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Docs NFC Game of the Year (Sun)
The doctor had a tough beat with our Game of the Month last week when Jacksonville failed to hold onto their half-time lead. But Week 12 has presented a game that we like so much that is warrants Game of the Year status. This NFC game features a complete report, so sign-up now and let 37 years of experience work for you.
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Docs NCAAF ESPN Thursday (Thu)
The ACC takes center stage on Thursday and Doc has you covered with an easy side play winner. Once you read his report you will realize that there is only one side to consider, so sign-up now!
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Docs NCAAF Friday Night Lights (Fri)
The MAC Conference again takes center stage on Friday night and Doc has you covered with a side play winner from one of the two games. This game will decide the MAC East and Doc and his 37 years of experience knows which side will come out on top.
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Early Week Line Movements

by: Doc's Sports

Last year we tracked the opening steam movements of lines in both college football and the NFL. The idea was to see if the "sharp" money was really that, or if the idea of trailing these severe early line movements was merely a myth. Well, I'm glad to say that we are back at it this season and ready to build on last year's research.

Here is the basic methodology. If a line starts as Penn State (-1) and moves to Penn State (-4) then we're going to track Penn State as our side, because the Lions are getting all of the money and driving the spread up. If the line starts as Penn State (-4) and then moves to Penn State (-2) we're going to track the opponent because they are taking the heavy action and it's moving the line lower.

Over the past two seasons the overall record of the teams on the side of our "steam" move are just 21-27. In the opening week of our tracking these sides actually turned a minor profit, going 4-3 on the week.

Here are our Week 2 games:

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Hawaii at Oregon State (4 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
Open: Oregon State -9.0
Current: Oregon State -12.0
Tracking: Oregon State

Apparently folks aren't too high on the Warriors when they come to the mainland. Hawaii is just 15-21 ATS in its last 36 road games and they were decimated at Florida when we saw them last. Oregon State is still licking its wounds from two brutal losses - a last-second defeat at Stanford followed by an ass-kicking in Happy Valley - but the early money suggest that the Beavers, and their pathetic defense, will bounce back. We will see.

Southern Mississippi at Arkansas State (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
Open: SMU -2.5
Current: Arkansas State -1.5
Tracking: Arkansas State

Kansas at South Florida (8 p.m., Friday, Sept. 12)
Open: South Florida -6.0.
Current: South Florida -3.5.
Tracking: Kansas

In the biggest game of the weekend that doesn't involve USC and Ohio State, the sharp money appears to be on the Kansas Jayhawks. South Florida is coming off a relatively emotional rivalry game at UCF. And the way they folded in the last five minutes of that game before winning in overtime could be a red flag for the Bulls. Kansas is nothing short of money over the last two years, posting a 13-1 ATS mark in their last 14 games. Also, the Bulls are 0-5 ATS in their last five against teams with a winning record.

Michigan at Notre Dame (Saturday, Sept. 13)
Open: Michigan -4.0.
Current: Notre Dame -1.0
Tracking: Notre Dame

There has been a lot of trash talk going on in the lead-up to this game. But the bottom line is that neither one of these teams is very good so it should be considered a coin-flip game. Notre Dame does have double revenge, especially after last year's 38-0 white washing. But instead of playing possum and springing the trap, Charlie Weis and Co. have run their mouths about the Wolverines and gotten their full attention.

Wisconsin at Fresno State (10:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
Open: Fresno State -2.0.
Current: Wisconsin -1.5.
Tracking: Wisconsin

Apparently bettors were swayed more by Wisconsin's 51 unanswered points against Marshall than they were the Badgers' 14-point deficit to start the game. Wisconsin is 26-4 straight up in its last 30 nonconference games (12-4 ATS run) and are 7-0 in their last seven nonconference road games. However, the Badgers are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games and they are playing a team whose entire season may be defined by this contest. Fresno State is just 3-10 ATS at home and 3-11 ATS against teams with a winning record.

