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Ben Burns NBA Basketball Past Picks

Philadelphia 76ers @ Minnesota Timberwolves Wednesday November 19, 2008 8:00 pm
I'm taking the points with MINNESOTA. Having recorded three straight victories, the 76ers may be patting themselves on the back a bit here and it will be easy to overlook the lowly T-Wolves. That will be a mistake though. For starters, the 76ers are a money-burning 6-11-1 ATS since ... read more

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Toronto Raptors @ Miami Heat Wednesday November 19, 2008 7:30 pm
I'm playing on the Heat and Raptors to finish UNDER the total. These teams just played a high-scoring game against each other on the weekend. That was at Toronto though where the Raptors have averaged 102 points per game and where the 'over' is now 4-0 on the season. Toronto hasn't ... read more

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Atlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers Tuesday November 18, 2008 7:00 pm
I'm laying the small number with INDIANA. The Pacers are a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS the last four times that they hosted the Hawks. I feel that they'll improve on those numbers this evening. The Hawks got off to a great start. However, they've now lost three in a row, including back to ... read more

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San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers Monday November 17, 2008 10:30 pm
I'm playing on the LA CLIPPERS. The Clippers are off to another tough start and now they face a team which has always given them trouble. That being said, the Clippers are more talented than their record indicates and these aren't the same Spurs that we've seen in recent years. Indeed, ... read more

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Houston Rockets @ Oklahoma City Thunder Monday November 17, 2008 8:00 pm
I'm taking the points with OKLAHOMA CITY. As you know, the Rockets are the stronger team in this matchup. However, I believe that this will prove to be a difficult scheduling spot for them and that the line is too high. The Rockets are coming off a stretch of really "big games." ... read more

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Detroit Pistons @ Phoenix Suns Sunday November 16, 2008 8:00 pm
I'm laying the points with PHOENIX. While they had last night off, I feel that this will be a difficult spot for the Pistons. That's because it represents their seventh road game in their last eight games, meaning that they have played in eight straight different cities. Additionally, ... read more

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Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Clippers Saturday November 15, 2008 3:30 pm
I'm laying the points with the LA CLIPPERS. As you are probably aware, former Golden State star Baron Davis is now a Clipper and longtime Clipper Corey Maggette is now a Warrior. That makes this a big game for both these teams, as neither wants to lose to its former star. Playing ... read more

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Detroit Pistons @ Los Angeles Lakers Friday November 14, 2008 10:30 pm
I'm playing on the Pistons and Lakers to finish UNDER the total. The Pistons were involved in a relatively high-scoring game last night. That was at Oakland vs. the defensively-challenged Warriors though. The Warriors are currently allowing 105.4 points per game (2nd worst in the ... read more

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Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns Wednesday November 12, 2008 10:30 pm
I'm playing on the Suns and Rockets to finish UNDER the total. Five of the last six meetings between these teams, which were played here at Phoenix, have fallen below the total. I feel that tonight's line, which has already climbed several points from its opener, presents us with ... read more

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Los Angeles Lakers @ New Orleans Hornets Wednesday November 12, 2008 8:00 pm
I'm playing on NEW ORLEANS. The Lakers are playing very well right now. They're at a scheduling disadvantage tonight though and taking on a New Orleans team which is also extremely strong. While the Hornets are well-rested, the Lakers are playing their second game in two nights and ... read more

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Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks Tuesday November 11, 2008 8:30 pm
I'm taking the points with DALLAS. The Lakers have admittedly gotten off to a very strong start and are playing well on both sides of the ball. That being said, the lines on their games are now getting too high and they've had real trouble here at Dallas. Indeed, the Lakers are just ... read more

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Utah Jazz @ Philadelphia 76ers Tuesday November 11, 2008 7:00 pm
I'm laying the points with PHILADELPHIA. The Jazz have gotten off to a strong start. However, a closer look shows that they've only played two road games and those games came against the Clippers and the Knicks. They did beat the Clippers but were blown out by the Knicks in their ... read more

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Memphis Grizzlies @ Phoenix Suns Monday November 10, 2008 9:00 pm
I'm playing on the Suns and Grizzlies to finish UNDER the total. The Suns are still a team which is capable of putting a lot of points on the board. However, with Shaq in the lineup, they don't have quite as fast a tempo these days. For the season, they're averaging 102.7 points ... read more

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Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Sunday November 9, 2008 9:30 pm
I'm playing on the Rockets and Lakers to finish UNDER the total. After limiting the Clippers to 82 points (93-82 final) in their last game, the Rockets have now seen the UNDER go 12-6-1 their last 19 games, dating back to last season. As for the Lakers, they've seen three of this ... read more

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Memphis Grizzlies @ Golden State Warriors Friday November 7, 2008 10:30 pm
I'm playing on Memphis and Golden State to finish OVER the total. I successfully play on these same two teams to finish 'under' the total just a few nights ago. The final score stayed below the number by 30+ points as Memphis won by a score of 90-79. That result has helped us tonight. ... read more

