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Boise State hosting Utah State
by: John Ryan Sports
College Football Betting Preview
By John Ryan
Utah State at (9) Boise State
3:00 PM ET, December 4, 2010
Bronco Stadium, BOISE ID
Boise State favored by 37 1/2 -110 with a 61 1/2 point total
This is an interesting and extremely difficult game to handicap. The Boise State Broncos (10-1, 6-1 WAC) are coming off one of the worst possible losses any team could endure and their mental make-up will determine if they cover this huge spread. The Utah State Aggies (4-7, 2-5 WAC) are a weak team that simply does not have the talent to compete on the same field as the Broncos. This much we know.Boise State ought to be favored by this much
Taking a look at the team stats and respective national rankings clearly shows how superior the Broncos are to the Aggies. The Broncos rank 6th nationally in passing gaining 326.6 yards per game, 24th in rushing gaining 199.9 yards per game, and second in scoring offense at 46.4 points per game. Their defense is second allowing 13.5 points per game and that includes last week’s loss to Nevada where they gave up more than 500 yards and 34 points.
The Aggies are in the lower third of nearly all the statistical rankings. Their best asset is running the ball, but that is not enough to compete in this game. They rank 49th in rushing gaining 161.3 yards per game, 85th in passing gaining 191.2 yards per game, and 92nd in scoring offense at 22.7 points per game. Their defense has been torched all season long and rank 92nd allowing 32.3 points per game. So, it is quite evident that Boise is vastly superior on both sides of the ball.
The Effects of the Nevada Loss
There are so many detrimental and devastating experiences coming out of the overtime loss to Nevada last week, that even a great head coach like Chris Peterson may not be able to overcome. This team was just two wins away from possibly playing the for the National Championship and now face the realization that at best they will be playing in the Humanitarian bowl or perhaps the Fight Hunger Bowl. For the majority of College Football teams the goal of reaching and playing in a bowl game is always a great way to end their seasons. In the case of a national contender like Boise, it is a crushing and embarassing consolation prize.
How could Boise State blow a big lead in the 4th quarter
Boise was leading by 17 points at the half and were leading 24-14 entering the fourth quarter. Both the offense and defense failed to execute even the simplest of assignments and plays and suddenly the ‘panic virus’ spread to every player on the Boise sideline. Then to top it all off, they give up the tying score with just 13 seconds left. They somehow, with just those 13 seconds left, execute a huge play getting them to the Nevada nine yard line. The top scorer in school history, kicker Kyle Brotzman, is on the field to save the day and he misses. Then in overtime the Broncos offense continued to struggle and appeared stiff and completely out of sync. Still, they get another shot. This time Brotzman lines up a 29 yard field goal and misses that one too.
For any team and each respective player on it to recover from this sort of game is monumental. However, they are playing one of the weakest teams in the nation on their home turf. This is why this game is difficult to quantify and get a feel for how it will be played out. This is perhaps the most important lesson. It is important to determine the correct winning side when placing a bet, but it is far more important to know when NOT to make a bet. In my opinion, this is certainly one of those to avoid.
John Ryan Sports Past Articles
Ryan's Red River History View
Texas will host No. 1 Oklahoma and are installed as 11 point dogs this Saturday. Seems the public is all over the Sooners and initially, who could argue ... read more
Have the Phillies Begun to Reach their Potential?
The Philadelphia Phillies have established the best record in baseball despite having a largely inconsistent offense. I would not advise anyone on betting ... read more
World Series Futures Bet
My favorite and most profitable sport just started Spring Training. MLB is a sport that so many amateur betters disregard and lose solid money making ... read more
Humanitarian Bowl Preview
College Betting Preview By John Ryan The uDrove Humanitarian Bowl Northern Illinois at Fresno State Saturday, December 18, 5:30 PM ET Bronco Stadium, ... read more
Boise State hosting Utah State
College Football Betting Preview By John Ryan Utah State at (9) Boise State 3:00 PM ET, December 4, 2010 Bronco Stadium, BOISE ID Boise State favored ... read more
All John Ryan Sports Past Articles
John Ryan Sports Past Picks
NBA Basketball
Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat Tuesday May 15, 2012 7:05 pm
25* graded play on the Indiana Pacers as they take on the Miami Heat in Game 2 of this best-of-seven Eastern Conference series set to start at 7:05 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that the Pacers will lose this game by six or fewer points. I also believe that adding ... read more
MLB Baseball
San Diego Padres @ Washington Nationals Tuesday May 15, 2012 1:05 pm
15* graded play on San Diego as they take on the Washington Nationals and phenom Stephen Strasburg set to start at 1:05 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that SD will pull off the unexpected upset winner. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record ... read more
MLB Baseball
Kansas City Royals @ Texas Rangers Monday May 14, 2012 8:05 pm
15* graded play on the Texas Rangers using the Run Line as they take on the Kansas City Royals in Al action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Texas will win this game by more than one run and cover the -1 ½ run line spread. Supporting ... read more
MLB Baseball
Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers Sunday May 13, 2012 8:05 pm
30* graded play on the Angels as they take on the Texas Rangers set to start at 8:05 PM ET and will be televised by ESPN Sunday Night baseball. The simulator shows a high probability that Anaheim with starter Weaver will win this game. Angels are starting to hit far better than at ... read more
NBA Basketball
Los Angeles Clippers @ Memphis Grizzlies Sunday May 13, 2012 1:05 pm
25* graded play on Memphis as they take on the LA Clippers in Game 7 of this first round Western Conference playoff matchup. The simulator shows a high probability that Memphis will win this game by 10 or more points. Memphis has been one of the best teams playing at home this season ... read more
NBA Basketball
Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers Saturday May 12, 2012 10:30 pm
25* graded play on the Los Angeles Lakers as they take on the Denver Nuggets in game 7 of this first round Western Conference playoff matchup. The simulator shows a high probability that the Lakers will win this game by seven or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system ... read more
MLB Baseball
Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics Friday May 11, 2012 10:05 pm
15* graded play on Oakland as they host Detroit set to start at 10:05 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 268-158 for 63% winners and has made 85.0 units per one unit ... read more
MLB Baseball
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Friday May 11, 2012 7:10 pm
15* graded play on Oakland as they host Detroit set to start at 10:05 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 268-158 for 63% winners and has made 85.0 units per one unit ... read more
NBA Basketball
Atlanta Hawks @ Boston Celtics Thursday May 10, 2012 8:00 pm
25* graded play on the Atlanta Hawks as they get ready to take on the Celtics in Game six of this first round best-of-seven playoff. The Celtics lead three-games-to-two, but based on the sim’s projections a game seven may be in the offing. The simulator shows a high probability ... read more
NBA Basketball
New York Knicks @ Miami Heat Wednesday May 9, 2012 7:05 pm
Game: New York Knicks vs. Miami HeatGame Time: 5/9/2012 7:05:00 PMPrediction: New York KnicksReason: 15* graded play on the New York Knicks as they take on the Miami Heat set to start at 7:05 PM ET. This is Game 5 of the first round Eastern Conference playoff ... read more
All John Ryan Sports Past Picks