Ohio State at Southern California (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
Open: USC -7.5
Current: USC -11.0
Tracking: USC

This one is kind of self-explanatory. Ohio State has been humiliated in its last two nonconference games against power teams from BCS conferences. Early action also reflects the last impression that each team has given from its last game: a 51-7 maiming that USC handed Virginia and a 26-14 squeaker that Ohio State managed against lowly Ohio. I don't think this line is finished moving.

California at Maryland (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 13)
Open: California -10.0
Current: California -14.5
Tracking: California

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
Open: Va. Tech -10.0
Current: Va. Tech -7.0
Tracking: Georgia Tech

Temple at Buffalo (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 13)
Open: Buffalo -3.0
Current: Buffalo -6.5
Tracking: Buffalo

Georgia at South Carolina (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
Open: UGA -9.5.
Current: UGA -7.0
Tracking: South Carolina

This series has been extremely close over the last four years, with three of those games being decided by four points or less and the average margin at just seven points per. Both of these clubs boast incredible defenses and the thinking is apparently that South Carolina's home edge and hard-hitting defense could keep them close in what has become a nearly must-win SEC game. Georgia has won four straight in Columbia by an average of nine points.

NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE

New York Giants at St. Louis (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 14)
Open: New York -6.5
Current: New York -9.0
Tracking: New York

Wait, you mean everyone wasn't impressed with St. Louis after they got absolutely hammered by Philadelphia on Sunday? Weird. Eli Manning and the Giants are suddenly one of the more stable, secure teams in the NFL. What the hell is going on? But the Super Bowl Champs should expect to be shackled with serious spreads all season long. And as bad as the Rams looked last weekend they are still 4-0 ATS against the G-Men and last week dogs over 7.5 went 3-0 ATS.

Atlanta at Tampa Bay (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 14)
Open: Tampa Bay -9.5
Current: Tampa Bay -8.0
Tracking: Atlanta

Atlanta definitely opened some eyes on Sunday and, outside of Carolina, were the surprise of the week. From what I've seen of this Falcons team I see no reason why they can't compete. They have a power running game behind a massive offensive line and their defense looks like they can hit some people. Tampa may be a bit deflated after losing a key game at New Orleans, and starting QB Jeff Garcia is 50-50 this weekend with a bad ankle. But playing at home should give them a big boost, and Jon Gruden's QB stable door is always open. The favorite is 5-0 ATS in this series.

New England at New York Jets (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 14)
Open: 39.0
Current: 36.5
Tracking: 'Under'

According to published reports, Tom Brady was worth about 10 points on the spread in this game. However, he is apparently only worth about three points to the total. Curious. The Patriots definitely became more ground-oriented when Brady left against K.C. over the weekend and I expect that to continue. Of course, just because everyone expects the Patriots to come out and run the ball 50 times I can see Bill Belichick deciding to throw the ball about 60 times. Both the Pats and Jets held their opponents to just 10 and 14 points last week, respectively, and both coaches may play this one a bit closer to the vest given the divisional rivalry aspect. However, there are still a LOT of playmakers on both sides of the ball here.

by Robert Ferringo


Doc's Sports Past Articles

NHL Betting: The Week's Biggest Stories
by T.O. Whenham - 11/18/2008We're settling into the slow, steady rhythms of the middle of the NHL season when nothing happens too quickly. This is when ... read more

2008-2009 College Basketball Predictions
The college basketball season is slowly but surely get underway. It will be a while before people start paying a lot of attention, but it's never too ... read more

Pac-10 Conference Basketball Predictions
It's simply amazing to me how perfectly in sync the Pac-10 Conference is this year in terms of football and basketball.Both football and hoops seemed ... read more

Finding Value in Second Half of Season
We are now more than halfway through the NFL season. That means we have seen more than enough football to form opinions of the teams in the league. More ... read more

NFL Betting: Best and Worst Against the Spread
We are halfway through the NFL season, give or take. This is a good time, then, for us to take a look at the teams that are being particularly kind to ... read more