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Detroit Pistons @ New Jersey Nets Friday November 7, 2008 7:30 pm
I'm taking the points with NEW JERSEY. Adding Allen Iverson certainly makes the Pistons more dangerous offensively. However, they were already playing very well and the change in chemistry may take some getting used to. Even Iverson acknowledged: "It's definitely going to be ... read more

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Houston Rockets @ Portland Trailblazers Thursday November 6, 2008 10:30 pm
I'm taking the points with PORTLAND. We're getting excellent line value with the Blazers here, in part due to the fact that they played last night while the Rockets had last night off. Playing the second of back to back games can certainly be difficult on teams at times. However, ... read more

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Memphis Grizzlies @ Sacramento Kings Wednesday November 5, 2008 10:00 pm
I'm laying the points with SACRAMENTO. I played against the Kings in their last game and they got crushed by Philadelphia. However, tonight's game is significantly more favorable for them for several reasons. For starters, the game vs. the 76ers was the final game of an Eastern road ... read more

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Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder Wednesday November 5, 2008 8:00 pm
I'm taking the points with OKLAHOMA CITY. As you know, Boston is the "better" team in this matchup. However, the better team doesn't always cover the spread and in this case, the scheduling situation strongly favors the home dog. While the Thunder had last night off, the ... read more

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Phoenix Suns @ New Jersey Nets Tuesday November 4, 2008 7:30 pm
I'm playing on the Suns and Nets to finish UNDER the total. Everyone still thinks of the Suns as an extremely high-scoring team. The same team that averaged 110 points per game last season. That perception has been strengthened in the mind's of the betting public with the Suns having ... read more

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Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies Monday November 3, 2008 8:00 pm
I'm playing on the Warriors and Grizzlies to finish UNDER the number. The Warriors remain a high-scoring up-tempo team. They've topped the 100 point mark in each of their first three games, two of which finished above the total. However, all three of those games came against teams ... read more

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Sacramento Kings @ Philadelphia 76ers Monday November 3, 2008 7:00 pm
I'm laying the points with PHILADELPHIA. The 76ers are off to a rather disappointing 1-2 start. Note that the lone victory was a 29 point rout. Keep in mind that this was a team that made the playoffs last season and then signed Elton Brand to make them significantly stronger. With ... read more

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Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets Saturday November 1, 2008 9:00 pm
I'm taking the points with DENVER. I believe that the betting public is over-reacting to Denver is coming off an OT game last night. Yes, that was a hard-fought game. However, the fact that the Nuggets earned a great comeback win should help compensate for some of the fatigue that ... read more

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Miami Heat @ Charlotte Bobcats Saturday November 1, 2008 7:00 pm
I'm laying the points with CHARLOTTE. It's important not over-react to the starts off both teams. The Bobcats struggled in preseason and are off to an 0-1 start. They've got a top tier coach (Larry Brown) now though and they're not without talent. Additionally, their lone game was ... read more

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New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers Friday October 31, 2008 7:00 pm
I'm laying the points with PHILADELPHIA. The Knicks won their opener while the 76'ers lost theirs. Those results have helped us in a couple of different ways here. For starters, we're getting a much more reasonable line than we would have if New York had lost and Philly had won. ... read more

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New Orleans Hornets @ Phoenix Suns Thursday October 30, 2008 10:30 pm
I'm playing on the Suns and Hornets to finish UNDER the total. Both these teams saw their opening game finish above the number last night. That will have most expecting another high-scoring affair tonight. Phoenix went over the number last night in large part due to the Spurs using ... read more

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Los Angeles Lakers @ Los Angeles Clippers Wednesday October 29, 2008 10:30 pm
I'm taking the points with the LA CLIPPERS. The Lakers got off to an impressive start last night and it's true that they've always had their way with the Clippers. Still, they're playing the second of back to back games here and they've never been particularly sharp when coming off ... read more

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Portland Trailblazers @ Los Angeles Lakers Tuesday October 28, 2008 10:30 pm
I'm taking the points with PORTLAND. Visiting teams went 3-0 ATS (2-1 SU) on Opening Night last season, including Portland covering at San Antonio. I feel the Blazers offer solid value as Opening Night road underdogs again this season. In addition to finally having Greg Oden in the ... read more

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Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics Tuesday June 17, 2008 9:00 pm
I'm taking the points with the LAKERS. As you're probably aware, the celtics have covered every game in this series thus far. That has kept tonight's line generously high, despite the fact that the Celtics are somewhat banged-up and despite the fact that the Lakers are playing a ... read more

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Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers Sunday June 15, 2008 9:05 pm
I'm playing on the Lakers and Celtics to finish OVER the total. After back to back games which stayed below the number, I believe that we're getting excellent value with the OVER here. On the topic of "line value," let's keep in mind that the over/under line was 195.5 for ... read more

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