MLB Shocker of the Month - Thursday! (Thu 7:10PM)
With games going every day, oddsmakers can't keep up with every change on the baseball diamond, such as injuries, bullpen overuse, road travel and emotional factors. They REALLY blew it on Thursday, making a dog of a team that should be favored. Go inside the stats and collect with Jim's Baseball Shocker of the Month before the oddsmakers wake up!

$35

Jim Feist's NBA Playoff Total Powerhouse - Wednesd (Wed 9:35PM)
Totals offer just as much value as sides, many times even more so, and what better way to build your bankroll than with a basketball TV total winner from Jim Feist! This is a terrible total that oddsmakers misjudged. Grab this NBA PLAYOFF "Total" POWERHOUSE and play with the Las Vegas big boys WEDNESDAY!

$35

10-4 on Totals: Hi Roller NBA Playoff Total Power! (Thu 9:35PM)
Jim Feist is 10-4 with NBA playoff totals, including the Pacers/Heat Game 1 under on Sunday! Totals offer just as much value as sides, many times even more so, and what better way to build your bankroll than with a High Roller basketball total winner from Jim Feist! This is a terrible total that oddsmakers misjudged. Grab this High Roller NBA PLAYOFF "Total" POWERHOUSE and play with the Las Vegas big boys Thursday!

$35

MLB

Get a full week's worth of baseball plays from World Handicapper Jim Feist -- EVERYTHING that's released on this sight, including Games of the Week, Games of the Month and his coveted Inner Circle selections. It's all here, 2-3 plays per day, 15-20 per week!
MLB Baseball 7 Day Package
$99 | 

$99

NBA

Get the remainder of the NBA season, all of Jim's Executive Service selections, with all of his picks right through the Finals at a discounted rate. That is every side, every total and every top play through the end of the NBA Finals!
NBA Basketball Season Package
$180 | 

$180

Seven days of premium NBA picks and analysis, straight from legendary handicapper Jim Feist. All his analysis and insight brought to the table each night. Don't hope to win, sit back, play with a pro and KNOW you have an ace on your side!
NBA Basketball 7 Day Package
$75 | 

$75

Are Defenses Ahead of the Offenses?

by: Jim Feist

You have to remember that in September it's more likely that defenses are ahead of the offenses in pro and college football. This might not seem the case when you watch Miami and Florida State put on an exciting 38-34 shootout with both teams tallying over 400 yards. However, that's not the norm, either, something that needs to be assessed carefully when trying to find football picks each week. Think of the NFL opener as the Steelers and Titans battled to a 13-10 low scoring affair in overtime.
The first weekend of the college football season saw a huge edge to games going under the total. One of the most striking was one of the first games, when a potentially high-powered Oregon offense under first-year coach Chip Kelly laid an egg at Boise, getting 8 points and 152 total yards. Kelly has been running wide-open offenses there, which was a reason he got the job when Mike Belloti moved up to the AD's office.

That certainly wasn't what he had in mind for an opener. Oregon managed just 14 yards in the first half and was forced to wait until the third quarter to record its initial first down.

Think back one year ago to the first week of the NFL season. The high powered offenses of the Saints, Colts and Patriots combined for 24, 13 and 17 points in Week 1. Granted, the Patriots lost QB Tom Brady that game, but Drew Brees and the Saints wouldn't have that low a scoring game again until Week 7, while the Colts were totally out of sync offensively.

Go back to the opening of the 2007 NFL season and the unders ruled by a whopping 11-5 edge. In 2006 the unders were 11-5 in the first NFL week. Quarterbacks need to develop timing with receivers, and offensive linemen have to learn to mesh on blocking schemes and pocket protection. All of that takes time, patience and practice. As we know, preseason doesn't offer much time to practice as coaches are more concerned with keeping starters healthy than getting the offense finely tuned.

All of which makes another interesting year for sports bettors searching for football picks who play totals. Will the defenses be ahead of the offenses in September and early October? That is often the case, as it takes far more time and practice to get execution down between offensive players.

Notice that in 2006 after going 11-5 under in Week 1, the overs had a slight edge of 25-19-1 in Weeks 3-4. Part of it is that oddsmakers adjust their lines based on what happened the previous week, but also offenses begin to mesh together better after Week 1. Another factor to keep in mind is that the NFL changed the rules a few years to aid the offense, outlawing the “horse collar tackle.” Essentially was when a defensive player tackled the ball carrier by grabbing his shoulders, which is no longer legal.

The league also has enforced the five-yard rule, which was designed to help wide receivers get downfield faster, as opposed to being mugged at the line of scrimmage by linebackers and defensive backs. A defensive player can still bump the wide outs when the ball is snapped, but has to be careful not to after the offensive player advances five-yards past the line of scrimmage, otherwise a penalty will be called. It is not easy being a defensive player in the pros anymore!

Passing yardage and scoring did increase during the 2004 season when those rules were enforced. In fact, during that season the unders were 43-27 the first five weeks of the season, but the overs were 92-71 from weeks 7-17.

It was also interesting that three offensive coordinators got axed this August before a single regular season game had been played. Who says there's not pressure to produce offensively, even in preseason?

It's going to be interesting to watch the Buffalo Bills in September, an offense that has added the no-huddle and is committed to it, though WR Terrell Owens missed almost all of preseason. The Bills have had to endure with the firing of offensive coordinator Turk Schonert, plus when asked if he liked the no-huddle, Owens said, “No, not really, but I have to deal with it.” And who says he's not a team player?

So keep a close tab on yardage and totals in September and early October when sifting for your own football picks. Scoring and unders can rule early in the season, but that can change when the offenses begin to get more in sync.

Jim Feist Past Articles

Baseball Hot and Cold Starts
More than any other sport, baseball is a game of patience. It's not how you start, but where you finish, and with a 162-game regular season, there is ... read more

NBA Stretch Run: The Best of the East
It's been a long haul, even in this abbreviated 66-game NBA regular season, but the playoffs are just around the corner. So who wins the NBA title? The ... read more

Some NBA Teams Pack It In Late
There are three more weeks to go in the NBA regular season. This means there are professional athletes in the NBA who will be going on vacation in a month, ... read more

Tourney Matchup Tips
It's the final stretch of a long college basketball season. There are better teams, tougher matchups, and defensive intensity. It's a good time of the ... read more

March Hoops: Beware of No Name Teams
It's that time of year again: Basketball games night and day, day and night and after a few hours of sleep, we wake up the next day and go through it ... read more

All Jim Feist Past Articles

More past picks...

All Jim Feist Past Picks