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Marc Lawrence

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Marc Lawrence Amazing Triple Perfect 4* NBA Play! (Wed 9:35PM)
Marc's powerful NBA database has been on fire once again this post season and it's uncovered an amazing TRIPLE PERFECT winning angle on Wednesday night's playoff card. Don't miss another playoff winner. Get this 4* beauty now and win real good again with Marc Wednesday night!

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Bubble Trouble

by: Marc Lawrence

Get your dancing shoes out.  With just two weeks remaining to the start of the 2011 NCAA Tournament, teams sitting on the outside looking in are now – more than ever – sweating their bubbles off.

For the legitimate teams who find themselves sitting ‘on the tournament bubble’, it’s now crunch time.  And with it the pressure peaks.  As Elvis said, “It’s now or never.”  

With post-season conference tournaments now underway it’s truly last-gasp time for these teams to make one final impression on the NCAA tournament committee.

However, the truth of the matter is most teams’ fates are virtually sealed well before these conference tourneys tip off.  Let me explain.

Outside of winning a conference tournament, the fact is unless teams own both a winning overall and winning conference record for the season the chance of being invited to the ‘dance’ is slim and remote.  Teams who post 20 wins for the season often times find that unless they were a ‘double-winner’, the NCAA is likely to kick them to the curb. And for a lot of the right reasons, we might add.

The brain trust recognizes the fact that 20-win teams who ended the season non-winners in conference play likely picked up the bulk of the victories against inferior, non-conference competition and it just doesn’t cut the mustard in the panels’ eyes.  

Witness the Miami Hurricanes last season.  A 20-win team at season’s end last year (thanks to a pair of conference tourney victories) didn’t matter as they were left at the altar when the committee decided a 4-12 mark in ACC play was not a part of the Big Dance formula.  

With this thought in mind, I present of group of twenty-four teams from lined major conferences that all have a mathematical shot at 20 wins this season, all of whom are all currently .500 or worse in conference play in games through March 6.  They include:

ACC – Maryland, Miami Fla, Virginia
Atlantic 10: Dayton, St. Bonaventure
Big East: Marquette
BIG 10 – Illinois, Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Northwestern
Big 12: , Baylor, Colorado, Nebraska, Oklahoma State
CUSA: Central Florida, East Carolina, SMU
MAC: Buffalo
PAC 10: Washington State
SEC – Arkansas, Mississippi, Tennessee
WAC: Hawaii


Notice that any of the two-dozen teams outlined above could catch fire and win their conference tourney, thus automatically gaining a ticket to the Big Dance.

Their performance to date, however, says otherwise.  Collectively, this unit has posted a sterling 248-78 SU and 116-96 ATS mark outside the conference this season.  In conference play, though, they are just a combined 181-215 SU and 180-204-12 ATS.

Worse, as a favorite in conference games these wannabes are just 80-110-5 ATS this season, including 30-56-2 ATS when favored off a win.  Put this same group of guys up as a favorite off a win against a foe seeking revenge that and they nearly drop off the radar screen, going 15-34 ATS this season, including 7-25 ATS if they covered the number by more than three points in its last game.

Thus, unless they suddenly change their ways – and I can't recall the last time a leopard changed its spots – its likely this group of fourteen will likely perform not-so-great under the pressure of laying points and having to win over the next two weeks.  

The heat is on.  Let’s watch and see… 


Marc Lawrence Past Articles

2011 BIG 12 Conference Football Preview
Much like the shrink-wrap used by food packagers these days, the BIG 12 shrank to 10 teams for the 2011 season with the defections of Colorado (PAC 10) ... read more

2011 Big 10 Conference Preview
It used to be that when you talked Big 10 Football you were talking Ohio State.After all, the Buckeyes won at least a share of the last six Big Ten Championships ... read more

2011 Big East Football Preview
As referenced in last year’s pre-season preview, this always-powerful basketball conference has come a long way toward establishing a football pedigree ... read more

2011 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE FOOTBALL PREVIEW
2011 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE FOOTBALL PREVIEWBy Marc LawrenceAfter leading the nation the previous four years with the most players selected in the ... read more

June Good Month Pitchers
JUNE GOOD MONTH PITCHERSBy Marc Lawrence If it’s June, school is out. And so too will be the NBA (we think). It’s also the time of the ... read more

All Marc Lawrence Past Articles


Marc Lawrence Past Picks

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NBA Basketball

Los Angeles Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs Tuesday May 15, 2012 9:35 pm
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Play On: Miami Heat (Game 502)Note: When the Heat host the Pacers in the first game in this 2nd round playoff series Sunday afternoon Miami will take the court in powerful winning situation.  That's because road teams in Game One of a series that won their previous playoff series ... read more

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Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets Thursday May 10, 2012 10:30 pm
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Philadelphia 76ers @ Chicago Bulls Tuesday May 8, 2012 9:35 pm
Play On: Chicago Bulls (Game 720)Note: The top-seeded Bulls limp home off back-to-back losses to No. 8 seed Philadelphia Tuesday evening with plenty of good situations in their favor tonight.  For openers, No.1 seeds playing at home in the playoffs off a pair of losses, with ... read more

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MLB Baseball

St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks Monday May 7, 2012 9:40 pm
Play On: St. Louis w/LynnNote: The Cardinals and Diamondbacks open a three game series in Arizona where Lance Lynn matches serves with Joe Saunders Monday evening. Lynn has been a most pleasant surprise for the Redbirds, filling in for staff ace Chris Carpenter in impressive fashion ... read more

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MLB Baseball

Texas Rangers @ Baltimore Orioles Monday May 7, 2012 7:05 pm
Play On: Texas Rangers vs Matusz (Game 917)Note:  The Rangers and Orioles meet at Camden Yards in the first of a three game series Monday night with the upstart Birds returning home off a successful  road trip at Boston and New York last week.  Look for reality to ... read more

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Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets Sunday May 6, 2012 9:35 pm
Play On: LA Lakers (Game 707)Note: When the Lakers meet the Nuggets in Game Four of their opening round playoff series Sunday night in Denver, Los Angeles will be in a highly desirable winning situation.  That's because non-division higher seeded NBA teams In Game Four, off ... read more

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Memphis Grizzlies @ Los Angeles Clippers Saturday May 5, 2012 4:35 pm
Play On: L.A. Clippers (Game 548)Note: The Clippers return home to host the Grizzlies in Game Three this Western Conference playoff series Saturday evening in a highly desirable winning situation.  That's because home teams in Game Three of the opening round of the NBA playoffs, ... read more