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Five Super Bowl stats you should know
by: Matt Fargo Sports
Sometimes it is the unknown or smaller stats that can make a difference in locating the Super Bowl winner. Matt Fargo takes a look at five categories you might not know about.
Sacks
When you talk about sacks, you automatically think about the Steelers because that is what the media has thrown at you. You will probably be surprised to know that the Cardinals are +3 in net sacks this season while the Steelers are +2 in net sacks. It isn’t a huge difference but Pittsburgh and its defense are being portrayed as the team that will be able to dominate in that category.
Cardinals left tackle Mike Gandy is far from in the spotlight but he has made life a lot easier for quarterback Kurt Warner. He has started 35 straight games since joining the Cardinals in 2007 and this year gave up only 6.5 sacks with just one holding penalty.
Winning the battle of the sacks usually means a Super bowl win. In the last 13 Super Bowls, the sack leader won 12 of those games and went 8-3-2 ATS. Edge Even.
Redzone
People tend to look at yardage and points but fail to look inside those numbers to see where they come from. Redzone scoring is where games are won and lost Pittsburgh is in good shape.
Despite having the 3rd ranked scoring offense, Arizona is 9th in redzone touchdown percentage at a 58.5 percent clip. The Steelers are 15th at 55.1 percent. The difference here is that the Cardinals scored 72 more redzone points while having 16 more possessions inside the 20-yard line.
Defensively, the Steelers were an NFL best, allowing redzone touchdowns only 33.3 percent of the time while Arizona allowed touchdowns 63.6 percent of the time which was 5th worst. The point differential amounted to 124 more points allowed by Arizona. Edge Pittsburgh.
Field Position
Field position is a pretty simple philosophy. A shorter field makes it easier on the offense and harder on the defense. These are two of the worst punting teams in the NFL as Arizona finished 31st in net punting while Pittsburgh finished 29th. The Cardinals however have the edge in punt returning, averaging 7.2 ypr while the Steelers averaged 6.0 ypr, 31st in the NFL.
In the Arizona 21-14 win last season against the Steelers, Cardinals receiver Steve Breaston ran a punt back for a touchdown which broke a 7-7 tie. Edge Arizona.
Defense Wins Championships
Past Super Bowls can give some significant information if you are in fact a history buff. Defenses have reigned supreme of late. The last four Super Bowl winners have allowed 15.5 ppg. The last eight Super Bowl winners have allowed 17 ppg. Of the 42 past Super Bowls, the losing team has scored 20 points or fewer 33 times.
What about the offense? The winning team has scored 30 points or more 21 times however, it has not happened since Super Bowl XXVIII. Based on this little bit of history, the defenses are in fact the catalysts and we know what that means here. Edge Pittsburgh.
Passer Rating
Of the 42 winning quarterbacks in Super Bowl history, 15 of those had passer ratings better than 100 throughout their playoff run. This included both Ben Roethlisberger in 2005 (101.6) and Kurt Warner in 1999 (100.0). Looking at this season, Roethlisberger has a passer rating of 90.5 while Warner has a passer rating of 111.9.
Considering Roethlisberger had a regular season rating of 80.1 while Warner had a rating of 96.9, this current pace is not surprising. If Warner keeps it up and wins the Super Bowl, it would be the 7th highest rating of all time. Keeping that pace will be difficult but achievable. Edge Arizona.
Matt Fargo Sports Past Articles
2009 SEC (East) Preview
The SEC has long been considered the toughest conference in football and rightfully so. It has produced the last three National Champions, Florida twice ... read more
2009 Big XII (North) Conference Preview
As strong as the Big XII South is, the North is just the opposite. There are good teams within the division no doubt but it is unlikely that any team ... read more
2009 Big Ten Conference Preview
Many say that the Big Ten was in a down year in 2008 considering only five teams finished the season ranked in the top 50 in the national power ratings. ... read more
2009 ACC Coastal Preview
Like the ACC Atlantic, the ACC Coastal Division was up for grabs heading into the final weeks of the regular season. Virginia Tech, thanks to a favorable ... read more
2009 ACC Atlantic Preview
Last year the ACC Atlantic was as congested as Boston rush hour with all six teams finishing with a game of each other. Boston College ended up in the ... read more
All Matt Fargo Sports Past Articles
Matt Fargo Sports Past Picks
College Basketball
New Mexico State Aggies @ Utah State Aggies Saturday March 13, 2010 10:00 pm
New Mexico St. avenged one loss from last week and will look to repeat that to get into the NCAA Tournament. The Aggies won a thriller against Nevada and now they will look to halt Utah St., which has won 17 straight games. As many know, I like to go against these streaks when the ... read more
College Basketball
Georgetown Hoyas @ West Virginia Mountaineers Saturday March 13, 2010 9:00 pm
Georgetown is not a very deep team and that is a big cause for concern here. The Hoyas have made a great run to get to this championship and they are the talk of the conference but this is the fourth game in four days and this is a tired bunch. The big four of Austin Freeman, Greg ... read more
NBA Basketball
New York Knicks @ Dallas Mavericks Saturday March 13, 2010 8:35 pm
Dallas made it 12 straight wins with a come-from-behind win over New Jersey on Wednesday as it survived another win, no cover at home. The Mavericks host the Knicks Saturday which looks like another pushover but I have a feeling New York is not going to go away easily here. The first ... read more
NBA Basketball
Denver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies Saturday March 13, 2010 8:05 pm
This is not a good spot for Denver on Saturday night. The Nuggets are coming off a game at New Orleans on Friday and while the Hornets are in a down year, they played them very tough and this series has taken on some extra meaning following that playoff plastering Denver game New ... read more
College Basketball
Washington Huskies @ California Golden Bears Saturday March 13, 2010 6:00 pm
We rode California to a victory last night and we will hop on one last time as it claims the Pac Ten Championship. The Golden Bears struggled early but were able to pull away late against the Bruins last night as they continue to play exceptionally well. They have now won five straight ... read more
College Basketball
Illinois Fighting Illini @ Ohio State Buckeyes Saturday March 13, 2010 1:40 pm
Looking at this game from a logical standpoint, Ohio St. should not even be here. It had a miracle win and I believe that the betting public will see that and think the same thing and call the Buckeyes lucky. Yes, they were very lucky but what isn’t shown in that final score ... read more
College Basketball
Tennessee Volunteers @ Kentucky Wildcats Saturday March 13, 2010 1:00 pm
I have been anti-Kentucky quite a bit this season and the results have been good as this team has struggled when it is not playing at home. There was no chance I was going to lay a lot of points on the Wildcats on Friday but was skeptical to go against them either because of Alabama’s ... read more
College Basketball
New Mexico State Aggies @ Nevada Wolf Pack Friday March 12, 2010 11:59 pm
The third time hopes to be a charm for New Mexico St. The Aggies have lost the first two meetings against Nevada this season and they will now have to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive by winning the third meeting on Nevada’s home floor. This team is more than capable ... read more
College Basketball
North Carolina State Wolfpack @ Florida State Seminoles Friday March 12, 2010 9:45 pm
NC State pulled off a pretty big upset last night at it defeated Clemson as seven-point underdogs and that can add to the confidence, I firmly believe that run is done. Quality wins have been few and far between this season for NC State and obviously the biggest came against Duke ... read more
College Basketball
Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ West Virginia Mountaineers Friday March 12, 2010 9:40 pm
Notre Dame is the hottest team in the Big East right now with six straight wins but I think this run comes to an end tonight. The first couple rounds can be treated as normal games and in the Notre Dame case, it won as a small favorite and as a small underdog so nothing was totally ... read more
All Matt Fargo Sports Past Picks
