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4th Down and Inches
by: Doc's Sports
Even though it’s still early in the college football season, a few teams have already packed it in. One of those teams is Syracuse. We used them as a selection two weeks ago at the dome against Akron and I felt that was a make-or-break game for them. The latter turned out to be the case, as they lost by double digits and they were pounded by Penn State last week, 55-13. I wanted to use Penn State as a pick but just could not justify laying 28 points against a BCS Conference team playing at home. No question Coach Greg Robinson needs a miracle to save his job and Syracuse will cover a couple of these huge numbers down the road, but you will not see this writer using them as a pick. Of their eight remaining games, I believe the Orange will lose at least five of them against the spread. Going against these types of teams can pay for your vacation because the coaches, fans, and players are all aware of this situation and it will only get worse.
A couple of other teams that are struggling but not to the extent of Syracuse is Michigan and Hawaii. Both have new coaches but these programs have been used to pushing around weaker programs during this decade. Payback is tough and many of their conference foes and making them pay for all the years that they have been dominated by these former powers. But as the saying goes, you better get them this year, because they will be back!
As the season progresses, I always try to find a team each week that has a bubble that will finally burst. In my opinion this week’s team is Vanderbilt. The Commodores have been playing outstanding football, especially with QB Chris Nickson’s ability to run. That being said, I expect the run to end this week against a much-improved Ole Miss team. Coach Houston Nutt is a winner and the home team is 6-1 in this series since 2007, winning by an average of nine points. The Rebels have not fared well in SEC openers, losing four straight. However, that will change this week and I look for this homer to win by double digits. Ole Miss was in the same situation as Syracuse when they fired a proven winner and the replacement set the program back. Lucky for them Ed Orgeron is gone and Houston Nutt is used to coaching in the SEC having had great success at Arkansas.
I already mention Coach Robinson being on the hot seat but he is certainly not alone as every year numerous coaching changes are made. One of those individuals is used to the hot stove, as Dave Wannstedt had yet to turn around his alma mater at Pittsburgh. Losing the home opener to Bowling Green made all those high expectations vanish after an impressive victory last season against West Virginia. The Panthers did beat Buffalo the following week and now will face Iowa, a team they will have two weeks to prepare for. This will be a big test, as I feel the Big Ten is weak this year but Iowa has been one of the most impressive teams in the conference thus far. That being said, the Hawkeyes are not the team that they once were and had a real emotional battle with Iowa State last week. This writer would certainly have to give the edge to Pittsburgh in this ‘pick’em’ game.
Speaking of the Big Ten, it seems nobody was shocked that Ohio State got run over by USC last week in Los Angeles. I have never seem a game lose so much luster, as everybody felt Ohio State would get pounded and that is exactly what happened. This is a dramatic change from the start of the season when I was set to use the Buckeyes as a selection, but I got off of that and I really do not think Beanie Wells could have made that much of a difference. I really cannot see anyone beating the Trojans, since their toughest conference opponents all come to the Coliseum. In this game, the USC defense was simply too good with too much speed for Ohio State. As it stands now, my two teams to play in the title game are USC and the winner for the Missouri/Oklahoma game (Big 12 Championship). The Sooners have been laying eggs in bowl games of late, but I think they have the talent to win it all in 2008.
Even though I think the Big Ten is somewhat weak, it will still be an exciting race between four teams. Three of the teams are all highly ranked (Ohio State, Penn State, and Wisconsin), but I feel a real sleeper will be Michigan State. The Buckeyes have two tough tests, at Wisconsin and at Michigan State. They will lose one of those two games. The Badgers may have the easiest road as they play both Ohio State and Penn State at home, but must travel to Michigan State. Assuming both teams are healthy, I feel Michigan State will ruin the Badgers season once again. Penn State also must go to Wisconsin and Ohio State. Michigan State will end their season at Penn State on Nov. 29. I truly believe that this game could determine the winner of the Big Ten and I expect every team to have at least one loss come December. This should make for an exciting race and there is great balance in the league.
The big story in the NFL this week was the Chargers/Broncos game where a blown call cost the Chargers a victory. This is truly an indication of how popular the NFL is and it’s still the talk of ESPN as of Wednesday. Yes, it was a bad call but that happens in every game and will continue to happen in the future. San Diego still had two chances to stop Denver but failed to do so and they now blame ref Ed Hochuli for the result. Instant replay has taken over the games and has now lost the original intent of what it was put in to do: fix obvious mistakes. But because of the wording, it was not able to correct this (major mistake). Instead coaches use it to nitpick things like clear control of the football and spotting of the football. For those of you that believe Ed Hochuli should be fired, I would doubt that you are this perfect in your chosen profession. There would be a huge turnover in officials if every one was fired over a bad call. These are the best refs in the country and even they will make mistakes from time to time. I felt the league really threw him under the bus and instead should have supported him. We all need to move on and Ed will certainly be reffing another game this week, as he is one of the best.
