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Bryan Leonard Sports

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CBB Back to Back Road Games

by: Bryan Leonard Sports

I remember 1984 well, growing up in Cleveland. The Browns were struggling, the young Cavaliers were looking for a shining star in the NBA draft, and the Indians were still searching for their first World Series title since 1948. How times have changed! While the year might have been a bit thin on hope for Cleveland's pro franchises, '84 was more enriching for me. That's when I began my sports handicapping career examining basketball sides and totals. I started out strictly as a basketball bettor, doing very well, so much so that people in the sports information business began encouraging me to expand my talent, which eventually led to my moving to Las Vegas.

Since then I've made basketball betting lines for one of the top offshore sports books, and documented by the Sports Monitor several times one of the Top 3 in combined college and pro basketball selections.

It's not easy. However, oddsmakers do make errors on lines, and there are many situational angles that can one can use to identify winning edges in hoops. Many bettors are overwhelmed by the amount of basketball games each season that it can sometimes get discouraging. I look at it very differently: So many games in both the colleges and the pros provide more opportunities for peaks, hot streaks and bad lines to pounce on each week. You just have to know how, and where, to look.

College basketball scheduling is very important. One angle I look at is road favorites playing their first game in a back-to-back situation. What you have here is a potential play on the home dog for several reasons. Coaches of road favorites in that situation often look to rest players in the second half for two reasons. One is that if they get a big lead early, as a road favorite is expected to, then they start thinking about the next game, which is tomorrow night. Coaches will look to rest starters more than normal in that situation because he knows he has to play the next night.

The second part of that is: What happens if the road favorite finds itself trailing instead of leading? If they are way behind on the road, a coach can do the same strategy, bench his best players late. Not because he has a lead, of course, but because he's writing the game off, in a sense, to save his best for a better effort the next night. The home dog has several edges taking on a team playing the first game of a back-to-back spot.

Don't get discouraged! It's not easy, but winning at basketball is very possible. And don't take my word for it: Ask some of my competitors, or examine my record. There's an old saying, “Take your job seriously but not yourself.” I would have to admit I'm guilty of both!


Bryan Leonard Sports Past Articles

The Zig Zag Theory
Let’s talk about zigzags. No, that’s not some ski slope maneuver. Nor is it someone who says one thing and then does another. Sports bettors ... read more

NBA Playoffs Betting
The NBA playoffs are off and running. There are a lot of ways to analyze who has the edge, from matchups, key statistics (rebounding, turnovers), spread ... read more

NBA Personnel Changes and Lineups
Like a stock broker, a good handicapper has to keep up with the changes that take place on and off the court. This is particularly true this time of year. ... read more

NBA Embarrassment
Many teams get embarrassed during an NBA season, even the playoffs, which are approaching. After all, it's a long season and even good teams get smacked ... read more

The NBA Stretch Run: Does Anybody Care?
Does anyone really care in the NBA? I'm not talking about fans, I'm referring to the players. Certainly a lot of players have pride and want to give their ... read more

All Bryan Leonard Sports Past Articles


Bryan Leonard Sports Past Picks

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
NBA Basketball

Los Angeles Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs Tuesday May 15, 2012 9:35 pm
LA Clippers at San AntonioTerrible spot for the Clippers who had to go the distance with Memphis and win a short handed game on the road just to advance. The Spurs are the vastly more experienced team and they own a major rest advantage. The line is high for a reason and unlike last ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

Cleveland Indians @ Minnesota Twins Monday May 14, 2012 8:10 pm
Cleveland at MinnesotaThe Twins have finally gotten to the point where they are producing value. To make Pavano a sizable home dog against the slumping offense of the Indians is simply a mistake. Pavano, a former Indian, has a career ERA of 2.83 against the Tribe. Gomez has a bright ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox Sunday May 13, 2012 2:10 pm
Kansas City at ChicagoHere we get the better starter and a plus money price. Danny Duffy is starting to come into his own as the best starter on this Kansas City staff. He fared very well in his only career start against the White Sox and we expect another strong performance here. Phillip ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

Cleveland Indians @ Boston Red Sox Sunday May 13, 2012 1:35 pm
Cleveland at BostonJustin Masterson came up in the Boston organization and he was traded a few years ago to Cleveland in the Victor Martinez deal. We know Masterson has never forgotten that. He gets especially up for facing his old team with a 1.95 career ERA against them.Daniel ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
NBA Basketball

Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers Saturday May 12, 2012 10:30 pm
 Denver at Los AngelesThe Nuggets have made a nice comeback to even this series but their season is likely to end tonight. Home teams in game sevens are always a positive play and the line in this game hasn't been inflated. The return of Meta World Peace and the undressing of ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Friday May 11, 2012 10:10 pm
Colorado at Los AngelesLow total in a Jamie Moyer game is always a solid reason to play the Over. Moyer has a lifetime 5.50 ERA in his 72 inning career against the Dodgers. And keep in mind much of that was in his prime. Moyer is a crafty pitcher but his best days are behind him.Capuano ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Friday May 11, 2012 7:10 pm
New York at MiamiLarge pitching edge in this one for the underdog as Santana has a career ERA of 1.46 in 68 lifetime innings against the Marlins. Well aware that the Mets will be seeing Buehrle for the first time but at this price the Mets are well worth a wager. Miami is playing ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

Houston Astros @ Pittsburgh Pirates Friday May 11, 2012 7:05 pm
Houston at PittsburghAs good as McDonald has been this season we can't see the Pirates being a favorite of this size over anybody. Pittsburgh doesn't score enough offensively to be a sizable favorite and we're not sure that Houston doesn't have the pitching advantage. Norris has ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
NBA Basketball

Chicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers Thursday May 10, 2012 7:00 pm
Chicago at PhiladelphiaThe Bulls defense came through last time out but that may not be enough to avoid elimination tonight. The Sixers have shot 32% the last three games and have still held their own against this shorthanded Chicago team. Now back at home we expect the Sixers to ... read more

Bryan Leonard Sports Bryan Leonard Sports
MLB Baseball

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers Wednesday May 9, 2012 10:10 pm
San Francisco at Los AngelesWhile the Dodgers have gotten off to the better start to the season the Giants are every bit as good as this LA team. Lincecum started the year slowly but he's put it all together as of late. Billingsley on the other hand is regressing. Both starters have ... read more