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Betting on the Super Bowl Coin Toss
by: Doc's Sports
Is betting on the Super Bowl coin toss one of the most inane bets out there? I certainly think so, but it’s also one of the most popular Super Bowl bets there are (hey, bettors want to start the game off right and reinvest their winnings), and that’s why Bodog has had odds up on the Super Bowl coin toss, for example, since well before the 2010 NFL season even began.
Obviously, the moneyline will be the same for heads or tails no matter what book you go to: BetUS has both listed at -110 while Bodog has it at -105. But don’t go flipping a coin to determine your bet on this Super Bowl prop because, arguably, no prop has been more consistent in recent years than the coin toss. Last year was the 13th consecutive season that the NFC won the coin toss – the offensive-minded Saints won it on heads and chose to receive. The NFC has won it 30 times overall and the AFC 14. The loser of the coin toss, however, has won 10 of the last 14 Super Bowls – including Pittsburgh the last time it was in the big game.
In the 44 previous Super Bowls it has been pretty even which side comes up, with heads coming up 23 times and tails 21 times. And the winner of the coin toss has won 21 Super Bowls and the loser 23 overall. The visiting team gets to make the call and that’s the Steelers this season, who could well become the second team to defer to the second half. The first team to ever defer was the Arizona Cardinals two seasons ago in Tampa (the NFL had just changed the rules allowing teams to defer) when they just so happened to play the Steelers.
It wasn't until Super Bowl XII between the Dallas Cowboys and Denver Broncos that the NFL began honoring its legends during the pregame ceremony. Red Grange was the first honorary coin-tosser. The Cowboys correctly guessed heads and won the game, 27-10. The first 11 Super Bowl coin flips were handled by a game referee. Last year the Pro Football Hall of Fame Class of 2010, led by Jerry Rice, handled the duties.
Could the way the coin-tosser holds the coin be relevant (the honorary tossers for this year’s Super Bowl haven’t been announced as of this writing)? Perhaps. A 2007 study titled "Dynamical Bias In The Coin Flip" and published in the “Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics Review” concluded that a coin is more likely to land facing the same side on which it started -- at least 51 percent likelihood but up to as much as 55. So if tails is facing up when the coin is on a person’s thumb, then it’s more likely to come up as tails when flipped and vice versa.
After reading this NFL piece head over to our Bet Football Conference winners page. If you plan on betting NFL you'll also want to read our NFL Season Win Total Predictions page. Our NFL Preseason Betting Tips page is also a valuable tool for your NFL research. For more NFL articles and free picks visit our homepage and view the "Doc's Daily Medicine" section.
Doc’s Sports’ Super Bowl content is the best on the Internet and we will dissect the game from every possible angle, from Free Super Bowl picks to Super Bowl Squares Probability. We also offer expert Super Bowl picks from seven different handicappers (for only $25) and our expert team will be providing not only the side and total for the game, but a variety of high-value prop bets as well. Check our home page daily for the next two weeks!
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NHL Hockey
Los Angeles Kings @ Phoenix Coyotes Tuesday May 15, 2012 9:05 pm
5-unit Play Take #5 Los Angeles Kings over Phoenix Coyotes (9:05pm EST) The Los Angeles Kings are on a mission. With a 9-1 record in the playoffs, including a 6-0 mark on the road, the Kings are clearly playing the best hockey of the four teams remaining. They are doing everything ... read more
MLB Baseball
Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets Tuesday May 15, 2012 7:10 pm
Free Play from Doc’s Sports: Take #908 New York over Milwaukee (7:10pm est): The Milwaukee Brewers and their star pitcher Zack Greinke look totally different when they are away from home than they do when both of them are at home. The betting market looks to be ... read more
MLB Baseball
Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox Tuesday May 15, 2012 2:10 pm
4-unit Play Take Detroit Tigers/Chicago White Sox UNDER (2:10pm ET) This afternoon's game between the Detroit Tigers and Chicago White Sox has the makings of a classic pitcher's duel. You won't find two pitchers in the American League that are in better current form than Max Scherzer ... read more
NHL Hockey
New Jersey Devils @ New York Rangers Monday May 14, 2012 8:05 pm
5-unit Play Take #4 New York Rangers over New Jersey Devils (8:05pm EST) The Eastern Conference Finals begin tonight in Madison Square Garden between the New York Rangers and the New Jersey Devils. This is a great rivalry matchup that has plenty of NHL fans excited and should be ... read more
MLB Baseball
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays Monday May 14, 2012 7:05 pm
3-unit Play Take #968 Toronto Blue Jays over Tampa Bay Rays (7:05pm ET) Today's game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Toronto Blue Jays has the makings of a good old pitcher's duel. Brandon Morrow throws for the Jays and he's quietly putting together a career year. Morrow is 4-1 ... read more
NHL Hockey
Los Angeles Kings @ Phoenix Coyotes Sunday May 13, 2012 8:00 pm
3-unit Play Take Los Angeles Kings/Phoenix Coyotes OVER (8:05pm EST) The Phoenix Coyotes and Los Angeles have waited a long time to start their Western Conference Finals series. To be exact, it's been a full week for the Kings and six days for the Coyotes. That's a lot of time ... read more
MLB Baseball
Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics Saturday May 12, 2012 8:05 pm
3-unit Play Take #979 Detroit Tigers over Oakland A's (8:05pm ET) Today's game between the Detroit Tigers and Oakland A's is a fairly easy handicap. Detroit has the much better starting pitcher and the better offense - the two most important components to winning a baseball game. ... read more
NHL Hockey
Washington Capitals @ New York Rangers Saturday May 12, 2012 7:35 pm
4-unit Play Take New York Rangers/Washington Capitals UNDER 4.5 (7:35pm EST) The Under in Game 6 gave us an easy winner on Wednesday and we'll be riding it again tonight in the decisive Game 7. As we mentioned last time out, goals have been very hard to come by for both teams in ... read more
MLB Baseball
Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins Saturday May 12, 2012 7:10 pm
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #973 Toronto Blue Jays over Minnesota Twins (7:10pm ET) Today’s matchup features an underrated ball club versus the worst team in the major leagues. The Toronto Blue Jays don’t get a whole lot of respect and most ... read more
MLB Baseball
Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees Thursday May 10, 2012 7:05 pm
2-Unit Play. Take the Under in Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m., Thursday, May 10) The Yankees will look to even the 4 game set with the Rays today with another win. This is a matchup of two terrific left handed pitchers with CC Sabathia facing David Price. Price (5-1, 2.35 ERA) ... read more