Best of Luck this week,
Doc
Doc's Sports Past Articles
NHL Betting: The Week's Biggest Stories
by T.O. Whenham - 11/18/2008We're settling into the slow, steady rhythms of the middle of the NHL season when nothing happens too quickly. This is when ... read more
2008-2009 College Basketball Predictions
The college basketball season is slowly but surely get underway. It will be a while before people start paying a lot of attention, but it's never too ... read more
Pac-10 Conference Basketball Predictions
It's simply amazing to me how perfectly in sync the Pac-10 Conference is this year in terms of football and basketball.Both football and hoops seemed ... read more
Finding Value in Second Half of Season
We are now more than halfway through the NFL season. That means we have seen more than enough football to form opinions of the teams in the league. More ... read more
NFL Betting: Best and Worst Against the Spread
We are halfway through the NFL season, give or take. This is a good time, then, for us to take a look at the teams that are being particularly kind to ... read more
All Doc's Sports Past Articles
Doc's Sports Recent Past Picks
College Football
Ball State Cardinals @ Central Michigan Chippewas Wednesday November 19, 2008 7:00 pm
3 Unit Play. #104 Take Central Michigan over Ball State (Wednesday 7:00 pm ESPN 2) It end’s tonight! The Cardinals enter this game with an undefeated record but their lack of playing anybody good will finally catch up with them. The Chippewas challenged themselves during ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
NHL Hockey
Chicago Blackhawks @ Phoenix Coyotes Tuesday November 18, 2008 9:35 pm
4 Unit Play. #62 Take Phoenix over Chicago (9:35 pm NHL Center Ice) The Hawks are coming off a three game losing streak and have not been a very good team on the road this season winning just 1 of their five games. They have a lot of road games to make-up and expect them to struggle ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
College Basketball
Kentucky Wildcats @ North Carolina Tar Heels Tuesday November 18, 2008 9:00 pm
3 Unit Play. #745 Take Kentucky over North Carolina (9:00 pm ESPN) The Tar Heels are without their all everything player in Tyler Hansbrough and that void will allow the Cats to keep this game under the posted number. Granted Kentucky did lose to VMI over the weekend, but that ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
NBA Basketball
Sacramento Kings @ Memphis Grizzlies Tuesday November 18, 2008 8:00 pm
3-Unit Play #713 Take Sacramento/Memphis OVER (8 p.m. EST, Tuesday) Sacramento’s road defense has been horrible as they have allowed an average of 109 PPG in road contests this season and that doesn’t bode well for under bettors tonight against a Memphis team that ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
NBA Basketball
New York Knicks @ Boston Celtics Tuesday November 18, 2008 7:30 pm
4-Unit Play #711 Take New York Knicks /Boston UNDER (7:30 p.m. EST, Tuesday) Regardless of what the current numbers state (they are ranked No. 3 in defensive points scored and No. 1 in defensive FG%), Boston is the undisputed No. 1 defensive team in the league. Only one team ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
NBA Basketball
Atlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers Tuesday November 18, 2008 7:00 pm
3-Unit Play – #704 Take Indiana Over Atlanta (7 p.m. EST, Tuesday) The strength of Atlanta during their hot start was their defense but that strong defense seems to have gone out the window lately as the Hawks have given up an average of 111 in their last four games, three ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
College Football
Northern Illinois Huskies @ Kent State Golden Flashes Tuesday November 18, 2008 7:00 pm
3 Unit Play. #102 Take Kent over Northern Illinois (Tuesday 7:00 pm) The Golden Flashes have shown some signs off life recently winning two of their last three including a dominating road victory in Oxford. They have put up big point totals over the last three weeks averaging ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
NFL Football
Cleveland Browns @ Buffalo Bills Monday November 17, 2008 8:35 pm
3 Unit Play. #128 Take Buffalo Bills over Cleveland Browns (Monday 8:15 pm ESPN) The Browns players are speaking out and saying some players quit and that does not bode well for Coach Crennel is on his way out. Granted Brady Quinn did play well in his first appearance as ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
NHL Hockey
San Jose Sharks @ Nashville Predators Monday November 17, 2008 8:05 pm
3 Unit Play. #10 Take Over in San Jose @ Nashville (8:05 pm NHL Center Ice) The Sharks went over the posted tonight by themselves last night in Chicago and are in the top three for goals scored in the NHL. The last four games they have played have all went over the number for ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports
College Basketball
Missouri State Bears @ Central Michigan Chippewas Monday November 17, 2008 7:00 pm
3 Unit Play. #518 Take Central Michigan over Missouri State (7:00 pm) Rose Arena is the sight of this mid-major match-up between the Bears and Chippewas. The Bears have a new coach in Cuonzo Martin and it will take some time to adjust to his new style of offense. This team was ... read more
Doc's Sports Bio and Picks | Articles By Doc's Sports