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Crashing the Boards

by: Bryan Leonard Sports

The REAL NBA season is starting to unfold, weeding out the lousy teams in the postseason and getting down to the Final Four. There are many ingredients to piecing together a championship team. Star power, a dominant low post player (or two), defense, a coach who can teach team-oriented play, depth. This time of year, many times you can simplify things as one stat often pops out of the box scores: Rebounding. It’s not easy to win when the other team has an edge on the glass, especially the offensive glass. The offensive boards, in particular, can be a killer this time of the season, with offensive rebounds followed by high percentage shots and easy lay-ups.   Guard Derek Rose sliced up Atlanta for a career-high 44 points as the Bulls seized control of the Eastern Conference semifinals with their best performance of the postseason, romping to a 99-82 victory over the Hawks in Game 3 Friday night.  The diminutive but quick point guard got all the headlines with his 44 points, but does anything else stand out about the game? How about Chicago with a whopping rebound edge of 47-34...on the opponent’s home court! That included 18 offensive rebounds. That was the real story of Game 3, which puts the top seeded Bulls back in command.   "Just attacking the whole game," Rose said. "That was my whole thought process." He could have been talking about teammates Noah and Boozer, too.   Five of the top six teams in rebounding differential during the regular season were Chicago, Orlando, Miami, the Lakers and Oklahoma City. Five made the playoffs and four are still playing.When Miami won the title back in 2006, the Washington Wizards caught a break in Game 3 of their playoff series when Shaquille O'Neal sat out the game with a sore thigh. At least they thought it was a break. Miami won Game 3 102-95 to take a 3-0 lead in the series. A quick look at the box score shows how and why: Without the game's most dominant big man, Miami still outrebounded Washington 43-29 in that game.   Finesse teams that run uptempo, attacking styles like in the 1980s haven’t been able to squeeze into the Finals in quite a while, with monster defensive teams usually advancing. Back in 2004, the Lakers (+0.7 rebounding differential) met the Pistons (+2.1 RD) in the Finals and again the better rebounding team won, even though Los Angeles was a heavy favorite.   A dominant frontcourt behind Tim Duncan was the biggest reason the Spurs have won 4 NBA titles over the 12 years, and why the Celtics behind Kevin Garnett have been to two of the last three NBA Finals. The one year they didn’t make it, 2009, Garnett missed the playoffs with an injury.   One or two talented frontcourt players help in subtle ways, too. A guard can cheat defensively at times, letting his man go by him knowing that a big man is waiting down low to pick up his man and perhaps block the shot or grab the defensive rebound. Also, if a team needs a defensive or offensive rebound late in the game, or a high percentage shot, teams like Boston, Miami, Dallas or the Lakers have the option to go outside or inside. Teams with no star big men, like the Nuggets, Bucks, Pacers or 76ers, don’t have that option, making them more limited and easier to defend at crunch time. And what did Oklahoma City do at midseason that helped make them even better? Traded for defensive center Kendrick Perkins, which paid two dividends. In addition to adding a shot blocker/rebounder, the trade freed up room in the frontcourt to start Serge Ibaka, who has been terrific. It’s still a big man’s game! 


Bryan Leonard Sports Past Articles

The Zig Zag Theory
Let’s talk about zigzags. No, that’s not some ski slope maneuver. Nor is it someone who says one thing and then does another. Sports bettors ... read more

NBA Playoffs Betting
The NBA playoffs are off and running. There are a lot of ways to analyze who has the edge, from matchups, key statistics (rebounding, turnovers), spread ... read more

NBA Personnel Changes and Lineups
Like a stock broker, a good handicapper has to keep up with the changes that take place on and off the court. This is particularly true this time of year. ... read more

NBA Embarrassment
Many teams get embarrassed during an NBA season, even the playoffs, which are approaching. After all, it's a long season and even good teams get smacked ... read more

The NBA Stretch Run: Does Anybody Care?
Does anyone really care in the NBA? I'm not talking about fans, I'm referring to the players. Certainly a lot of players have pride and want to give their ... read more

All Bryan Leonard Sports Past Articles


Bryan Leonard Sports Past Picks

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
NBA Basketball

Los Angeles Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs Tuesday May 15, 2012 9:35 pm
LA Clippers at San AntonioTerrible spot for the Clippers who had to go the distance with Memphis and win a short handed game on the road just to advance. The Spurs are the vastly more experienced team and they own a major rest advantage. The line is high for a reason and unlike last ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

Cleveland Indians @ Minnesota Twins Monday May 14, 2012 8:10 pm
Cleveland at MinnesotaThe Twins have finally gotten to the point where they are producing value. To make Pavano a sizable home dog against the slumping offense of the Indians is simply a mistake. Pavano, a former Indian, has a career ERA of 2.83 against the Tribe. Gomez has a bright ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox Sunday May 13, 2012 2:10 pm
Kansas City at ChicagoHere we get the better starter and a plus money price. Danny Duffy is starting to come into his own as the best starter on this Kansas City staff. He fared very well in his only career start against the White Sox and we expect another strong performance here. Phillip ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

Cleveland Indians @ Boston Red Sox Sunday May 13, 2012 1:35 pm
Cleveland at BostonJustin Masterson came up in the Boston organization and he was traded a few years ago to Cleveland in the Victor Martinez deal. We know Masterson has never forgotten that. He gets especially up for facing his old team with a 1.95 career ERA against them.Daniel ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
NBA Basketball

Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers Saturday May 12, 2012 10:30 pm
 Denver at Los AngelesThe Nuggets have made a nice comeback to even this series but their season is likely to end tonight. Home teams in game sevens are always a positive play and the line in this game hasn't been inflated. The return of Meta World Peace and the undressing of ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Friday May 11, 2012 10:10 pm
Colorado at Los AngelesLow total in a Jamie Moyer game is always a solid reason to play the Over. Moyer has a lifetime 5.50 ERA in his 72 inning career against the Dodgers. And keep in mind much of that was in his prime. Moyer is a crafty pitcher but his best days are behind him.Capuano ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Friday May 11, 2012 7:10 pm
New York at MiamiLarge pitching edge in this one for the underdog as Santana has a career ERA of 1.46 in 68 lifetime innings against the Marlins. Well aware that the Mets will be seeing Buehrle for the first time but at this price the Mets are well worth a wager. Miami is playing ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

Houston Astros @ Pittsburgh Pirates Friday May 11, 2012 7:05 pm
Houston at PittsburghAs good as McDonald has been this season we can't see the Pirates being a favorite of this size over anybody. Pittsburgh doesn't score enough offensively to be a sizable favorite and we're not sure that Houston doesn't have the pitching advantage. Norris has ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
NBA Basketball

Chicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers Thursday May 10, 2012 7:00 pm
Chicago at PhiladelphiaThe Bulls defense came through last time out but that may not be enough to avoid elimination tonight. The Sixers have shot 32% the last three games and have still held their own against this shorthanded Chicago team. Now back at home we expect the Sixers to ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers Wednesday May 9, 2012 10:10 pm
San Francisco at Los AngelesWhile the Dodgers have gotten off to the better start to the season the Giants are every bit as good as this LA team. Lincecum started the year slowly but he's put it all together as of late. Billingsley on the other hand is regressing. Both starters have ... read more