 5-1 when facing a pitcher with a WHIP greater than 1.3 of late as well.

Atlanta Dream +10 (Winner)

Research:
The line here was +10 for the Dream yesterday and now has been bought down to +11 as the public are still favoring the Silver Stars in this contest. However, why shouldn't it bought down, the Dream went on the road to win outright at Minnesota as double-digit dogs, beat Chicago at home, and now face the red-hot Silver Stars who have won 8 of their last 10 (only 2 losses to Houston), covered on the road at Chicago recently (while being more than a 60% favorite), the last time these 2 teams played, San Antonio beat this team by 15 on the road as the game went under 151.5. If anything a lean on the Dream to be competitive here on a weekday ballgame which typically favors the underdog - in fact, I lean on the underdog in both wnba ballgames today.

write-up:
San Antonio is a team that wins ballgames straight up, but they are just 1-6 ATS as small home favorites as this is a team to be bet on the road apparently and at home, they win, but fail to deliver the big spread cover - besides the Dream are champs at big spread covers as they are 4-1 ATS when facing a double-digit spread of late.

Washington Mystics +9.5 (Loss)

Research:

These 2 teams have not played this year yet but Washington comes off a big win over Indiana at home and has struggled on the road against Sacramento, Seattle and the Sparks. Detroit comes off a win against Connecticut but in an odd way as they won due to forefeit which is a bit amusing as they technically covered taht ballgame. Detroit has played 3 straight overs but frankly, I lean on the Shock here but I had to lay that many points although I do think they will end up getting this done as Mystics contineu to play weak basketabll on the road.

write-up:
I've said over and over again that on the weekdays when there is a dog that is on television, or when there is selected games for a sport, such as wnba friday's, or college football thursdays/fridays, take the dog as the public jumps on the favorite, the dog shows up for television games as it is better for the sport in general and I am taking my own advice today, more often than not unless the public heavily favors a dog, I will be on the dog during the weekday ballgame: The Shock are 0-4 ATS following an ATS Win meaning that Vegas keeps a sharp eye on the public shocks when they cover a game and hit up the next game as they make it tough for them to cover back to back ballgames.

IndianCowboy Past Articles

Saturday MLB Research
Kansas City vs. St. LouisSt. Louis wins 5-0 over the Royals as they defeated Davies and Wellermeyer pitches a sound game and bounces back well. Hochevar ... read more

Wednesday's MLB Research
Texas vs. DetroitGive Willis and the Tigers credit. They win 4-0 yesterday although McCarthy didn't pitch that bad either. Texas had won 7 of 8 coming ... read more

IC's Thursday MLB Research
MLBTexas vs. OaklandTexas comes off winning 3-2 yesterday as they are now a solid 15-12 for the year; in fact, they lead the AL West with the 15-12 record ... read more

Monday's MLB Research
Back to Back MLB Winning Weeks. Texas vs. BaltimoreThese two teams are no strangers to each other. Harrison has given up 11 runs in his last 9 innings. ... read more

Sunday MLB Research
13-6 Last 19 MLB Selections (68%) & Back to Back MLB Winning Weeks. Minnesota vs. Cleveland(Perkins vs. Laffey)Minnesota comes off a win yesterday ... read more

All IndianCowboy Past Picks