All Doc's Sports Past Articles


Doc's Sports Recent Past Picks

Chicago Blackhawks @ Phoenix Coyotes Tuesday November 18, 2008 9:35 pm
4 Unit Play. #62 Take Phoenix over Chicago (9:35 pm NHL Center Ice) The Hawks are coming off a three game losing streak and have not been a very good team on the road this season winning just 1 of their five games. They have a lot of road games to make-up and expect them to struggle ... read more

Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports

Kentucky Wildcats @ North Carolina Tar Heels Tuesday November 18, 2008 9:00 pm
3 Unit Play. #745 Take Kentucky over North Carolina (9:00 pm ESPN) The Tar Heels are without their all everything player in Tyler Hansbrough and that void will allow the Cats to keep this game under the posted number. Granted Kentucky did lose to VMI over the weekend, but that ... read more

Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports

Sacramento Kings @ Memphis Grizzlies Tuesday November 18, 2008 8:00 pm
3-Unit Play #713 Take Sacramento/Memphis OVER (8 p.m. EST, Tuesday) Sacramento’s road defense has been horrible as they have allowed an average of 109 PPG in road contests this season and that doesn’t bode well for under bettors tonight against a Memphis team that ... read more

Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports

New York Knicks @ Boston Celtics Tuesday November 18, 2008 7:30 pm
4-Unit Play #711 Take New York Knicks /Boston UNDER (7:30 p.m. EST, Tuesday) Regardless of what the current numbers state (they are ranked No. 3 in defensive points scored and No. 1 in defensive FG%), Boston is the undisputed No. 1 defensive team in the league. Only one team ... read more

Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports

Atlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers Tuesday November 18, 2008 7:00 pm
3-Unit Play – #704 Take Indiana Over Atlanta (7 p.m. EST, Tuesday) The strength of Atlanta during their hot start was their defense but that strong defense seems to have gone out the window lately as the Hawks have given up an average of 111 in their last four games, three ... read more

Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports

Northern Illinois Huskies @ Kent State Golden Flashes Tuesday November 18, 2008 7:00 pm
3 Unit Play. #102 Take Kent over Northern Illinois (Tuesday 7:00 pm) The Golden Flashes have shown some signs off life recently winning two of their last three including a dominating road victory in Oxford. They have put up big point totals over the last three weeks averaging ... read more

Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports

Cleveland Browns @ Buffalo Bills Monday November 17, 2008 8:35 pm
3 Unit Play. #128 Take Buffalo Bills over Cleveland Browns (Monday 8:15 pm ESPN) The Browns players are speaking out and saying some players quit and that does not bode well for Coach Crennel is on his way out. Granted Brady Quinn did play well in his first appearance as ... read more

Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports

San Jose Sharks @ Nashville Predators Monday November 17, 2008 8:05 pm
3 Unit Play. #10 Take Over in San Jose @ Nashville (8:05 pm NHL Center Ice) The Sharks went over the posted tonight by themselves last night in Chicago and are in the top three for goals scored in the NHL. The last four games they have played have all went over the number for ... read more

Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports

Missouri State Bears @ Central Michigan Chippewas Monday November 17, 2008 7:00 pm
3 Unit Play. #518 Take Central Michigan over Missouri State (7:00 pm) Rose Arena is the sight of this mid-major match-up between the Bears and Chippewas. The Bears have a new coach in Cuonzo Martin and it will take some time to adjust to his new style of offense. This team was ... read more

Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports

San Jose Sharks @ Chicago Blackhawks Sunday November 16, 2008 7:05 pm
3 Unit Play. #57 Take San Jose over Chicago (7:05 pm NHL Center Ice) The Sharks have won eight of their last ten games and will hand the Blackhawks their third straight home defeat tonight at United Center in Chicago, IL. The Sharks have dominated the series against Chicago in recent ... read more

Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports