AL and wnba previews for Tuesday

by: IndianCowboy

Tuesday, July 8th Research

POD #1 in the Nation:
61-36-3 (63%), Doing 1 POD Per Day. (Last 100 Days)

Tuesday WNBA Research

Houston vs. Phoenix

Over 70% are riding the Phoenix Mercury here but they have simply fallen off the face of the earth due to some injuries, Phoenix has beat this team the last 5 times they have played but Houston is playing much better basketball right now having won 8 of their last 10 including on the road outright at Minny and San Antonio. Cappie Poindexter is listed as questionable for the Mercury and they have lost their last 2 ballgames by a combined total of 21 points - I think the public might get buried here and Houston has a great shot at winning this game outright. Wouldn't be surprised if this game went to houston's favor by going under as well.

Indiana vs. Washington

Indiana beat this team by 11 at home earlier this year, they are a 60% favorite coming in, Washington has lost their last 3 ballgames but did beat the Sparks on the road and won at Houston and Chicago so they do have some bite, Indiana has won just 2 ballgames on the road all year, Washington has been putting up a lot of points lately, so I would not be surprised to see them as an active small dog here, in fact, I think they likely pull the upset at home here as Washington did play very well against San Antonio and fell short late. I don't know if Indiana has it in them to win such a ballgame on the road like Becky Hammon and company did. Give Washington the revenge angle to and Indiana off of a let down winning over Conn.

Connecticut vs. Detroit

Conn was probably looking ahead and consequently that's why they lost to Indiana on the road as they now play the Shock on the road again. These teams have split the season series, Conn and Detroit both come off losses on the road so they are irritated, Elaine Powell is still out for Detroit and they are 1-4 ATS without here, Conn is usually very solid off a loss and they have the revenge from a 9 point loss in their last contest, although they are even in the series at 1-1 here, small lean on Conn here, a lean on the under as well as Conn typically responds well after a terrible defensive effort such as against Indiana giving up 81 points.

New York vs. San Antonio

New York might just be the most unpredictable team in the WNBA as they have been on a ATS win and then ATS loss streak for roughly the pass 7 games. Their ATS streak goes as follows: W,L,W,P,W,L,W.
Their most recent win was on the road outright against the Sparks, but recent trends show that they are likely to have a let down here, the Stars however have won 8 of their last 10 and their only 2 straight up losses in the last 10 games is against Houston twice, having said that, the Stars only beat Sacramento by just 1 point at home. No real lean here as I can see it go either way.

Seattle vs. Sacramento

Seattle beat this team by 12 at home earlier this year, Seattle beat Minny, Sacramento and Washington at home as they covered very easily at home in those 3 contests and frankly dominated those teams, Seattle is just 1-6 on the road though and although they have shown some life they have been unable to close on the road. Keep in mind that Sacramento has revenge as well in this game and they come off a tough Texas road trip losing by a combined total of 9 points to the Comets and Silver Stars. I wouldn't be surprised to see Sacramento bounce-back here and pick up the win at home with some revenge in front of their home fans after a tough road trip.

Tuesday MLB Research (Only AL)

Tampa Bay vs. New York

Kaz has pitched back to back non-quality starts, did beat Kennedy at home pitching 6 innings of 0 run ball, Kaz is 3-2 with a 3.52 ERA on the road and has 4 of 5 quality starts against New York over the last 2 years showing that he shows up against the Yanks, Ponson is horrible, the Drays drilled him earlier this year for a 9 ERA start, he could bounce-back here, but I dare not go against the Drays in fact, I actually lean on the Drays having the edge in offense and pitching - yes, the Drays have the edge over the Yankees as they are the team to beat currently in the AL with a record of 55-33.

Cleveland vs. Detroit

Sowers is on a bounce-back, he had over an 11 ERA last time out against the White Sox on the road while Verlander has pitched 6 straight quality starts but the Indians have beat him both times this year despite him pitching well against them in his las start with a 3.86 ERA, interested in seeing the line pop-up here, in fact, a lean on the tigers run-line but I typically don't like playing the rl.

Minny vs. Boston

Blackburn splits are eye-raising as he has over a 5 ERA on the road while a 3.78 ERA overall this season meaning his home ERA is under 3 overall, he comes off a great start against Detroit at home, Lester is 4-1 with a 2.54 ERA at home, a lean on the red sox run-line as I think the Red Sox want a little revenge from losing 8-9 to this kid earlier this year.

Baltimore vs. Toronto

I just don't trust Cabrera to have back to back quality starts here as he hasn't done that in quite some time in over 6 ballgames, at the same time, I like Baltimore's offense more and McGowan has been giving up a lot of hits despite limiting the runs, in short, I like the Toronto pitcher a bit more, but don't completely trust him and like Baltimore's offense more, no thanks.

Angels vs. Rangers

These 2 teams have consistently played the over for quite some time over the past few years when they meet, especially in Texas, Saunders has been rock solid of late having pitched 5 of 6 quality starts, but he has also given up 19 hits in 10 innings to the Rangers last year and Hurley has pitched extremely well in his last 3 starts, I think Texas can pull the upset here as the Angels have not faced Hurley yet.

Whitesox vs. Royals

This is a game the Royals can win, Contreras has given up 23 hits in his last 2 road starts while Davies comes off a brutal start on the road as he returns home on the bounce-back, I think the Royals hit Contreras hard here and I think the small dog price is there for a reason and I would not be surprised to see the Royals get it done here at home against the pale hose.

Seattle vs. Oakland

Silva is on a bounce-back but did beat Oakland earlier this year by limiting them to just 1 run in 7 innings, Duch is headed to the all-start game as he is 6-1 with a 1.46 ERA and a 1.96 ERA overall this year, and he does have revenge from a 3-5 loss to Seattle on the road against Bedard earlier this year, I like Oakland here on the RL but typically shy away from the RL based on principle.

Baseball
29-15 (66%), Last 46 Days.

8 of 9 baseball winners

7/5: Indians -119 (L)
7/4: Twins -127 (W)
7/3: Royals +137 (W)
7/3: Oakland A's +112 (W)
7/2: Mariners -104 (POD) (W)
7/1: Twins RL +149 (W)
6/30: White Sox RL +135 (W)
6/30: Oakland A's +115 (W)
6/30: Tigers -120 (W)

2008 WNBA Season
22-17-2 (56%)

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