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Marc Lawrence

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BIG 12 TOURNAMENT PREVIEW

by: Marc Lawrence

BIG 12 TOURNAMENT PREVIEW

PROJECTED FINAL FOUR:

Kansas, Kansas State, Missouri and Texas

THE WAY WE SEE IT:
The NCAA committee will probably hand out invitations to seven Big 12 schools, but can any of them be trusted in this event? KANSAS does arrive with some gaudy offensive and defensive numbers but their rusty 2-11 ATS mark with 3 or more days of rest this season is cause for concern. So is their 1-5 ATS record over their last six tourney games. After last year’s opening round loss to Baylor, expect the Jayhawks to be all business. HC Bill’s Self’s 14-3 ATS post-season log against a foe off a SU dog win ensures that. A strong showing at the Sprint Center could vault KANSAS STATE into a No. 1 seed. However, the Wildcats’ one-and-out each of the last two seasons along with their 1-3 SU and ATS record as tourney chalk this decade leaves us with too many questions. Can MISSOURI make it two in a row? The defending champs ran through the field last year (3-0 SUATS) and their 6-3-1 ATS record in their last 10 as tourney dogs offers much promise. Keep an eye on the Tigers in the opening matchup as they are a solid 5-1 ATS vs. a conference opponent off a SU loss this season. TEXAS has advanced to the semis or finals in each of the last 4 years. Before the loss to Baylor last season, it was the Jayhawks who handed them the boot the previous three seasons. With injuries in their starting backcourt, the Longhorns may not get the chance to avenge any of those losses.

THE SLEEPER: Baylor
The Bears caught the conference by surprise when they lost to Missouri in the title game last season. There will be no surprises this year. Baylor has rung the register in 11 of 16 conference tourney games this decade and they were 6-0 ATS this season in games against foes off a double-digit win. The question is: can they be trusted laying points? Not according to the history books as they are 0-3 SU and ATS lifetime in this tourney as a favorite. Play accordingly.

KEY TOURNAMENT BEST BET: Play On Kansas
The Jayhawks were stunned in the opening round of this tournament last year by Baylor and have been stumbling to the finish line this season. So why all the support, you ask? Simple. Kansas is the only team in the country to rank in the Top 10 in the three key statistical categories, namely: Offensive Field Goal Percentage, Defensive Field Goal Percentage and Rebounding. An angry Jayhawk, fueled with ammo like this, can be lethal. Note: avoid the Jayhawks in the opening round if they face a losing team as they are 1-9 ATS versus sub .500 conference foes under Bill Self.


Marc Lawrence Past Articles

2010 AFC West Division Preview
When the Denver Broncos selected Tim Terrific with its second pick in the first-round of this year’s NFL draft, they issued a statement. It said ... read more

2010 MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE FOOTBALL PREVIEW
2010 MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE FOOTBALL PREVIEWBy Marc LawrenceThere are highs and lows in every major conference. In the Mountain West Conference they ... read more

2010 AFC SOUTH DIVISION PREVIEW
2010 AFC SOUTH DIVISION PREVIEWBy Marc LawrenceDon’t look now, but it appears as if the South may be rising again.Let’s put it another way. ... read more

2010 Mid America Conference Preview
Entering its 64th year of gridiron competition, the MID AMERICAN CONFERENCE will once again play a balanced schedule, meaning each team will play eight ... read more

2010 AFC North Division Preview
Once an AFC division powerhouse when operating under the ‘Central’ brand, the AFC North has pretty much settled into a two-team loop with ... read more

All Marc Lawrence Past Articles


Marc Lawrence Past Picks

Marc Lawrence Marc Lawrence
MLB Baseball

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres Thursday July 29, 2010 6:35 pm
Play On:  San Diego Padres w/Latos (Game 910)Note: When the Padres close out their three-game series with the Dodgers at Petco Park tonight they will send Mat Latos to the mound knowing he has cashed in each of his last seven team starts, including 3-0 at home.  He's also ... read more

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St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Mets Wednesday July 28, 2010 7:10 pm
Play On: N.Y. Mets w/Santana vs Garcia (Game 962)Note: When the Mets send Johan Santana to the hill against Jaime Garcia and the Cardinals at Citi Field tonight they will do so knowing Santana is 4-0 with a 0.58 ERA in his last four team starts. He's also 13-2 in his last 15 home ... read more

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Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels Wednesday July 28, 2010 3:35 pm
Play On:  L.A. Angels w/Pineiro vs Beckett (Game 970)Note: When the Angels host the Red Sox in the 3rd and final game of the series in Los Angeles this afternoon they will send Joel Pineiro to the hill against Josh Beckett in a matchup of right-handers going in opposite directions.  ... read more

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Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres Tuesday July 27, 2010 10:05 pm
Play On: San Diego w/Garland (Game 914) Note: The Padres will look to keep the Dodger bats on ice when they send Jon Garland to the mound in the opener of this three-game N.L. West Division rivalry matchup Tuesday night in San Diego.  There couldn't be a worse venue than spacious ... read more

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Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels Tuesday July 27, 2010 10:05 pm
Play On: Los Angeles Angels w/Weaver (Game 930)Note: When the Angels send Jered Weaver to the hill against ex-Halo John Lackey and the Red Sox tonight they will do so knowing Weaver is in amazing KW form with 10 walks and 73 strikeouts his last 10 starts.  He's also 3-1 with ... read more

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Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals Tuesday July 27, 2010 7:05 pm
Play On: Washington w/StrasburgNote: When rookie sensation Stephen Strasburg faces Tommy Hanson and the Braves in the nation's capitol this evening he will do so knowing he is 4-0 with a neat 2.39 ERA in his last four team starts.  With Hanson 3-6 in his career team starts in ... read more

Marc Lawrence Marc Lawrence
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Florida Marlins @ San Francisco Giants Monday July 26, 2010 10:15 pm
Play On: Florida w/NolascoNote: The Fish open a week long West coast road trip Monday night when they send Ricky Nolasco to the mound at AT&T Park to meet the Giants in San Francisco this evening. Nolasco has cashed in five of his last six team starts, allowing eight walks against ... read more

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Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers Monday July 26, 2010 8:10 pm
Play On: Cincinnati w/Arroyo vs Wolf (Game 955)Note: The Reds meet the Brewers in the opener of this three-game set at Miller Park in Milwaukee when Brandon Arroyo meets Randy Wolf tonight.  Arroyo enters tonight's game knowing he is 7-1 his last eight road team starts, including ... read more

Marc Lawrence Marc Lawrence
MLB Baseball

New York Mets @ Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday July 25, 2010 4:10 pm
Play On: L.A. Dodgers w/Kershaw Note: The Dodgers send Clayton Kershaw to the mound against R.A. Dickey and the Mets in the finale of this four game series at Chavez Ravine this afternoon knowing Kershaw is 2-0 in his two career team starts in this series. With the Mets having a ... read more

Marc Lawrence Marc Lawrence
MLB Baseball

Atlanta Braves @ Florida Marlins Sunday July 25, 2010 1:10 pm
Play On: Atlanta w/Jurrjens vs Volstad (Game 903)Note:  The Braves and Marlins meet in the rubber match of this three-games series when Jair Jurrjens meets Chris Volstad at Sun Life Stadium Sunday afternoon.  Jurrjens enter today's game with four consecutive team starts ... read more