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Arizona at Carolina Playoff Notes and selection
by: John Ryan Sports
Saturday January 10th , 2009
8:00 EST start
Arizona at Carolina
I have certainly been one the best football run of my career and that certainly is the case with my bowl selections entering Thursday night’s BCS Championship game. I have record a 13-1 ATS mark with 7*, 10*, and 15* releases this bowl season. Broken down the records are 1-0 ATS with 15*, 3-0 with 10*, and 9-1 ATS with 7* releases. I nailed a 10* UNDER Texas Monday and have already released my top rated 15* Titan play on Thursday’s Championship game. Thank you for the season long support of my program and the trust you instill in my work means the most to me. Entering my 16th year of sports handicapping I encourage you to join me on a daily basis with all of the sports and in so doing you will have a tremendous opportunity to make a pile of dough.
Ai Simulator shows a 74% probability that 50 or more points will be scored in this game. AiS also reveals an 85% probability that Arizona will gain between 350 and 400 yards, allow 6 or more yards per play, and allow 8 or more passing yards per attempt. Note that Arizona is 6-1 OVER this season and 13-4 OVER the past 3 seasons when they allow 6 or more total yards per play. They are 4-0 OVER this season, 10-0 OVER the past 3 seasons and 30-13 OVER since 1992 when they gain between 350 and 400 total yards. They are also 5-1 OVER this season and 10-3 OVER when they allow 8 or more passing yards per attempt.
Arizona is also in a series of strong over roles for this game. Note that they are 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) versus good rushing teams - averaging >=130 rushing yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) versus good offensive teams scoring 24 or more points/game this season. Arizona is also in a solid power type of trend noting they are 15-3 OVER (+11.7 Units) after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.
Cardinals certain have their hands full having not only to play a rested Carolina team, but also having to travel to the Eastern time zone where they are just 2-19 and an imperfect 0-5 this season. Carolina’s OL and DL needed the BYE week and for the first time since week 10 – after their BYE – the Panthers will be playing close to 100% full strength. The Cardinals have offensive weapons that will make it difficult for Carolina to consistently contain throughout this game. Yet, the key to this over play is that Carolina knows they can score at will against this Arizona defense if they simply execute.
Carolina’s defensive scheme never places one defender to shit down an offensive weapon. They have NO other choice, but to assign CB Gamble to cover Fitzgerald, especially if Boldin is still not completely healthy. Warner knows how to read this at the LOS and even if Carolina shows zone matchup or Tampa-2, or even base cover-2, he can expect that to transition into man on Fitzgerald. Look for Warner to hook up with Fitzgerald on double move routes when he is on the strong side and has plenty of field to operate within.
I also like a 3* amount on the first half line OVER as well. I would not surprised to see this game 24-17 Carolina at the half.
John Ryan Sports Past Articles
Ryan's Red River History View
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My favorite and most profitable sport just started Spring Training. MLB is a sport that so many amateur betters disregard and lose solid money making ... read more
Humanitarian Bowl Preview
College Betting Preview By John Ryan The uDrove Humanitarian Bowl Northern Illinois at Fresno State Saturday, December 18, 5:30 PM ET Bronco Stadium, ... read more
Boise State hosting Utah State
College Football Betting Preview By John Ryan Utah State at (9) Boise State 3:00 PM ET, December 4, 2010 Bronco Stadium, BOISE ID Boise State favored ... read more
All John Ryan Sports Past Articles
John Ryan Sports Past Picks
NBA Basketball
Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat Tuesday May 15, 2012 7:05 pm
25* graded play on the Indiana Pacers as they take on the Miami Heat in Game 2 of this best-of-seven Eastern Conference series set to start at 7:05 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that the Pacers will lose this game by six or fewer points. I also believe that adding ... read more
MLB Baseball
San Diego Padres @ Washington Nationals Tuesday May 15, 2012 1:05 pm
15* graded play on San Diego as they take on the Washington Nationals and phenom Stephen Strasburg set to start at 1:05 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that SD will pull off the unexpected upset winner. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record ... read more
MLB Baseball
Kansas City Royals @ Texas Rangers Monday May 14, 2012 8:05 pm
15* graded play on the Texas Rangers using the Run Line as they take on the Kansas City Royals in Al action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Texas will win this game by more than one run and cover the -1 ½ run line spread. Supporting ... read more
MLB Baseball
Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers Sunday May 13, 2012 8:05 pm
30* graded play on the Angels as they take on the Texas Rangers set to start at 8:05 PM ET and will be televised by ESPN Sunday Night baseball. The simulator shows a high probability that Anaheim with starter Weaver will win this game. Angels are starting to hit far better than at ... read more
NBA Basketball
Los Angeles Clippers @ Memphis Grizzlies Sunday May 13, 2012 1:05 pm
25* graded play on Memphis as they take on the LA Clippers in Game 7 of this first round Western Conference playoff matchup. The simulator shows a high probability that Memphis will win this game by 10 or more points. Memphis has been one of the best teams playing at home this season ... read more
NBA Basketball
Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers Saturday May 12, 2012 10:30 pm
25* graded play on the Los Angeles Lakers as they take on the Denver Nuggets in game 7 of this first round Western Conference playoff matchup. The simulator shows a high probability that the Lakers will win this game by seven or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system ... read more
MLB Baseball
Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics Friday May 11, 2012 10:05 pm
15* graded play on Oakland as they host Detroit set to start at 10:05 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 268-158 for 63% winners and has made 85.0 units per one unit ... read more
MLB Baseball
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Friday May 11, 2012 7:10 pm
15* graded play on Oakland as they host Detroit set to start at 10:05 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 268-158 for 63% winners and has made 85.0 units per one unit ... read more
NBA Basketball
Atlanta Hawks @ Boston Celtics Thursday May 10, 2012 8:00 pm
25* graded play on the Atlanta Hawks as they get ready to take on the Celtics in Game six of this first round best-of-seven playoff. The Celtics lead three-games-to-two, but based on the sim’s projections a game seven may be in the offing. The simulator shows a high probability ... read more
NBA Basketball
New York Knicks @ Miami Heat Wednesday May 9, 2012 7:05 pm
Game: New York Knicks vs. Miami HeatGame Time: 5/9/2012 7:05:00 PMPrediction: New York KnicksReason: 15* graded play on the New York Knicks as they take on the Miami Heat set to start at 7:05 PM ET. This is Game 5 of the first round Eastern Conference playoff ... read more
All John Ryan Sports Past Picks
