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Mr East

Big Pick Alert!

MREAST MLB WEDNESDAY TOTAL BUSTER (Wed)
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CASHING IN ON THE NFL-X

by: Mr East

Many think their is no value playing meaningless games in the NFL Preseason, or wonder how can you base anything on teams that are experimenting with new systems, evaluating players, etc. There is some truth to the facts, but no truth to the fact there is no value in playing these games, If you look toward the right situations, the right opportunity presents itself, and here is something I will share from my many archieved systems, based on one confition only, so nothing backfitted here. THE PREMISE:What happens to a team in the NFL-X that doesn't find the end-zone the entire game, or scores 6 points or less? This certainly seems to be a team that has no identity on offense, maybe looking at a new coach with a new system, or maybe just had one of those weeks. The real value comes from this. What do you think the offensive coordinator, and head coach discussions were like during prep for the next week? You can bet there will be extra emphasis going into the offensive game plan the following week, and a repeat is unlikely. So let's take a look at a 12 year history in the NFL-X of teams that scored 6 points or less in their previous NFL-X Game. There has been a sizeable database of games, with 102 games in the databank falling into this catergory. The rsults are very positive, and I will break them down in several ways, to show where the real value lies. PLAYING ON A TEAM THAT SCORED 6 POINTS OR LESS IN THEIR PREVIOUS NFL-X GAME:59-43 ATS  57.8%26-17 as a dog   60.4%33-26 as a favorite 55.9%****************************************************************************Let's take a look at the moneyline for these games:20-23 as a dog 46.5% to an average moneyline of +170That means playing these dogs on the moneyline has an ROI (return on investment) of 25.6%41-18 as a favorite  to an average moneyline of -180That means these favorites have a 14.6% return on the moneylineOF INTEREST:AFC moneyline favorites 20-4 !!!!!NFC moneyline favorites 21-14TOTALS in these games have produced overs at the rate of 57-45 or 56%These "so called" flawed teams that none would look at after the results of their first game is where the money is!!!! They have gone from an average of 4.9 points a game to exactly 20 points a game in their next time out!!!! If you look at last week's NFL-X, teams that scored 20 or more points were 9-4 ATS!!!! So this system has value both straight up and on the moneyline, so look for thos teams that produced 6 points or less in their last game, and play them SU, and ATS, and play the game to go under, and you should be showing a nice profit to head into the regular season!Good luck to all!!!


Mr East Past Articles

Sleepless in Denver?
A lot is made of teams playing with no rest in the NBA. The question is does it matter? Here is my latest research and findings on NBA teams playing with ... read more

March Madness: Good, Bad and the Ugly
The NCAA Tournament is right around the corner. I thought i'd take a look at who has the bet winning percentage of all time in NCAA Tournament games. ... read more

Weekly Look at CFB Title Chasers
BCS Title Chasers - We are down to five unbeaten teams in NCAAF, and 12 teams with a single loss. The Oregon Ducks are the new #1 team in the latest BCS ... read more

Lay of the Line NFL Week 7
Another winning footabl week is now in the books, as both NCAAF and NFL football were winners for the week. We now turn to NCAAF week 8, and NFL week ... read more

Good and Bad Septembers, Does it Matter?
The Major League baseball Playoffs get started on Wednesday, so I thought I'd get you tuned in, to avoid the "trap" thinking that sends many ... read more

All Mr East Past Articles


Mr East Past Picks

Mr East Mr East
NBA Basketball

Los Angeles Lakers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Monday May 14, 2012 9:35 pm
This game fis a round 2 situation which is 54-23 ATS, play on Oklahoma City ... read more

Mr East Mr East
MLB Baseball

Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Monday May 14, 2012 7:05 pm
 I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, ... read more

Mr East Mr East
NBA Basketball

Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Monday May 14, 2012 7:05 pm
This game fits a 17-5 ATS game 2 round 2 series situation and the play is on Boston ... read more

Mr East Mr East
NBA Basketball

Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Monday May 14, 2012 7:05 pm
 This game fits a second round playoff total situation which is 20-2 ATS, and the play is on the over. ... read more

Mr East Mr East
NBA Basketball

Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat Sunday May 13, 2012 3:35 pm
This game fits a huge playoff situation which is 54-23 ATS and also qualifies for a subset which is 14-2 ATS, the play on team is Miami ... read more

Mr East Mr East
MLB Baseball

Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals Sunday May 13, 2012 2:15 pm
 I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, ... read more

Mr East Mr East
MLB Baseball

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers Sunday May 13, 2012 2:10 pm
I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, and ... read more

Mr East Mr East
MLB Baseball

Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox Sunday May 13, 2012 2:10 pm
: I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, ... read more

Mr East Mr East
MLB Baseball

Washington Nationals @ Cincinnati Reds Sunday May 13, 2012 1:10 pm
 I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, ... read more

Mr East Mr East
MLB Baseball

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Sunday May 13, 2012 1:10 pm
 I have had a ton of success playing in MLB early in the season, April and May, as well as Interleague play, and September. I have done a ton of research that has proven to be a formula for success, and all my MLB games that I offer here are based on this research, past success, ... read more